Novak Djokovic vs Rafael NadalPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Novak Djokovic and Rafael Nadal have met 19 times since 2015; Novak Djokovic leads 12–7. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo in 2015 on clay. On clay courts Nadal leads 7–5. On hard courts Djokovic leads 6–0. 8 of their meetings have been finals, split 4–4. Across all meetings Djokovic has taken 32 sets to Nadal's 19. Their most recent meeting: Novak Djokovic won at Olympics - Paris (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Djokovic | Nadal | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Novak Djokovic | Rafael Nadal | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 44% | 4/9 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 75% | 3/4 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 62% | 8/13 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 4/12 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 100% | 1/1 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 80% | 4/5 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 63% | 5/8 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 4/8 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 10 of 13 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Djokovic 8, Nadal 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Djokovic
🤖 Servebot
Nadal
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,511 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
19 career meetings, newest first
Jul 29, 2024
Olympics - Paris
C Clay · 2nd Round
May 31, 2022
French Open - Paris
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Jun 11, 2021
French Open - Paris
C Clay · Semifinals
May 16, 2021
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · Final
May 10, 2021
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay · Final
Oct 11, 2020
French Open - Paris
C Clay · Final
Jan 12, 2020
ATP Cup - Brisbane, Perth, Sydney
H Hard · Final
May 19, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay · Final
Jan 27, 2019
Australian Open
H Hard · Final
Jul 13, 2018
Wimbledon
G Grass · Semifinals
May 17, 2018
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay · Semifinals
May 12, 2017
ATP Masters 1000 Madrid
C Clay · Semifinals
May 12, 2016
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Mar 17, 2016
ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells
H Hard · Semifinals
Jan 10, 2016
Doha
H Hard · Final
Nov 18, 2015
ATP Finals
H Hard · Semifinals
Oct 11, 2015
Beijing
H Hard · Final
Jun 2, 2015
Roland Garros
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Apr 16, 2015
ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo
C Clay · Semifinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Djokovic | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–3 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.67 | - |
| ROI % | +17.7% | - |
| Units P/L | +1.42u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Djokovic | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 6 | — |
| Distance | 663 mi · 1,067 km | — |
| Route | CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Hubert Hurkacz
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Alex de Minaur
China Open - Beijing · Final
Oct 6
Daniil Medvedev
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Alexander Zverev
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Bu Yunchaokete
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Nuno Borges
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Mariano Navone
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Botic van de Zandschulp
Davis Cup, World Group, QF, NED-ESP 2-1 · Rubber 1
Nov 19
Novak Djokovic
Olympics - Paris · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Marton Fucsovics
Olympics - Paris · 1st Round
Jul 28
Nuno Borges
Nordea Open - Bastad · Final
Jul 21
Duje Ajdukovic
Nordea Open - Bastad · Semifinals
Jul 20
Mariano Navone
Nordea Open - Bastad · Quarterfinals
Jul 19
Cameron Norrie
Nordea Open - Bastad · 2nd Round
Jul 18
Leo Borg
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 28–28 matches
| Metric | Djokovic | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 71% | - |
| Sets won | 63% | - |
| Games won | 54% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Djokovic | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 4 | 4 |
| Grand Slam | 4 | 2 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 2 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 3 | 5 |
| ATP Cup | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Djokovic | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 6 | 0 |
| Clay | 5 | 7 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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