Novak Djokovic vs Rafael NadalPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Novak Djokovic and Rafael Nadal have met 17 times since 2015; Novak Djokovic leads 11–6. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo in 2015 on clay. On clay courts Nadal leads 6–4. On hard courts Djokovic leads 6–0. 7 of their meetings have been finals, with Djokovic leading those 4–3. Across all meetings Djokovic has taken 29 sets to Nadal's 17. Their most recent meeting: Rafael Nadal won at Roland Garros (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Djokovic | Nadal | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Novak Djokovic | Rafael Nadal | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 5/10 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 75% | 3/4 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 57% | 8/14 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 36% | 5/14 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | — | ||
| Tiebreak sets won | 75% | 3/4 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 70% | 7/10 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 5/10 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 9 of 11 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Djokovic 7, Nadal 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Djokovic
💥 Big Hitter
Nadal
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Novak Djokovic and Rafael Nadal are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,644 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
17 career meetings, newest first
May 31, 2022
Roland Garros
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Jun 10, 2021
Roland Garros
C Clay · Semifinals
May 10, 2021
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay · Final
Oct 11, 2020
Roland Garros
C Clay · Final
Jan 12, 2020
ATP Cup
H Hard · Final
May 19, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay · Final
Jan 27, 2019
Australian Open
H Hard · Final
Jul 13, 2018
Wimbledon
G Grass · Semifinals
May 17, 2018
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay · Semifinals
May 12, 2017
ATP Masters 1000 Madrid
C Clay · Semifinals
May 12, 2016
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Mar 17, 2016
ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells
H Hard · Semifinals
Jan 10, 2016
Doha
H Hard · Final
Nov 18, 2015
ATP Finals
H Hard · Semifinals
Oct 11, 2015
Beijing
H Hard · Final
Jun 2, 2015
Roland Garros
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Apr 16, 2015
ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo
C Clay · Semifinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Djokovic | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–2 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.71 | - |
| ROI % | -12.4% | - |
| Units P/L | -0.87u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Djokovic | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Jannik Sinner
Wimbledon - London · Semifinals
Jul 10
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Roman Safiullin
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Arthur Rinderknech
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Yibing Wu
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Joao Fonseca
French Open - Paris · 3rd Round
May 29
Nuno Borges
Bastad · Final
Jul 21
Duje Ajdukovic
Bastad · Semifinals
Jul 20
Mariano Navone
Bastad · Quarterfinals
Jul 19
Cameron Norrie
Bastad · Round of 16
Jul 18
Leo Borg
Bastad · Round of 32
Jul 16
Alexander Zverev
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 28
Hubert Hurkacz
ATP Masters 1000 Rome · Round of 64
May 11
Zizou Bergs
ATP Masters 1000 Rome · Round of 128
May 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 31–31 matches
| Metric | Djokovic | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 74% | - |
| Sets won | 65% | - |
| Games won | 54% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Djokovic | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 4 | 3 |
| Grand Slam | 4 | 2 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 3 | 4 |
| Other | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Djokovic | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 6 | 0 |
| Clay | 4 | 6 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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