Nuno Borges vs Tommy PaulPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Nuno Borges and Tommy Paul have met 1 time since 2025; Tommy Paul leads 1–0. Across all meetings Borges has taken 2 sets to Paul's 3. Their most recent meeting: Tommy Paul won at U.S. Open - New York (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Borges | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Nuno Borges | Tommy Paul | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 20/28 | 55% | 16/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 12/29 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 20/57 | 49% | 20/41 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 17/31 | 39% | 14/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 48% | 11/23 | 100% | 4/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 16/31 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 23/28 | 81% | 21/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 20/28 | 62% | 16/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Borges
🤖 Servebot
Paul
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 28, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Borges | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Nuno Borges | Tommy Paul | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 22/22 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 82% | 18/22 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 5 or more | 73% | 16/22 | 80% | 12/15 |
| 10 or more | 23% | 5/22 | 33% | 5/15 |
| 15 or more | 14% | 3/22 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Borges | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–8 | 10–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.33 | 1.54 |
| ROI % | -0.0% | +12.2% |
| Units P/L | -0.01u | +1.71u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Borges | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 8 | 5 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Borges and Paul posted a 60% win rate.
| Opponent | Borges | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Cerundolo | W 64 64 | L 76 46 36 |
| Luciano Darderi | L 64 36 57 | L 63 36 26 |
| Learner Tien | L 67 46 26 | L 36 26 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 64 62 | W 67 76 76 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | W 67 62 64 | W 64 63 63 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | L 16 64 36 | W 61 36 75 |
| Ethan Quinn | L 16 26 | W 61 63 |
| Adrian Mannarino | W 62 62 | W 62 26 64 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 76 76 | W 76 63 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | W 36 62 61 62 | L 75 46 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Andrey Rublev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Francisco Cerundolo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Thanasi Kokkinakis
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Luciano Darderi
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 8
Yannick Hanfmann
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Aleksandar Kovacevic
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 3
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Hubert Hurkacz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Learner Tien
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Valentin Royer
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Kamil Majchrzak
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Hubert Hurkacz
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Soonwoo Kwon
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 50–64 matches
| Metric | Borges | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 50% | 70% |
| Sets won | 51% | 65% |
| Games won | 50% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Borges | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Borges | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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