Nuno Borges vs Tommy PaulPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Nuno Borges and Tommy Paul have met 1 time since 2025; Tommy Paul leads 1–0. Across all meetings Borges has taken 2 sets to Paul's 3. Their most recent meeting: Tommy Paul won at U.S. Open - New York (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Borges | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Nuno Borges | Tommy Paul | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 76% | 19/25 | 57% | 17/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 11/27 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 17/52 | 48% | 21/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 16/28 | 38% | 15/39 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 48% | 10/21 | 100% | 4/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 46% | 13/28 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 21/24 | 79% | 22/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 19/24 | 61% | 17/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Borges
🤖 Servebot
Paul
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 28, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Borges | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Nuno Borges | Tommy Paul | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 80% | 12/15 | 92% | 11/12 |
| 5 or more | 73% | 11/15 | 75% | 9/12 |
| 10 or more | 20% | 3/15 | 17% | 2/12 |
| 15 or more | 20% | 3/15 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Borges | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–7 | 8–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.96 | 1.81 |
| ROI % | -15.8% | +1.3% |
| Units P/L | -2.36u | +0.17u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Borges | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 2 |
| Distance | 663 mi · 1,067 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | CHN | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paul has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Borges's 50%).
| Opponent | Borges | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Learner Tien | L 46 16 26 | L 36 26 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | W 64 64 | L 76 46 36 |
| Luciano Darderi | L 64 36 57 | L 63 36 26 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 64 62 | W 67 76 76 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | W 67 62 64 | W 64 63 63 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | L 16 64 36 | W 61 36 75 |
| Ethan Quinn | L 16 26 | W 61 63 |
| Adrian Mannarino | W 62 62 | W 62 26 64 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | W 36 62 61 62 | L 75 46 46 |
| Frances Tiafoe | L 46 46 | W 75 46 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jiri Lehecka
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Learner Tien
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Andrey Rublev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Francisco Cerundolo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Thanasi Kokkinakis
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Alejandro Tabilo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Sep 30
Carlos Alcaraz
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Alexander Bublik
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Dino Prizmic
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Chak Pong Marco Lam
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Flavio Cobolli
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–60 matches
| Metric | Borges | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 48% | 69% |
| Sets won | 50% | 64% |
| Games won | 50% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Borges | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Borges | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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