Mitchell Krueger vs Tommy PaulPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Mitchell Krueger and Tommy Paul have met 4 times since 2015; Tommy Paul leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Binghamton in 2015 on hard. On clay courts Paul leads 2–0. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Paul has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Krueger has taken 5 sets to Paul's 6. Their most recent meeting: Tommy Paul won at Tallahassee (2019).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Krueger | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Mitchell Krueger | Tommy Paul | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 11/22 | 57% | 17/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 9/26 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 20/48 | 48% | 21/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 36% | 9/25 | 38% | 15/39 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 11/22 | 100% | 4/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 31% | 8/26 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 17/21 | 79% | 22/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 52% | 11/21 | 61% | 17/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Krueger 1, Paul 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Krueger
💥 Big Hitter
Paul
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Mitchell Krueger and Tommy Paul are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 4,120 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Apr 16, 2019
Tallahassee
C Clay · Round of 16
Jul 3, 2017
Atlanta
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 4, 2017
Savannah
C Clay · Round of 16
Jul 15, 2015
Binghamton
H Hard · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Krueger | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Mitchell Krueger | Tommy Paul | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 89% | 8/9 | 92% | 11/12 |
| 5 or more | 33% | 3/9 | 75% | 9/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 17% | 2/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Krueger | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–4 | 8–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.61 | 1.81 |
| ROI % | +17.0% | +1.3% |
| Units P/L | +1.53u | +0.17u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Krueger | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 8 | 2 |
| Distance | 2,418 mi · 3,891 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | USA | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paul has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Krueger's 0%).
| Opponent | Krueger | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Zachary Svajda | L 36 62 26 | W 75 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Abedallah Shelbayh
Columbus Challenger · Semifinals
Oct 3
Keegan Smith
Columbus Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Stefan Kozlov
Columbus Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Tyler Zink
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 28
Sebastian Gorzny
San Diego 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Michael Zheng
Tiburon Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Ryan Seggerman
Tiburon Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Keegan Smith
Tiburon Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Alejandro Tabilo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Sep 30
Carlos Alcaraz
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Alexander Bublik
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Dino Prizmic
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Chak Pong Marco Lam
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Flavio Cobolli
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 48–58 matches
| Metric | Krueger | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 46% | 69% |
| Sets won | 46% | 64% |
| Games won | 50% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Krueger | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Krueger | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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