Mitchell Krueger vs Tommy PaulPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Mitchell Krueger and Tommy Paul have met 4 times since 2015; Tommy Paul leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Binghamton in 2015 on hard. On clay courts Paul leads 2–0. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Paul has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Krueger has taken 5 sets to Paul's 6. Their most recent meeting: Tommy Paul won at Tallahassee (2019).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Krueger | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Mitchell Krueger | Tommy Paul | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 11/21 | 55% | 16/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 9/25 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 19/46 | 49% | 20/41 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 36% | 10/28 | 39% | 14/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 41% | 7/17 | 100% | 4/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 22% | 5/23 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 16/19 | 81% | 21/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 58% | 11/19 | 62% | 16/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Krueger 1, Paul 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Krueger
🏹 Frontrunner
Paul
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 554 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Apr 16, 2019
Tallahassee
C Clay · Round of 16
Jul 3, 2017
Atlanta
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 4, 2017
Savannah
C Clay · Round of 16
Jul 15, 2015
Binghamton
H Hard · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Krueger | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Mitchell Krueger | Tommy Paul | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 83% | 5/6 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 5 or more | 33% | 2/6 | 80% | 12/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 33% | 5/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Krueger | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–5 | 10–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.55 | 1.54 |
| ROI % | -44.9% | +12.2% |
| Units P/L | -4.04u | +1.71u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Krueger | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 1 | 5 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | JAM | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paul has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Krueger's 0%).
| Opponent | Krueger | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Zachary Svajda | L 36 62 26 | W 75 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
Kingston 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Alex Martinez
Lincoln Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 13
Gavin Young
Futures 2026
Jul 10
Gavin Young
M25 Dallas · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Oliver Okonkwo
M25 Dallas · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Ivan Mitric
Futures 2026
Jul 8
Aleksandar Mitric
M25 Dallas · 1st Round
Jul 8
Dhakshineswar Suresh
Cary challenger
Jun 28
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Hubert Hurkacz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Learner Tien
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Valentin Royer
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Kamil Majchrzak
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Hubert Hurkacz
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Soonwoo Kwon
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 46–51 matches
| Metric | Krueger | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 46% | 69% |
| Sets won | 46% | 64% |
| Games won | 51% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Krueger | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Krueger | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.