Mitchell Krueger vs Murphy CassonePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Mitchell Krueger and Murphy Cassone have met 4 times since 2025; Murphy Cassone leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Delray Beach in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Cassone leads 3–1. Cassone has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Krueger has taken 4 sets to Cassone's 7. Their most recent meeting: Murphy Cassone won at Workday Canberra International (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Krueger | Cassone | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Mitchell Krueger | Murphy Cassone | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 11/21 | 72% | 18/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 9/25 | 39% | 9/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 19/46 | 33% | 16/48 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 36% | 10/28 | 47% | 16/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 41% | 7/17 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 22% | 5/23 | 45% | 10/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 16/19 | 85% | 22/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 58% | 11/19 | 69% | 18/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Krueger 0, Cassone 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Krueger
🏹 Frontrunner
Cassone
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 767 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jan 5, 2026
Workday Canberra International
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Oct 20, 2025
Sioux Falls Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 2, 2025
Tiburon Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Feb 8, 2025
Delray Beach
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Krueger | Cassone | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Mitchell Krueger | Murphy Cassone | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 3 or more | 83% | 5/6 | 80% | 8/10 |
| 5 or more | 33% | 2/6 | 70% | 7/10 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 10% | 1/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Krueger | Cassone |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–5 | 4–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.55 | 2.23 |
| ROI % | -44.9% | -15.3% |
| Units P/L | -4.04u | -1.22u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Krueger | Cassone |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | JAM | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Cassone has a higher win rate against shared opponents (43% vs Krueger's 29%).
| Opponent | Krueger | Cassone |
|---|---|---|
| Philip Sekulic | L 36 62 67 | W 62 61 |
| Blaise Bicknell | L 67 75 46 | W 67 62 75 |
| Darwin Blanch | L 36 67 | L 46 61 36 |
| Liam Draxl | L 36 61 67 | L 26 26 |
| Rafael Jodar | L 36 26 | L 67 67 |
| Cedrik-Marcel Stebe | W 61 61 | L 67 36 |
| Hoyoung Roh | W 62 63 | W 60 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
Kingston 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Alex Martinez
Lincoln Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 13
Gavin Young
Futures 2026
Jul 10
Gavin Young
M25 Dallas · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Oliver Okonkwo
M25 Dallas · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Ivan Mitric
Futures 2026
Jul 8
Aleksandar Mitric
M25 Dallas · 1st Round
Jul 8
Dhakshineswar Suresh
Cary challenger
Jun 28
Arthur Gea
Granby Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 18
Philip Sekulic
Granby Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Blaise Bicknell
Granby Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Tristan Schoolkate
Granby Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Darwin Blanch
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 9
Ethan Quinn
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Yuta Shimizu
Tyler Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 4
Daniel Milavsky
Tyler Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 46–48 matches
| Metric | Krueger | Cassone |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 46% | 52% |
| Sets won | 46% | 53% |
| Games won | 51% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Krueger | Cassone |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Krueger | Cassone |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 3 |
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