Mitchell Krueger vs Murphy CassonePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Mitchell Krueger and Murphy Cassone have met 4 times since 2025; Murphy Cassone leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Delray Beach in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Cassone leads 3–1. Cassone has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Krueger has taken 4 sets to Cassone's 7. Their most recent meeting: Murphy Cassone won at Workday Canberra International (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Krueger | Cassone | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Mitchell Krueger | Murphy Cassone | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 11/22 | 68% | 21/31 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 9/25 | 41% | 9/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 43% | 20/47 | 36% | 19/53 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 36% | 9/25 | 48% | 15/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 52% | 11/21 | 60% | 12/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 32% | 8/25 | 52% | 14/27 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 17/21 | 87% | 26/30 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 52% | 11/21 | 70% | 21/30 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Krueger 0, Cassone 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Krueger
💥 Big Hitter
Cassone
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jan 5, 2026
Workday Canberra International
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Oct 20, 2025
Sioux Falls Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 2, 2025
Tiburon Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Feb 8, 2025
Delray Beach
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Krueger | Cassone | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Mitchell Krueger | Murphy Cassone | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 3 or more | 89% | 8/9 | 89% | 8/9 |
| 5 or more | 33% | 3/9 | 67% | 6/9 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Krueger | Cassone |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–4 | 7–2 |
| Avg odds | 2.61 | 1.87 |
| ROI % | +17.0% | +30.0% |
| Units P/L | +1.53u | +2.70u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Krueger | Cassone |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 8 | 6 |
| Distance | 2,418 mi · 3,891 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | USA | FRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Krueger has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Cassone's 38%).
| Opponent | Krueger | Cassone |
|---|---|---|
| Stefan Kozlov | W 62 36 63 | L 67 57 |
| Inaki Montes-De La Torre | W 75 64 | W 63 76 |
| Blaise Bicknell | L 67 75 46 | W 67 62 75 |
| Darwin Blanch | L 36 67 | L 46 61 36 |
| Liam Draxl | L 36 61 67 | L 26 26 |
| Rafael Jodar | L 36 26 | L 67 67 |
| Cedrik-Marcel Stebe | W 61 61 | L 67 36 |
| Hoyoung Roh | W 62 63 | W 60 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Abedallah Shelbayh
Columbus Challenger · Semifinals
Oct 3
Keegan Smith
Columbus Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Stefan Kozlov
Columbus Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Tyler Zink
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 28
Sebastian Gorzny
San Diego 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Michael Zheng
Tiburon Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Ryan Seggerman
Tiburon Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Keegan Smith
Tiburon Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Harold Mayot
St. Tropez Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 26
Daniel Masur
St. Tropez Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Billy Harris
St. Tropez Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Clement Tabur
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 23
Patrick Zahraj
St. Tropez Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Hugo Car
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Rennes Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 14
Harry Wendelken
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–53 matches
| Metric | Krueger | Cassone |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 47% | 58% |
| Sets won | 46% | 57% |
| Games won | 51% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Krueger | Cassone |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Krueger | Cassone |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 3 |
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