Andy Andrade vs Mitchell KruegerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Andy Andrade and Mitchell Krueger have met 3 times since 2024; Andy Andrade leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Savannah Challenger in 2024 on clay. On clay courts Andrade leads 2–0. Across all meetings Andrade has taken 5 sets to Krueger's 2. Their most recent meeting: Andy Andrade won at Sarasota Challenger (2025).
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Sioux Falls Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 26 · 11:00 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 2.35 or longer, Mitchell Krueger has won 22 of 91 (24%). The price implied 33%, so Mitchell Krueger has fallen 9 points short of it.
At 1.53 or shorter, Andy Andrade has won 19 of 32 (59%). The price implied 67%, so Andy Andrade has fallen 8 points short of it.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Andy Andrade and Mitchell Krueger meet next at the Sioux Falls Challenger on October 26 on hard.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Andrade | Krueger | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andy Andrade | Mitchell Krueger | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 28/39 | 50% | 11/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 37% | 11/30 | 35% | 9/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 22/69 | 42% | 20/48 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 16/31 | 35% | 9/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 24/37 | 52% | 11/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 68% | 13/19 | 33% | 8/24 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 33/39 | 77% | 17/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 28/39 | 50% | 11/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Andrade 2, Krueger 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Andrade
🪃 Counterpuncher
Krueger
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
The 🏹 Frontrunner archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 1,022 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Mitchell Krueger.
Frontrunner players often use fast starts and aggressive openers to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Apr 10, 2025
Sarasota Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Feb 24, 2025
San Diego Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Apr 25, 2024
Savannah Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Andrade | Krueger | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andy Andrade | Mitchell Krueger | ||
| 1 or more | 86% | 18/21 | 100% | 11/11 |
| 3 or more | 52% | 11/21 | 82% | 9/11 |
| 5 or more | 29% | 6/21 | 27% | 3/11 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Andrade | Krueger |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–9 | 5–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.47 | 2.80 |
| ROI % | +43.2% | -4.3% |
| Units P/L | +9.50u | -0.47u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Andrade | Krueger |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 5 | 4 |
| Distance | 1,953 mi · 3,143 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | USA | USA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Andrade has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Krueger's 50%).
| Opponent | Andrade | Krueger |
|---|---|---|
| Abedallah Shelbayh | W 46 75 63 | L 26 26 |
| Tyler Zink | W 26 64 75 | W 76 63 |
| Darwin Blanch | W 36 63 75 | L 36 67 |
| Toby Samuel | L 64 46 16 | W 64 64 |
| Liam Draxl | W 62 63 | L 36 61 67 |
| Braden Shick | L 26 36 | W 62 67 62 |
| Juan Alejandro Hernandez | W 64 64 | W 61 63 |
| Maks Kasnikowski | L 67 16 | W 64 67 76 |
| Blaise Bicknell | W 61 63 | L 67 75 46 |
| Yibing Wu | W 76 75 | L 57 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Max Alcala Gurri
Lisbon Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 19
Dylan Dietrich
Columbus Challenger · Semifinals
Oct 3
Mees Rottgering
Columbus Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Luca Staeheli
Columbus Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 30
Trevor Svajda
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Nishesh Basavareddy
San Diego 2 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 26
Darwin Blanch
San Diego 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Abedallah Shelbayh
San Diego 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 23
Jenson Brooksby
Fort Worth Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 19
Shunsuke Mitsui
M25 Austin · 1st Round
Oct 14
Abedallah Shelbayh
Columbus Challenger · Semifinals
Oct 3
Keegan Smith
Columbus Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Stefan Kozlov
Columbus Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Tyler Zink
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 28
Sebastian Gorzny
San Diego 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Michael Zheng
Tiburon Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 48–69 matches
| Metric | Andrade | Krueger |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 46% |
| Sets won | 56% | 46% |
| Games won | 51% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Andrade | Krueger |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Andrade | Krueger |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |