Aidan Mayo vs Andy AndradePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Aidan Mayo and Andy Andrade have met 4 times since 2025; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Cary Challenger in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Mayo leads 2–1. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Mayo leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Mayo has taken 4 sets to Andrade's 4. Their most recent meeting: Aidan Mayo won at Kingston 2 Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mayo | Andrade | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aidan Mayo | Andy Andrade | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 20/27 | 72% | 28/39 |
| Wins a set when losing | 62% | 13/21 | 38% | 11/29 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 20/48 | 32% | 22/68 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 39% | 9/23 | 52% | 16/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 13/20 | 67% | 24/36 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 10/26 | 68% | 13/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 21/24 | 85% | 33/39 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 83% | 20/24 | 72% | 28/39 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mayo 2, Andrade 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mayo
💥 Big Hitter
Andrade
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,969 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Aug 30, 2026
Kingston 2 Challenger
H Hard · Final
Apr 23, 2026
Savannah Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Mar 16, 2026
Morelos Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Jun 30, 2025
Cary Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mayo | Andrade | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Aidan Mayo | Andy Andrade | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 15/16 | 90% | 18/20 |
| 3 or more | 81% | 13/16 | 55% | 11/20 |
| 5 or more | 69% | 11/16 | 30% | 6/20 |
| 10 or more | 31% | 5/16 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 15 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/20 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mayo | Andrade |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–9 | 13–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.68 | 2.44 |
| ROI % | -0.4% | +50.0% |
| Units P/L | -0.10u | +10.50u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mayo | Andrade |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 7 |
| Distance | 2,418 mi · 3,891 km | 1,953 mi · 3,143 km |
| Route | USA | USA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Andrade has a higher win rate against shared opponents (56% vs Mayo's 22%).
| Opponent | Mayo | Andrade |
|---|---|---|
| Abedallah Shelbayh | L 67 57 | W 46 75 63 |
| Colton Smith | W 62 76 | L 36 64 36 |
| Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | W 64 76 | W 63 36 64 |
| Timo Legout | L 26 36 | L 57 57 |
| Andre Ilagan | L 67 76 36 | L 36 46 |
| Braden Shick | L 26 62 26 | L 26 36 |
| James Duckworth | L 64 36 46 | W 36 63 75 |
| Daniil Glinka | L 67 62 67 | W 64 62 |
| Blaise Bicknell | L 57 62 36 | W 61 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Abedallah Shelbayh
Columbus Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Colton Smith
Columbus Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Nikita Filin
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Sebastian Gorzny
San Diego 2 Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Jordan Lee
San Diego 2 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Ryan Seggerman
Tiburon Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Andy Andrade
Kingston 2 Challenger · Final
Aug 30
Luis Felipe Miguel
Kingston 2 Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 29
Dylan Dietrich
Columbus Challenger · Semifinals
Oct 3
Mees Rottgering
Columbus Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Luca Staeheli
Columbus Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 30
Trevor Svajda
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Nishesh Basavareddy
San Diego 2 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 26
Darwin Blanch
San Diego 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Abedallah Shelbayh
San Diego 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 23
Toby Samuel
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, GBR-ECU · Rubber 1
Sep 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 48–68 matches
| Metric | Mayo | Andrade |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 57% |
| Sets won | 58% | 56% |
| Games won | 53% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mayo | Andrade |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mayo | Andrade |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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