Marin Cilic vs Tommy PaulPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

ππ·Marin Cilic
#81 Β· 37 yrs Β· R
3 meetings Β· sets 4β3

πΊπΈTommy Paul
#21 Β· 29 yrs Β· R
Marin Cilic and Tommy Paul have met 3 times since 2021; Marin Cilic leads 2β1. Their first meeting came at Kremlin Cup - Moscow in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Cilic leads 2β1. Across all meetings Cilic has taken 4 sets to Paul's 3. Their most recent meeting: Tommy Paul won at National Bank Open - Montreal (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Cilic | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Marin Cilic | Tommy Paul | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 14/19 | 55% | 16/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 25% | 5/20 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 10/39 | 49% | 20/41 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 65% | 11/17 | 39% | 14/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 48% | 10/21 | 100% | 4/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 42% | 8/19 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 15/18 | 81% | 21/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 14/18 | 62% | 16/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Cilic 1, Paul 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cilic
π€ Servebot
Paul
π₯ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
π€ Servebot vs π₯ Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 11, 2022
National Bank Open - Montreal
H Hard Β· 3rd Round
Jan 13, 2022
Adelaide International 2 - Adelaide
H Hard Β· Quarterfinals
Oct 20, 2021
Kremlin Cup - Moscow
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Cilic | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Marin Cilic | Tommy Paul | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 6/8 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 5 or more | 75% | 6/8 | 80% | 12/15 |
| 10 or more | 13% | 1/8 | 33% | 5/15 |
| 15 or more | 13% | 1/8 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Cilic | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3β5 | 10β4 |
| Avg odds | 2.30 | 1.54 |
| ROI % | -34.5% | +12.2% |
| Units P/L | -2.76u | +1.71u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Cilic | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 5 |
| Distance | 712 mi Β· 1,146 km | 712 mi Β· 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN β USA | CAN β USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Paul has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Cilic's 40%).
| Opponent | Cilic | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Alexander Zverev | L 26 75 46 | W 46 76 64 |
| Learner Tien | W 75 76 | L 36 26 |
| Frances Tiafoe | L 75 26 26 | W 75 46 76 |
| Ugo Humbert | L 57 36 | W 63 63 |
| Zachary Svajda | L 67 46 | W 75 63 |
| Casper Ruud | L 46 46 63 57 | L 64 76 46 67 57 |
| Daniel Altmaier | L 26 36 | W 62 75 |
| Ethan Quinn | W 76 63 | W 61 63 |
| Zizou Bergs | W 46 63 64 | W 61 62 |
| Adrian Mannarino | W 63 62 | W 62 26 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 1st Round
Aug 15
Frances Tiafoe
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 2nd Round
Aug 5
Sho Shimabukuro
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 1st Round
Aug 4
Daniil Medvedev
Wimbledon - London Β· 1st Round
Jun 29
Ugo Humbert
HSBC Championships - London Β· 1st Round
Jun 16
Daniil Medvedev
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch Β· Quarterfinals
Jun 13
Nuno Borges
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch Β· 2nd Round
Jun 12
Denis Shapovalov
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch Β· 1st Round
Jun 8
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 4th Round
Aug 19
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 3rd Round
Aug 18
Hubert Hurkacz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 16
Learner Tien
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 3rd Round
Aug 8
Valentin Royer
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 2nd Round
Aug 6
Kamil Majchrzak
Citi Open - Washington Β· 1st Round
Jul 28
Hubert Hurkacz
Wimbledon - London Β· 3rd Round
Jul 3
Soonwoo Kwon
Wimbledon - London Β· 2nd Round
Jul 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 44β51 matches
| Metric | Cilic | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 48% | 69% |
| Sets won | 48% | 64% |
| Games won | 50% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Cilic | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Cilic | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
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