Alex de Minaur and Marin Cilic have met 3 times since 2018; Marin Cilic leads 2–1. Their most recent meeting: Marin Cilic won at Dubai (2025).
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minaur
🎯 Baseliner
Cilic
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,955 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
3 career meetings, newest first
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Minaur | Cilic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex de Minaur | Marin Cilic | ||
| 1 or more | 84% | 16/19 | 100% | 11/11 |
| 3 or more | 37% | 7/19 | 91% | 10/11 |
| 5 or more | 16% | 3/19 | 64% | 7/11 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 18% | 2/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/11 |
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Minaur | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–7 | 4–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.48 | 1.95 |
| ROI % | -4.6% | -27.5% |
| Units P/L | -0.88u | -2.75u |
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Minaur has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Cilic's 40%).
| Opponent | Minaur | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Denis Shapovalov | W 64 61 | W 67 64 75 |
| Ugo Humbert | W 64 63 | L 57 36 |
| Brandon Nakashima | L 57 36 | W 26 64 76 |
| Adrian Mannarino | W 64 60 | W 63 62 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 46 46 | L 26 63 16 |
| Nuno Borges | W 75 62 | W 36 76 63 |
| Daniel Altmaier | W 67 63 64 20 | L 26 36 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | W 63 62 | L 67 36 |
| Taylor Fritz | W 76 63 | L 67 67 |
| Alexander Bublik | W 64 61 61 | L 46 16 46 |
Last five matches per player
Denis Shapovalov
HSBC Championships · Round of 16
Jun 17
Brandon Nakashima
HSBC Championships · Quarterfinals
Jun 15
Kamil Majchrzak
Libema Open · Final
Jun 13
Adrian Mannarino
Libema Open · Semifinals
Jun 13
Benjamin Bonzi
Libema Open · Quarterfinals
Jun 12
Martin Damm
Libema Open · Round of 16
Jun 11
Gabriel Diallo
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 9
Jakub Mensik
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Ugo Humbert
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 16
Daniil Medvedev
Libema Open · Quarterfinals
Jun 13
Nuno Borges
Libema Open · Round of 16
Jun 11
Denis Shapovalov
Libema Open · Round of 32
Jun 10
Moise Kouame
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Martin Landaluce
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 64
May 9
Marcos Giron
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 128
May 7
Zizou Bergs
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 128
Apr 22
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–69 matches
| Metric | Minaur | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 55% |
| Sets won | 65% | 53% |
| Games won | 55% | 51% |
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Minaur | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 1 |
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Minaur | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
