Mackenzie McDonald and Tommy Paul have met 3 times since 2020; Tommy Paul leads 3–0. Their most recent meeting: Tommy Paul won at Tokyo (2023).
Playing styles and historical archetype record
McDonald
🤖 Servebot
Paul
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,120 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
3 career meetings, newest first
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | McDonald | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Mackenzie McDonald | Tommy Paul | ||
| 1 or more | 73% | 8/11 | 95% | 18/19 |
| 3 or more | 27% | 3/11 | 58% | 11/19 |
| 5 or more | 18% | 2/11 | 37% | 7/19 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 21% | 4/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 5% | 1/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/19 |
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | McDonald | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–7 | 15–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.50 | 1.54 |
| ROI % | -32.5% | +4.0% |
| Units P/L | -3.25u | +0.81u |
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paul has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs McDonald's 20%).
| Opponent | McDonald | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 64 36 63 | W 76 63 |
| Rinky Hijikata | L 36 67 | W 46 63 75 64 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 26 26 36 | W 26 63 63 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | L 76 67 36 | W 67 76 76 |
| Luciano Darderi | L 67 76 46 | L 63 36 26 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | L 26 06 | L 57 46 |
| Jenson Brooksby | W 64 62 | W 46 64 76 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | L 46 67 | L 75 46 46 |
| Sebastian Korda | L 46 57 | L 46 36 |
| Corentin Moutet | L 57 36 | W 46 63 64 |
Last five matches per player
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Lexus Nottingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 14
Shintaro Mochizuki
Lexus Nottingham Open · Round of 16
Jun 11
Niels Visker
Libema Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 8
Rinky Hijikata
Lexus Birmingham Open · Round of 16
Jun 4
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Lexus Birmingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 2
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 24
Daniel Merida
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · 1st Round Qualifying
May 4
Lloyd Harris
Mutua Madrid Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 20
Francisco Cerundolo
HSBC Championships · Final
Jun 20
Ugo Humbert
HSBC Championships · Semifinals
Jun 18
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
HSBC Championships · Quarterfinals
Jun 15
Zachary Svajda
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 15
Botic van de Zandschulp
HSBC Championships · Round of 16
Jun 12
Casper Ruud
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Lorenzo Sonego
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Rinky Hijikata
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 25
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–58 matches
| Metric | McDonald | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 47% | 70% |
| Sets won | 46% | 65% |
| Games won | 50% | 55% |
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | McDonald | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 3 |
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | McDonald | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 3 |
