Mackenzie McDonald vs Rinky HijikataPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Mackenzie McDonald and Rinky Hijikata have met 4 times since 2023; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch in 2023 on grass. On grass courts Hijikata leads 2–1. Across all meetings McDonald has taken 5 sets to Hijikata's 5. Their most recent meeting: Rinky Hijikata won at Birmingham Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | McDonald | Hijikata | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Mackenzie McDonald | Rinky Hijikata | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 17/25 | 56% | 27/48 |
| Wins a set when losing | 24% | 6/25 | 29% | 9/31 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 14/50 | 38% | 30/79 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 15/30 | 47% | 20/43 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 29% | 5/17 | 60% | 18/30 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 41% | 7/17 | 67% | 26/39 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 20/23 | 92% | 34/37 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 17/23 | 73% | 27/37 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (McDonald 1, Hijikata 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
McDonald
⚙️ Grinder
Hijikata
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
Both Mackenzie McDonald and Rinky Hijikata are ⚙️ Grinder types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 654 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jun 4, 2026
Birmingham Challenger
G Grass · 2nd Round
Oct 11, 2024
Hangzhou Challenger
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jul 16, 2024
Infosys Hall of Fame Open - Newport
G Grass · 1st Round
Jun 16, 2023
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | McDonald | Hijikata | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Mackenzie McDonald | Rinky Hijikata | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 94% | 17/18 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 4/8 | 72% | 13/18 |
| 5 or more | 38% | 3/8 | 56% | 10/18 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 6% | 1/18 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | McDonald | Hijikata |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–6 | 11–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.96 | 2.15 |
| ROI % | -24.7% | +15.7% |
| Units P/L | -2.72u | +2.98u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | McDonald | Hijikata |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 1 | 7 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km |
| Route | CAN | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Hijikata has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs McDonald's 10%).
| Opponent | McDonald | Hijikata |
|---|---|---|
| Jacob Fearnley | L 46 57 | W 61 76 |
| Adam Walton | L 16 36 | L 36 76 16 |
| Patrick Kypson | L 63 16 46 46 | L 46 46 |
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | L 26 67 | L 36 26 |
| Chris Rodesch | L 67 75 57 | L 67 26 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | L 62 16 26 | W 64 62 |
| Cameron Norrie | L 26 36 | L 46 26 |
| Bernard Tomic | W 75 76 | W 36 64 63 |
| Alex Bolt | L 36 63 36 | W 63 63 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | L 76 67 36 | L 16 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jacob Fearnley
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Alex Michelsen
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Adam Walton
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 8
Patrick Kypson
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Roberto Carballes Baena
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Felipe Meligeni Alves
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Christopher O'Connell
Wimbledon · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 25
Shintaro Mochizuki
Nottingham 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 16
Benjamin Bonzi
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 26
Raphael Collignon
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Darwin Blanch
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Jakub Mensik
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Luciano Darderi
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Gael Monfils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Jaume Munar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 2
Denis Shapovalov
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 1st Round
Jul 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 53–83 matches
| Metric | McDonald | Hijikata |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 59% |
| Sets won | 48% | 55% |
| Games won | 50% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | McDonald | Hijikata |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | McDonald | Hijikata |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 2 |
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