Mackenzie McDonald vs Rinky HijikataPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Mackenzie McDonald and Rinky Hijikata have met 4 times since 2023; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch in 2023 on grass. On grass courts Hijikata leads 2–1. Across all meetings McDonald has taken 5 sets to Hijikata's 5. Their most recent meeting: Rinky Hijikata won at Birmingham Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | McDonald | Hijikata | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Mackenzie McDonald | Rinky Hijikata | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 65% | 13/20 | 56% | 25/45 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 9/28 | 26% | 8/31 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 16/48 | 37% | 28/76 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 42% | 11/26 | 45% | 17/38 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 37% | 7/19 | 57% | 20/35 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 24% | 4/17 | 66% | 25/38 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 74% | 14/19 | 91% | 32/35 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 13/19 | 71% | 25/35 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (McDonald 1, Hijikata 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
McDonald
⚙️ Grinder
Hijikata
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 682 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Rinky Hijikata.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jun 4, 2026
Birmingham Challenger
G Grass · 2nd Round
Oct 11, 2024
Hangzhou Challenger
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jul 16, 2024
Infosys Hall of Fame Open - Newport
G Grass · 1st Round
Jun 16, 2023
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | McDonald | Hijikata | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Mackenzie McDonald | Rinky Hijikata | ||
| 1 or more | 86% | 6/7 | 93% | 13/14 |
| 3 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 71% | 10/14 |
| 5 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 43% | 6/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | McDonald | Hijikata |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–7 | 6–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.21 | 2.81 |
| ROI % | -56.3% | -17.5% |
| Units P/L | -5.63u | -2.45u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | McDonald | Hijikata |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 1 | 5 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 2,283 mi · 3,674 km |
| Route | POR | CHN → JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Hijikata has a higher win rate against shared opponents (38% vs McDonald's 0%).
| Opponent | McDonald | Hijikata |
|---|---|---|
| Dalibor Svrcina | L 64 26 57 | W 76 64 |
| Jacob Fearnley | L 46 57 | W 61 76 |
| Yibing Wu | L 67 61 57 | L 16 67 |
| Adam Walton | L 16 36 | L 36 76 16 |
| Patrick Kypson | L 63 16 46 46 | L 46 46 |
| Chris Rodesch | L 67 75 57 | L 67 26 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | L 62 16 26 | W 64 62 |
| Cameron Norrie | L 26 36 | L 46 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ryan Nijboer
Braga Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 7
Toby Samuel
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Dalibor Svrcina
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Thiago Seyboth Wild
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Stefano Napolitano
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Jacob Fearnley
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Yibing Wu
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Alex Michelsen
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Roman Safiullin
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Andrey Rublev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Dalibor Svrcina
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 24
Felix Auger Aliassime
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Benjamin Bonzi
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 26
Raphael Collignon
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–81 matches
| Metric | McDonald | Hijikata |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 41% | 57% |
| Sets won | 43% | 53% |
| Games won | 49% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | McDonald | Hijikata |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | McDonald | Hijikata |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 2 |
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