Lorenzo Musetti vs Stefanos TsitsipasPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Lorenzo Musetti and Stefanos Tsitsipas have met 7 times since 2021; Stefanos Tsitsipas leads 5–2. Their first meeting came at Abierto Mexicano Telcel - Acapulco in 2021 on hard. On clay courts Tsitsipas leads 4–2. Musetti has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Musetti has taken 8 sets to Tsitsipas's 12. Their most recent meeting: Lorenzo Musetti won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Musetti | Tsitsipas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lorenzo Musetti | Stefanos Tsitsipas | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 73% | 16/22 | 75% | 24/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 25% | 4/16 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 10/38 | 27% | 13/49 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 15/27 | 50% | 17/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 33% | 3/9 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 5/13 | 43% | 12/28 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 19/22 | 90% | 28/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 73% | 16/22 | 77% | 24/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Musetti 1, Tsitsipas 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Musetti
💥 Big Hitter
Tsitsipas
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
Apr 29, 2025
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 3rd Round
Apr 11, 2025
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay · Quarterfinals
May 16, 2023
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 4th Round
Apr 22, 2023
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona
C Clay · Semifinals
May 24, 2022
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
May 22, 2021
Open Parc - Lyon
C Clay · Semifinals
Mar 19, 2021
Abierto Mexicano Telcel - Acapulco
H Hard · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Musetti | Tsitsipas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Lorenzo Musetti | Stefanos Tsitsipas | ||
| 1 or more | 91% | 10/11 | 100% | 20/20 |
| 3 or more | 73% | 8/11 | 95% | 19/20 |
| 5 or more | 46% | 5/11 | 80% | 16/20 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 25% | 5/20 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 15% | 3/20 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/20 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Musetti | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–5 | 17–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.50 | 1.76 |
| ROI % | -28.7% | +19.9% |
| Units P/L | -3.16u | +4.58u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Musetti | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 1 | 6 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | CHN | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Musetti has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Tsitsipas's 50%).
| Opponent | Musetti | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Valentin Vacherot | L 67 57 | L 64 67 46 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 67 62 64 | W 46 63 64 |
| Jiri Lehecka | L 36 36 | W 26 61 76 61 |
| Arthur Fery | W 63 63 75 | W 61 76 |
| Arthur Fils | L 36 46 | W 46 76 61 64 |
| Aleksandar Vukic | W 63 57 63 | L 67 67 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 75 36 75 | L 46 63 36 |
| Matteo Arnaldi | W | L 67 75 36 26 |
| Raphael Collignon | W | W 64 67 63 |
| Novak Djokovic | L | L 36 46 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Yi Zhou
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Dane Sweeny
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Arthur Fery
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Jaime Faria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Michael Zheng
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daniel Altmaier
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Luciano Darderi
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Kimmer Coppejans
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Valentin Vacherot
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Rinky Hijikata
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Yoshihito Nishioka
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Alex Molcan
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, SVK-GRE 3-2 · Rubber 4
Sep 20
Norbert Gombos
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, SVK-GRE 3-2 · Rubber 2
Sep 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 43–58 matches
| Metric | Musetti | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 62% |
| Sets won | 59% | 60% |
| Games won | 52% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Musetti | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 2 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Musetti | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 2 | 4 |
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