Lorenzo Musetti vs Stefanos TsitsipasPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Lorenzo Musetti and Stefanos Tsitsipas have met 7 times since 2021; Stefanos Tsitsipas leads 5–2. Their first meeting came at Abierto Mexicano Telcel - Acapulco in 2021 on hard. On clay courts Tsitsipas leads 4–2. Musetti has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Musetti has taken 8 sets to Tsitsipas's 12. Their most recent meeting: Lorenzo Musetti won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Musetti | Tsitsipas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lorenzo Musetti | Stefanos Tsitsipas | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 21/29 | 76% | 19/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 24% | 4/17 | 31% | 5/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 12/46 | 27% | 11/41 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 59% | 20/34 | 44% | 12/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 30% | 3/10 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 7/15 | 42% | 11/26 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 26/29 | 92% | 23/25 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 21/29 | 76% | 19/25 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Musetti 1, Tsitsipas 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Musetti
🎯 Baseliner
Tsitsipas
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,749 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
Apr 29, 2025
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 3rd Round
Apr 11, 2025
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay · Quarterfinals
May 16, 2023
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 4th Round
Apr 22, 2023
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona
C Clay · Semifinals
May 24, 2022
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
May 22, 2021
Open Parc - Lyon
C Clay · Semifinals
Mar 19, 2021
Abierto Mexicano Telcel - Acapulco
H Hard · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Musetti | Tsitsipas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Lorenzo Musetti | Stefanos Tsitsipas | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 7/8 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 63% | 5/8 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 5 or more | 25% | 2/8 | 77% | 10/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Musetti | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–3 | 9–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.62 | 1.87 |
| ROI % | -18.1% | -8.5% |
| Units P/L | -1.45u | -1.28u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Musetti | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 7 | 5 |
| Distance | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km |
| Route | USA → CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Musetti has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Tsitsipas's 30%).
| Opponent | Musetti | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Aleksandar Vukic | W 63 57 63 | L 67 67 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 75 36 75 | L 46 63 36 |
| Aleksandr Shevchenko | W 63 61 | W 64 36 63 |
| Novak Djokovic | L 64 36 57 | L 36 46 26 |
| Alexandre Muller | W 62 64 | L 62 30 |
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | W 64 64 | W 64 76 |
| Casper Ruud | L 36 16 | L 76 67 67 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | W 76 64 | L 57 46 |
| Tomas Machac | W 57 64 62 57 62 | L 46 67 |
| Alexander Bublik | L 67 36 | W 62 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Jaime Faria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Michael Zheng
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daniel Altmaier
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Nicolas Mejia
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Aleksandar Vukic
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 27
Jenson Brooksby
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Felix Auger Aliassime
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Valentin Royer
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Joao Fonseca
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Martin Damm
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Alex de Minaur
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 29
Raphael Collignon
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · Final
Jul 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 46–52 matches
| Metric | Musetti | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 57% |
| Sets won | 62% | 57% |
| Games won | 54% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Musetti | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 0 | 2 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Musetti | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 2 | 4 |
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