Lorenzo Musetti vs Marin CilicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Lorenzo Musetti and Marin Cilic have met 2 times since 2021; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Miami Open - Miami in 2021 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Musetti has taken 2 sets to Cilic's 2. Their most recent meeting: Lorenzo Musetti won at Rolex Paris Masters - Paris (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Musetti | Cilic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lorenzo Musetti | Marin Cilic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 73% | 16/22 | 72% | 13/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 25% | 4/16 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 10/38 | 29% | 10/35 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 15/27 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 33% | 3/9 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 5/13 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 19/22 | 82% | 14/17 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 73% | 16/22 | 76% | 13/17 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Musetti 1, Cilic 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Musetti
💥 Big Hitter
Cilic
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Oct 31, 2022
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · 1st Round
Mar 29, 2021
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Musetti | Cilic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Lorenzo Musetti | Marin Cilic | ||
| 1 or more | 91% | 10/11 | 100% | 4/4 |
| 3 or more | 73% | 8/11 | 75% | 3/4 |
| 5 or more | 46% | 5/11 | 75% | 3/4 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/4 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Musetti | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–5 | 1–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.50 | 2.27 |
| ROI % | -28.7% | -56.3% |
| Units P/L | -3.16u | -2.25u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Musetti | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Musetti has a higher win rate against shared opponents (57% vs Cilic's 0%).
| Opponent | Musetti | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Arthur Fery | W 63 63 75 | L 67 16 |
| Frances Tiafoe | L 67 57 | L 75 26 26 |
| Daniel Altmaier | W 64 62 | L 26 36 |
| Casper Ruud | L 36 16 | L 46 46 63 57 |
| Martin Landaluce | W 75 62 | L 46 46 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 46 57 | L 26 75 46 |
| Taylor Fritz | W 62 75 64 | L 67 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Yi Zhou
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Dane Sweeny
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Arthur Fery
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Jaime Faria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Michael Zheng
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daniel Altmaier
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Arthur Fery
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Frances Tiafoe
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Sho Shimabukuro
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Daniil Medvedev
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Ugo Humbert
HSBC Championships - London · 1st Round
Jun 16
Daniil Medvedev
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · Quarterfinals
Jun 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 40–43 matches
| Metric | Musetti | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 50% |
| Sets won | 59% | 50% |
| Games won | 52% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Musetti | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Musetti | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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