Lorenzo Musetti vs Marin CilicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Lorenzo Musetti and Marin Cilic have met 2 times since 2021; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Miami Open - Miami in 2021 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Musetti has taken 2 sets to Cilic's 2. Their most recent meeting: Lorenzo Musetti won at Rolex Paris Masters - Paris (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Musetti | Cilic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lorenzo Musetti | Marin Cilic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 21/29 | 74% | 14/19 |
| Wins a set when losing | 24% | 4/17 | 25% | 5/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 12/46 | 26% | 10/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 59% | 20/34 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 30% | 3/10 | 48% | 10/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 7/15 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 26/29 | 83% | 15/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 21/29 | 78% | 14/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Musetti 1, Cilic 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Musetti
🎯 Baseliner
Cilic
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,749 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Oct 31, 2022
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · 1st Round
Mar 29, 2021
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Musetti | Cilic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Lorenzo Musetti | Marin Cilic | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 7/8 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 63% | 5/8 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 5 or more | 25% | 2/8 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Musetti | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–3 | 3–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.62 | 2.30 |
| ROI % | -18.1% | -34.5% |
| Units P/L | -1.45u | -2.76u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Musetti | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 7 | 3 |
| Distance | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | USA → CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Musetti has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Cilic's 20%).
| Opponent | Musetti | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Frances Tiafoe | L 67 57 | L 75 26 26 |
| Daniel Altmaier | W 64 62 | L 26 36 |
| Casper Ruud | L 36 16 | L 46 46 63 57 |
| Martin Landaluce | W 75 62 | L 46 46 |
| Corentin Moutet | W 63 64 | L 57 46 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 46 26 | L 67 36 |
| Aleksandr Shevchenko | W 63 61 | W 61 63 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 46 57 | L 26 75 46 |
| Taylor Fritz | W 62 75 64 | L 67 67 |
| Adrian Mannarino | W 63 63 | W 63 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Jaime Faria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Michael Zheng
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daniel Altmaier
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Nicolas Mejia
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Aleksandar Vukic
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Frances Tiafoe
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Sho Shimabukuro
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Daniil Medvedev
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Ugo Humbert
HSBC Championships - London · 1st Round
Jun 16
Daniil Medvedev
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · Quarterfinals
Jun 13
Nuno Borges
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · 2nd Round
Jun 12
Denis Shapovalov
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · 1st Round
Jun 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 44–52 matches
| Metric | Musetti | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 48% |
| Sets won | 62% | 48% |
| Games won | 54% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Musetti | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Musetti | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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