Karolina Muchova vs Marta KostyukPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇨🇿Karolina Muchova
#7 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 4–2
🇺🇦Marta Kostyuk
#10 · 23 yrs · Right-Handed
4wKarolina Muchova and Marta Kostyuk have met 2 times since 2025; Karolina Muchova leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Muchova leads 2–0. Muchova has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Muchova has taken 4 sets to Kostyuk's 2. Their most recent meeting: Karolina Muchova won at Wuhan Open - Wuhan (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Muchova | Kostyuk | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Karolina Muchova | Marta Kostyuk | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 27/41 | 72% | 26/36 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 4/13 | 40% | 4/10 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 18/54 | 30% | 14/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 20/38 | 59% | 20/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 9/13 | 67% | 8/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 100% | 8/8 | 40% | 4/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 33/35 | 91% | 30/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 27/35 | 79% | 26/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Muchova 0, Kostyuk 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Muchova
🤖 Servebot
Kostyuk
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🤖 Servebot across 2,084 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Marta Kostyuk.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the servebot's high ace rate.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Oct 7, 2025
Wuhan Open - Wuhan
H Hard · 1st Round
Sep 1, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 4th Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Muchova | Kostyuk | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Karolina Muchova | Marta Kostyuk | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 75% | 9/12 |
| 5 or more | 29% | 2/7 | 58% | 7/12 |
| 10 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Muchova | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–2 | 8–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.27 | 1.49 |
| ROI % | -10.1% | -11.8% |
| Units P/L | -0.71u | -1.41u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Muchova | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 4 | 1 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | ROU | UKR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kostyuk has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Muchova's 50%).
| Opponent | Muchova | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 46 64 62 | L 64 26 57 |
| Linda Noskova | L 26 75 36 | L 57 75 46 |
| Emma Navarro | L 36 57 | W 62 46 61 |
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | W 64 75 | W 63 62 |
| Coco Gauff | W 62 16 76 | L 26 26 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 26 06 | L 63 16 26 |
| Madison Keys | L 46 57 | W 63 61 |
| Elina Svitolina | W 64 26 64 | W 63 26 62 |
| Kamilla Rakhimova | W 62 62 | W 62 64 |
| Anastasia Potapova | L 36 26 | W 62 16 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nikola Bartunkova
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 8
Naomi Osaka
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 6
Liudmila Samsonova
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Katie Boulter
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Emma Navarro
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Katie Boulter
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Sinja Kraus
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · Final
Jul 11
Liudmila Samsonova
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · Quarterfinals
Sep 17
Linda Noskova
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Ekaterina Alexandrova
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Sloane Stephens
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Storm Hunter
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Mirra Andreeva
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Sloane Stephens
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 46–54 matches
| Metric | Muchova | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 76% | 78% |
| Sets won | 68% | 72% |
| Games won | 55% | 59% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Muchova | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Muchova | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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