Karolina Muchova vs Marta KostyukPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇨🇿Karolina Muchova
#7 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
7w2 meetings · sets 4–2
🇺🇦Marta Kostyuk
#11 · 23 yrs · Right-Handed
Karolina Muchova and Marta Kostyuk have met 2 times since 2025; Karolina Muchova leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Muchova leads 2–0. Muchova has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Muchova has taken 4 sets to Kostyuk's 2. Their most recent meeting: Karolina Muchova won at Wuhan Open - Wuhan (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Muchova | Kostyuk | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Karolina Muchova | Marta Kostyuk | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 25/40 | 71% | 27/38 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 5/13 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 20/53 | 33% | 16/49 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 18/34 | 60% | 21/35 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 11/16 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 6/9 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 91% | 31/34 | 91% | 31/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 25/34 | 79% | 27/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Muchova 0, Kostyuk 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Muchova
💥 Big Hitter
Kostyuk
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,896 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Oct 7, 2025
Wuhan Open - Wuhan
H Hard · 1st Round
Sep 1, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 4th Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Muchova | Kostyuk | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Karolina Muchova | Marta Kostyuk | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 9/12 | 60% | 9/15 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 6/12 | 47% | 7/15 |
| 10 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Muchova | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–2 | 11–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.51 | 1.55 |
| ROI % | +16.3% | +3.3% |
| Units P/L | +1.63u | +0.49u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Muchova | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 7 |
| Distance | — | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | — | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kostyuk has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Muchova's 50%).
| Opponent | Muchova | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Coco Gauff | W 62 16 76 | L 26 26 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 26 06 | L 63 16 26 |
| Madison Keys | L 46 57 | W 63 61 |
| Linda Noskova | L 26 75 36 | L 46 46 |
| Elina Svitolina | W 64 26 64 | W 63 26 62 |
| Kamilla Rakhimova | W 62 62 | W 62 64 |
| Anastasia Potapova | L 36 26 | W 62 16 61 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 57 16 | L 36 46 |
| Aliaksandra Sasnovich | W 62 64 | W 64 62 |
| Magda Linette | W 61 61 | W 64 60 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · Final
Jul 11
Coco Gauff
Wimbledon - London · Semifinals
Jul 9
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Barbora Krejcikova
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Shuai Zhang
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Anastasia Zakharova
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Elena Gabriela Ruse
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · Semifinals
Jun 26
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Mirra Andreeva
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Sloane Stephens
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Sofia Kenin
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Iga Swiatek
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 8
Madison Keys
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Katherine Sebov
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · Semifinals
Jul 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 49–53 matches
| Metric | Muchova | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 75% | 78% |
| Sets won | 67% | 71% |
| Games won | 55% | 59% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Muchova | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Muchova | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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