Karolina Muchova vs Maria SakkariPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇨🇿Karolina Muchova
#7 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
7w5 meetings · sets 10–3
🇬🇷Maria Sakkari
#33 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
Karolina Muchova and Maria Sakkari have met 5 times since 2021; Karolina Muchova leads 5–0. Their first meeting came at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Muchova leads 3–0. On hard courts Muchova leads 2–0. Muchova has won the last 5 meetings. Across all meetings Muchova has taken 10 sets to Sakkari's 3. Their most recent meeting: Karolina Muchova won at Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Muchova | Sakkari | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Karolina Muchova | Maria Sakkari | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 25/40 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 5/13 | 23% | 5/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 20/53 | 30% | 13/43 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 18/34 | 45% | 9/20 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 11/16 | 50% | 11/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 6/9 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 91% | 31/34 | 77% | 17/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 25/34 | 59% | 13/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Muchova 2, Sakkari 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Muchova
💥 Big Hitter
Sakkari
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Feb 13, 2026
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha
H Hard · Semifinals
Aug 17, 2023
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 3rd Round
May 28, 2023
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
May 25, 2022
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 2nd Round
May 4, 2021
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Muchova | Sakkari | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Karolina Muchova | Maria Sakkari | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 86% | 12/14 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 9/12 | 64% | 9/14 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 6/12 | 43% | 6/14 |
| 10 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Muchova | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–2 | 8–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.51 | 2.26 |
| ROI % | +16.3% | -8.9% |
| Units P/L | +1.63u | -1.25u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Muchova | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 4 |
| Distance | — | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | — | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Muchova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Sakkari's 56%).
| Opponent | Muchova | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Iga Swiatek | L 26 06 | L 64 16 16 |
| Kamilla Rakhimova | W 62 62 | W 62 57 61 |
| Coco Gauff | W 62 16 76 | L 16 46 |
| Barbora Krejcikova | W 75 57 63 | L 67 36 |
| Alycia Parks | W 46 64 64 | W 64 63 |
| Linda Noskova | L 26 75 36 | W 75 76 |
| Naomi Osaka | W 76 64 | W 64 62 |
| Clara Tauson | W 16 62 64 | W 63 63 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 57 16 | L 46 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · Final
Jul 11
Coco Gauff
Wimbledon - London · Semifinals
Jul 9
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Barbora Krejcikova
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Shuai Zhang
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Anastasia Zakharova
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Elena Gabriela Ruse
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · Semifinals
Jun 26
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Kamilla Rakhimova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Coco Gauff
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Zeynep Sonmez
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Barbora Krejcikova
Athens Open - Athens · Final
Jul 19
Alina Korneeva
Athens Open - Athens · Semifinals
Jul 18
Alycia Parks
Athens Open - Athens · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Harriet Dart
Athens Open - Athens · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 43–53 matches
| Metric | Muchova | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 75% | 49% |
| Sets won | 67% | 47% |
| Games won | 55% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Muchova | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 2 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 3 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Muchova | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 3 | 0 |
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