Karolina Muchova vs Maria SakkariPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇨🇿Karolina Muchova
#7 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
5 meetings · sets 10–3
🇬🇷Maria Sakkari
#35 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
Karolina Muchova and Maria Sakkari have met 5 times since 2021; Karolina Muchova leads 5–0. Their first meeting came at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Muchova leads 3–0. On hard courts Muchova leads 2–0. Muchova has won the last 5 meetings. Across all meetings Muchova has taken 10 sets to Sakkari's 3. Their most recent meeting: Karolina Muchova won at Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Muchova | Sakkari | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Karolina Muchova | Maria Sakkari | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 27/41 | 67% | 16/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 4/13 | 32% | 7/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 18/54 | 33% | 15/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 20/38 | 52% | 12/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 9/13 | 50% | 11/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 100% | 8/8 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 33/35 | 76% | 19/25 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 27/35 | 64% | 16/25 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Muchova 2, Sakkari 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Muchova
🤖 Servebot
Sakkari
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Karolina Muchova and Maria Sakkari are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,080 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Feb 13, 2026
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha
H Hard · Semifinals
Aug 17, 2023
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 3rd Round
May 28, 2023
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
May 25, 2022
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 2nd Round
May 4, 2021
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Muchova | Sakkari | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Karolina Muchova | Maria Sakkari | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 86% | 12/14 |
| 3 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 79% | 11/14 |
| 5 or more | 29% | 2/7 | 50% | 7/14 |
| 10 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Muchova | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–2 | 8–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.27 | 2.17 |
| ROI % | -10.1% | -19.2% |
| Units P/L | -0.71u | -2.69u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Muchova | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 5 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 2,779 mi · 4,472 km |
| Route | ROU | SGP → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Muchova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Sakkari's 50%).
| Opponent | Muchova | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Naomi Osaka | W 75 16 76 | W 64 62 |
| Elina Svitolina | W 64 26 64 | L 46 57 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 26 06 | L 64 16 16 |
| Kamilla Rakhimova | W 62 62 | W 62 57 61 |
| Coco Gauff | W 62 16 76 | L 16 46 |
| Barbora Krejcikova | W 75 57 63 | L 67 36 |
| Alycia Parks | W 46 64 64 | W 64 63 |
| Linda Noskova | L 26 75 36 | W 75 76 |
| Clara Tauson | W 16 62 64 | W 63 63 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 57 16 | L 46 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nikola Bartunkova
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 8
Naomi Osaka
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 6
Liudmila Samsonova
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Katie Boulter
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Emma Navarro
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Katie Boulter
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Sinja Kraus
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · Final
Jul 11
Elina Svitolina
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Storm Hunter
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Talia Gibson
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Nao Hibino
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Linda Fruhvirtova
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 1st Round
Sep 22
Yuliia Starodubtseva
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Robin Montgomery
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 46–54 matches
| Metric | Muchova | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 76% | 52% |
| Sets won | 68% | 51% |
| Games won | 55% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Muchova | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 2 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 3 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Muchova | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 3 | 0 |
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