🇨🇿Karolina Muchova
#10 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 1–4
🇺🇸Madison Keys
#19 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
Karolina Muchova and Madison Keys have met 3 times since 2019; Madison Keys leads 3–0. Their most recent meeting: Madison Keys won at Berlin (2026).
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Muchova
💥 Big Hitter
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Karolina Muchova and Madison Keys are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit — across 6,908 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
3 career meetings, newest first
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Muchova | Keys | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Karolina Muchova | Madison Keys | ||
| 1 or more | 83% | 5/6 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 67% | 4/6 | 83% | 5/6 |
| 5 or more | 17% | 1/6 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/6 |
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Muchova | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–5 | 12–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.46 | 2.13 |
| ROI % | +90.4% | +68.4% |
| Units P/L | +13.56u | +10.94u |
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Keys has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Muchova's 50%).
| Opponent | Muchova | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Diana Shnaider | L 62 16 26 | L |
| Victoria Mboko | W 75 76 | W |
| Antonia Ruzic | W 60 63 | W |
| Anastasia Zakharova | W | W |
| Elena Rybakina | L 57 16 | L 76 46 26 |
| Anna Bondar | W 75 62 | W 62 75 |
| Belinda Bencic | L 63 57 57 | W 46 63 62 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 26 06 | L 16 26 |
| Tereza Valentova | W 61 64 | W 64 61 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 36 46 | L 36 36 |
Last five matches per player
Madison Keys
Berlin ·
Jun 18
Shuai Zhang
Berlin ·
Jun 16
Jil Teichmann
French Open ·
May 29
Kamilla Rakhimova
French Open ·
May 27
Anastasia Zakharova
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 25
Anastasia Zakharova
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 25
Jil Teichmann
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 25
Kamilla Rakhimova
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 25
Jessica Pegula
Berlin ·
Jun 19
Karolina Muchova
Berlin ·
Jun 18
Diana Shnaider
French Open ·
Jun 1
Victoria Mboko
French Open ·
May 30
Antonia Ruzic
French Open ·
May 28
Hanne Vandewinkel
French Open ·
May 26
Hanne Vandewinkel
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Diana Shnaider
Roland Garros · Round of 16
May 25
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 37–49 matches
| Metric | Muchova | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 71% | 62% |
| Sets won | 64% | 60% |
| Games won | 54% | 53% |
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Muchova | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 2 |
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Muchova | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
