Beatriz Haddad Maia vs Madison KeysPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇷Beatriz Haddad Maia
#154 · 30 yrs · Left-Handed
9w5 meetings · sets 5–6
🇺🇸Madison Keys
#23 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
Beatriz Haddad Maia and Madison Keys have met 5 times since 2023; Madison Keys leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at WTA Elite Trophy - Zhuhai in 2023 on hard. On hard courts they are level 2–2. Across all meetings Maia has taken 5 sets to Keys's 6. Their most recent meeting: Madison Keys won at Adelaide International - Adelaide (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Haddad Maia | Keys | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Beatriz Haddad Maia | Madison Keys | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 86% | 6/7 | 75% | 24/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 30% | 6/20 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 7/27 | 34% | 16/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 40% | 4/10 | 59% | 22/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 8/17 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 5/10 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 60% | 6/10 | 83% | 25/30 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 6/10 | 80% | 24/30 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Haddad Maia 2, Keys 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Maia
💥 Big Hitter
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Beatriz Haddad Maia and Madison Keys are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,096 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Jan 7, 2025
Adelaide International - Adelaide
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 7, 2024
Wuhan Open - Wuhan
H Hard · 1st Round
Sep 30, 2024
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · 3rd Round
May 11, 2024
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 3rd Round
Oct 24, 2023
WTA Elite Trophy - Zhuhai
H Hard · Round Robin
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Maia | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0–3 | 13–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.91 | 1.44 |
| ROI % | -100.0% | -10.3% |
| Units P/L | -3.00u | -1.95u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Maia | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 6 |
| Distance | — | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | — | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Keys has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Maia's 20%).
| Opponent | Maia | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Amanda Anisimova | L 06 36 | W 36 62 63 |
| Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | L 16 16 | W 60 61 |
| Victoria Mboko | L 75 36 26 | W 63 57 75 |
| Diane Parry | L 36 26 | W 64 63 |
| Ashlyn Krueger | W 67 64 63 | W 61 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Maria Timofeeva
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Sachia Vickery
Ladies Open - Figueira da Foz · 1st Round
Jun 15
Heather Watson
Queen's Club
Jun 7
Francesca Jones
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 24
Diane Parry
Trophee Clarins - Paris · 1st Round
May 12
Leolia Jeanjean
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 1st Round
May 6
Marina Bassols Ribera
Catalonia Open Solgirones - La Bisbal D'Emporda · Quarterfinals
May 1
Ashlyn Krueger
Catalonia Open Solgirones - La Bisbal D'Emporda · 2nd Round
Apr 29
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Katerina Siniakova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daria Snigur
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Antonia Ruzic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Liudmila Samsonova
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 27–47 matches
| Metric | Maia | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 26% | 68% |
| Sets won | 33% | 65% |
| Games won | 43% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Maia | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| WTA Finals | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Maia | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 2 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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