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Head-to-Head

Beatriz Haddad Maia vs Madison KeysPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Beatriz Haddad Maia

🇧🇷Beatriz Haddad Maia

#428 · 30 yrs · Left-Handed

15w
2–3

5 meetings · sets 5–6

Madison Keys

🇺🇸Madison Keys

#20 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed

6w

Beatriz Haddad Maia and Madison Keys have met 5 times since 2023; Madison Keys leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at WTA Elite Trophy - Zhuhai in 2023 on hard. On hard courts they are level 2–2. Across all meetings Maia has taken 5 sets to Keys's 6. Their most recent meeting: Madison Keys won at Adelaide International - Adelaide (2025).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorHaddad MaiaKeys
Wins in straight sets75%74%
Wins a set when losing26%56%
Goes to a deciding set26%36%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite25%57%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog47%38%
Tiebreak sets won57%46%
Wins after taking set 150%81%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 150%78%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Haddad Maia 2, Keys 2).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Maia

💥 Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies
vs

Keys

💥 Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies

Matchup analysis

Both Beatriz Haddad Maia and Madison Keys are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,594 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.

Previous meetings

5 career meetings, newest first

Jan 7, 2025

Adelaide International - Adelaide

H Hard · 1st Round

26
16
Keys

Oct 7, 2024

Wuhan Open - Wuhan

H Hard · 1st Round

767
62
Maia

Sep 30, 2024

China Open - Beijing

H Hard · 3rd Round

36
36
Keys

May 11, 2024

Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome

C Clay · 3rd Round

46
64
36
Keys

Oct 24, 2023

WTA Elite Trophy - Zhuhai

H Hard · Round Robin

64
64
Maia

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricMaiaKeys
W-L-6–4
Avg odds-1.40
ROI %--24.8%
Units P/L--2.48u

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Keys has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Maia's 20%).

OpponentMaiaKeys
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
L
16
16
W
60
61
Victoria Mboko
L
75
36
26
W
63
57
75
Diane Parry
L
36
26
L
Anastasia Zakharova
L
46
46
W
64
61
Ashlyn Krueger
W
67
64
63
W
61
75

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Maia
LLLLLLLL
L

Maria Timofeeva

Wimbledon - London · 1st Round

36
26

Jun 30

L

Sachia Vickery

Ladies Open - Figueira da Foz · 1st Round

57
57

Jun 15

L

Heather Watson

The HSBC Championships - London · 1st Round Qualifying

57
06

Jun 7

L

Francesca Jones

French Open - Paris · 1st Round

61
647
26

May 24

L

Shuai Zhang

Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg · 1st Round Qualifying

46
26

May 16

L

Diane Parry

Trophee Clarins - Paris · 1st Round

36
26

May 12

L

Leolia Jeanjean

Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 1st Round

667
46

May 6

L

Marina Bassols Ribera

Catalonia Open Solgirones - La Bisbal D'Emporda · Quarterfinals

26
16

May 1

Keys
LWWLWWWL
L

Qinwen Zheng

U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round

61
637
57

Sep 5

W

Anna Bondar

U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round

57
64
765

Sep 3

W

Alina Korneeva

U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round

75
64

Sep 1

L

Sara Bejlek

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals

63
46
657

Aug 21

W

Xiyu Wang

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round

763
64

Aug 20

W

Katerina Siniakova

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round

61
63

Aug 18

W

Daria Snigur

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

46
63
63

Aug 16

L

Marta Kostyuk

National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round

36
16

Aug 7

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ MaiaKeys ahead↓ Keys

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 23–50 matches

MetricMaiaKeys
Matches won17%68%
Sets won25%65%
Games won41%56%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageMaiaKeys
WTA Finals10
WTA 50001
WTA 100012

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceMaiaKeys
Hard22
Clay01

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Beatriz Haddad Maia vs Madison Keys FAQ

Madison Keys leads the head-to-head 3–2 over 5 meetings.