Beatriz Haddad Maia vs Katie BoulterPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ง๐ทBeatriz Haddad Maia
#154 ยท 30 yrs ยท Left-Handed
9w4 meetings ยท sets 3โ6

๐ฌ๐งKatie Boulter
#60 ยท 29 yrs ยท Right-Handed
Beatriz Haddad Maia and Katie Boulter have met 4 times since 2024; Katie Boulter leads 3โ1. Their first meeting came at San Diego Open - San Diego in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Boulter leads 3โ1. Across all meetings Maia has taken 3 sets to Boulter's 6. Their most recent meeting: Katie Boulter won at Merida Open Akron - Merida (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Haddad Maia | Boulter | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Beatriz Haddad Maia | Katie Boulter | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 86% | 6/7 | 60% | 12/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 30% | 6/20 | 35% | 7/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 7/27 | 38% | 15/40 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 40% | 4/10 | 45% | 10/22 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 8/17 | 47% | 8/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 5/10 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 60% | 6/10 | 78% | 18/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 6/10 | 52% | 12/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Haddad Maia 1, Boulter 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Maia
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Boulter
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
๐ฅ Big Hitter vs ๐ค Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Feb 23, 2026
Merida Open Akron - Merida
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Oct 17, 2024
Ningbo Open - Ningbo
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Mar 23, 2024
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard ยท 3rd Round
Feb 28, 2024
San Diego Open - San Diego
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Maia | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0โ3 | 4โ5 |
| Avg odds | 1.91 | 2.26 |
| ROI % | -100.0% | +3.4% |
| Units P/L | -3.00u | +0.31u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Maia | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | โ | 2 |
| Events | โ | 2 |
| Matches | โ | 3 |
| Distance | โ | 411 mi ยท 662 km |
| Route | โ | CAN โ POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Boulter has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Maia's 20%).
| Opponent | Maia | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| Ashlyn Krueger | W 67 64 63 | L 63 26 26 |
| Maria Timofeeva | L 36 26 | W 62 62 |
| Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | L 16 16 | W 76 64 |
| Linda Fruhvirtova | L 36 76 46 | W 63 62 |
| Amanda Anisimova | L 06 36 | L 16 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Maria Timofeeva
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 30
Sachia Vickery
Ladies Open - Figueira da Foz ยท 1st Round
Jun 15
Heather Watson
Queen's Club
Jun 7
Francesca Jones
French Open - Paris ยท 1st Round
May 24
Diane Parry
Trophee Clarins - Paris ยท 1st Round
May 12
Leolia Jeanjean
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome ยท 1st Round
May 6
Marina Bassols Ribera
Catalonia Open Solgirones - La Bisbal D'Emporda ยท Quarterfinals
May 1
Ashlyn Krueger
Catalonia Open Solgirones - La Bisbal D'Emporda ยท 2nd Round
Apr 29
Linda Noskova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 15
Katie Volynets
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 14
Kayla Cross
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 1st Round
Aug 3
Ashlyn Krueger
Mubadala DC Open - Washington ยท 1st Round
Jul 28
Tyra Caterina Grant
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 30
Leylah Fernandez
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg ยท 1st Round
Jun 21
Donna Vekic
The HSBC Championships - London ยท Semifinals
Jun 13
Elena Rybakina
The HSBC Championships - London ยท Quarterfinals
Jun 12
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 27โ40 matches
| Metric | Maia | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 26% | 50% |
| Sets won | 33% | 49% |
| Games won | 43% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Maia | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 2 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Maia | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 3 |
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