Jasmine Paolini vs Katie BoulterPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇮🇹Jasmine Paolini
#20 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
8w5 meetings · sets 8–3
🇬🇧Katie Boulter
#60 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
Jasmine Paolini and Katie Boulter have met 5 times since 2022; Jasmine Paolini leads 4–1. Their first meeting came at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Paolini leads 2–1. Paolini has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Paolini has taken 8 sets to Boulter's 3. Their most recent meeting: Jasmine Paolini won at Merida Open Akron - Merida (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Paolini | Boulter | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jasmine Paolini | Katie Boulter | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 54% | 14/26 | 60% | 12/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 5/19 | 35% | 7/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 17/45 | 38% | 15/40 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 36% | 12/33 | 45% | 10/22 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 6/12 | 47% | 8/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 3/8 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 17/21 | 78% | 18/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 14/21 | 52% | 12/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Paolini 3, Boulter 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Boulter
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 749 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Feb 27, 2026
Merida Open Akron - Merida
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Apr 25, 2025
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 2nd Round
Jun 27, 2024
Rothesay International - Eastbourne
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Jan 29, 2024
Upper Austria Ladies Linz - Linz
H Hard · 1st Round
Mar 10, 2022
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Paolini | Boulter | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jasmine Paolini | Katie Boulter | ||
| 1 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 80% | 8/10 |
| 3 or more | 17% | 1/6 | 30% | 3/10 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 10% | 1/10 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Paolini | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–2 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.18 | 2.26 |
| ROI % | +35.3% | +3.4% |
| Units P/L | +2.12u | +0.31u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Paolini | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 3 |
| Distance | — | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | — | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 9 shared opponents, both Paolini and Boulter posted a 44% win rate.
| Opponent | Paolini | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| Viktorija Golubic | W 76 64 | W 62 62 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 36 26 | W 75 26 64 |
| Anastasia Potapova | W 67 62 63 | L 75 46 26 |
| Hailey Baptiste | L 57 36 | W 75 57 64 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 26 36 | L 46 46 |
| Taylor Townsend | W 63 16 62 | W 64 62 |
| Belinda Bencic | L 46 36 | L 06 57 |
| Elina Svitolina | W 36 64 64 | L 57 46 |
| Amanda Anisimova | L 76 36 46 | L 16 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Alexandra Eala
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Maria Sakkari
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Viktorija Golubic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Robin Montgomery
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Tatjana Maria
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 23
Solana Sierra
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Dayana Yastremska
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Linda Noskova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Katie Volynets
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Kayla Cross
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Ashlyn Krueger
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Tyra Caterina Grant
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Leylah Fernandez
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · 1st Round
Jun 21
Donna Vekic
The HSBC Championships - London · Semifinals
Jun 13
Elena Rybakina
The HSBC Championships - London · Quarterfinals
Jun 12
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 40–45 matches
| Metric | Paolini | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 50% |
| Sets won | 53% | 49% |
| Games won | 52% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Paolini | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 2 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Paolini | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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