Jasmine Paolini vs Katie BoulterPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇮🇹Jasmine Paolini
#33 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
5 meetings · sets 8–3
🇬🇧Katie Boulter
#54 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
Jasmine Paolini and Katie Boulter have met 5 times since 2022; Jasmine Paolini leads 4–1. Their first meeting came at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Paolini leads 2–1. Paolini has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Paolini has taken 8 sets to Boulter's 3. Their most recent meeting: Jasmine Paolini won at Merida Open Akron - Merida (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Paolini | Boulter | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jasmine Paolini | Katie Boulter | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 10/20 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 5/19 | 33% | 7/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 15/39 | 36% | 15/42 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 10/30 | 46% | 11/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 33% | 3/9 | 41% | 7/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 14% | 1/7 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 78% | 14/18 | 79% | 19/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 56% | 10/18 | 54% | 13/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Paolini 3, Boulter 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Boulter
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 1,247 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Feb 27, 2026
Merida Open Akron - Merida
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Apr 25, 2025
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 2nd Round
Jun 27, 2024
Rothesay International - Eastbourne
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Jan 29, 2024
Upper Austria Ladies Linz - Linz
H Hard · 1st Round
Mar 10, 2022
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Paolini | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–2 | 3–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.66 | 3.03 |
| ROI % | -36.5% | -36.1% |
| Units P/L | -1.46u | -2.89u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Paolini | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 1 | 2 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | ROU | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 7 shared opponents, both Paolini and Boulter posted a 43% win rate.
| Opponent | Paolini | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| Sorana Cirstea | L 36 36 | L 36 16 |
| Viktorija Golubic | W 76 64 | W 62 62 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 36 26 | W 75 26 64 |
| Anastasia Potapova | W 67 62 63 | L 75 46 26 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 26 36 | L 46 46 |
| Taylor Townsend | W 63 16 62 | W 64 62 |
| Belinda Bencic | L 46 36 | L 06 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Daria Snigur
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Sorana Cirstea
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Lucrezia Stefanini
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Veronika Erjavec
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Alexandra Eala
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Maria Sakkari
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Viktorija Golubic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Karolina Muchova
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Mai Hontama
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Karolina Muchova
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Carol Young Suh Lee
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Linda Noskova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Katie Volynets
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Kayla Cross
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Ashlyn Krueger
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–42 matches
| Metric | Paolini | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 50% |
| Sets won | 48% | 49% |
| Games won | 50% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Paolini | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 2 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Paolini | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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