Karolina Muchova vs Leylah FernandezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇨🇿Karolina Muchova
#7 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
7w2 meetings · sets 3–2
🇨🇦Leylah Fernandez
#32 · 23 yrs · Left-Handed
Karolina Muchova and Leylah Fernandez have met 2 times since 2022; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Miami Open - Miami in 2022 on hard. Across all meetings Muchova has taken 3 sets to Fernandez's 2. Their most recent meeting: Leylah Fernandez won at Olympics - Paris (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Muchova | Fernandez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Karolina Muchova | Leylah Fernandez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 25/40 | 68% | 17/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 5/13 | 31% | 8/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 20/53 | 31% | 16/51 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 18/34 | 48% | 16/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 11/16 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 6/9 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 91% | 31/34 | 75% | 21/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 25/34 | 61% | 17/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Muchova 1, Fernandez 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Muchova
💥 Big Hitter
Fernandez
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Karolina Muchova and Leylah Fernandez are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,096 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jul 28, 2024
Olympics - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Mar 24, 2022
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Muchova | Fernandez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Karolina Muchova | Leylah Fernandez | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 91% | 10/11 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 9/12 | 55% | 6/11 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 6/12 | 27% | 3/11 |
| 10 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Muchova | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–2 | 4–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.51 | 2.10 |
| ROI % | +16.3% | -8.7% |
| Units P/L | +1.63u | -0.87u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Muchova | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 4 |
| Distance | — | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | — | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Muchova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Fernandez's 30%).
| Opponent | Muchova | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Naomi Osaka | W 76 64 | L 46 46 |
| Alexandra Eala | W 60 62 | L 26 67 |
| Magda Linette | W 61 61 | W 61 64 |
| Coco Gauff | W 62 16 76 | L 46 64 57 |
| Katie Boulter | W 63 75 | W 67 63 63 |
| Alycia Parks | W 46 64 64 | L 46 46 |
| Victoria Mboko | W 75 76 | L 46 46 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 57 16 | L 76 46 67 |
| Diana Shnaider | L 62 16 26 | L 36 06 |
| Maria Sakkari | W 36 64 61 | W 76 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · Final
Jul 11
Coco Gauff
Wimbledon - London · Semifinals
Jul 9
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Barbora Krejcikova
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Shuai Zhang
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Anastasia Zakharova
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Elena Gabriela Ruse
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · Semifinals
Jun 26
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 10
Mirra Andreeva
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Renata Zarazua
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Alexandra Eala
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Magda Linette
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 27
Janice Tjen
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Xi Yao Wang
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · 2nd Round
Jun 23
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–53 matches
| Metric | Muchova | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 75% | 49% |
| Sets won | 67% | 49% |
| Games won | 55% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Muchova | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Other | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Muchova | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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