Karolina Muchova vs Leylah FernandezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇨🇿Karolina Muchova
#7 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 3–2
🇨🇦Leylah Fernandez
#25 · 23 yrs · Left-Handed
TitleKarolina Muchova and Leylah Fernandez have met 2 times since 2022; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Miami Open - Miami in 2022 on hard. Across all meetings Muchova has taken 3 sets to Fernandez's 2. Their most recent meeting: Leylah Fernandez won at Olympics - Paris (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Muchova | Fernandez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Karolina Muchova | Leylah Fernandez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 27/41 | 69% | 22/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 4/13 | 31% | 8/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 18/54 | 31% | 18/58 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 20/38 | 50% | 20/40 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 9/13 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 100% | 8/8 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 33/35 | 79% | 27/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 27/35 | 65% | 22/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Muchova 1, Fernandez 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Muchova
🤖 Servebot
Fernandez
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Karolina Muchova and Leylah Fernandez are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,080 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jul 28, 2024
Olympics - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Mar 24, 2022
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Muchova | Fernandez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Karolina Muchova | Leylah Fernandez | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 3 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 40% | 6/15 |
| 5 or more | 29% | 2/7 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 10 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Muchova | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–2 | 11–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.27 | 2.16 |
| ROI % | -10.1% | +32.2% |
| Units P/L | -0.71u | +5.15u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Muchova | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 7 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 3,433 mi · 5,525 km |
| Route | ROU | SGP → ROU → CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Muchova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Fernandez's 70%).
| Opponent | Muchova | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | W 64 75 | W 64 36 63 |
| Naomi Osaka | W 75 16 76 | L 46 46 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 46 64 62 | W 57 75 63 |
| Kamilla Rakhimova | W 62 62 | L 26 64 36 |
| Katie Boulter | W 76 61 | W 67 63 63 |
| Alycia Parks | W 46 64 64 | W 64 63 |
| Mananchaya Sawangkaew | W 62 76 | W 64 61 |
| Shuai Zhang | W 63 62 | W 63 62 |
| Alexandra Eala | W 60 62 | L 26 67 |
| Magda Linette | W 61 61 | W 61 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nikola Bartunkova
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 8
Naomi Osaka
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 6
Liudmila Samsonova
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Katie Boulter
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Emma Navarro
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Katie Boulter
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Sinja Kraus
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · Final
Jul 11
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round
Oct 12
Kamilla Rakhimova
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Talia Gibson
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Final
Sep 27
Maja Chwalinska
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Semifinals
Sep 26
Mirra Andreeva
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Alycia Parks
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Kyoka Okamura
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 1st Round
Sep 21
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 54–58 matches
| Metric | Muchova | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 76% | 55% |
| Sets won | 68% | 54% |
| Games won | 55% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Muchova | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Other | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Muchova | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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