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Head-to-Head

Karen Khachanov vs Tommy PaulPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Karen Khachanov

🇷🇺Karen Khachanov

#27 · 30 yrs · R

0–3

3 meetings · sets 4–7

Tommy Paul

🇺🇸Tommy Paul

#18 · 29 yrs · R

Karen Khachanov and Tommy Paul have met 3 times since 2022; Tommy Paul leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Miami Open - Miami in 2022 on hard. On clay courts Paul leads 2–0. Paul has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Khachanov has taken 4 sets to Paul's 7. Their most recent meeting: Tommy Paul won at French Open - Paris (2025).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorKhachanovPaul
Wins in straight sets50%57%
Wins a set when losing47%57%
Goes to a deciding set49%48%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite21%38%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog71%100%
Tiebreak sets won26%62%
Wins after taking set 171%79%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 147%61%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Khachanov 0, Paul 0).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Khachanov

🤖 Servebot

High ace rateDominant serviceWeaker returnBig first serve
vs

Paul

💥 Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies

Matchup analysis

🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.

Previous meetings

3 career meetings, newest first

May 30, 2025

French Open - Paris

C Clay · 3rd Round

36
63
677
63
36
Paul

Apr 29, 2025

Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid

C Clay · 3rd Round

36
63
26
Paul

Mar 26, 2022

Miami Open - Miami

H Hard · 2nd Round

46
63
637
Paul

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomeKhachanovPaul
1 or more100%100%
3 or more100%92%
5 or more80%75%
10 or more33%17%
15 or more7%0%
20 or more0%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricKhachanovPaul
W-L8–58–5
Avg odds1.941.81
ROI %+12.5%+1.3%
Units P/L+1.62u+0.17u

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricKhachanovPaul
Countries12
Events22
Matches52
Distance663 mi · 1,067 km1,092 mi · 1,758 km
RouteCHNJPN → CHN

Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Paul has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Khachanov's 40%).

OpponentKhachanovPaul
Adrian Mannarino
W
62
64
W
62
26
64
Hubert Hurkacz
L
67
26
W
64
67
63
Alexander Zverev
L
36
67
67
W
46
76
64
Learner Tien
W
75
46
67
61
64
L
36
26
Carlos Alcaraz
L
76
46
36
L
46
36
46
Dino Prizmic
W
61
76
W
62
63
57
64
Roman Andres Burruchaga
W
63
60
61
W
61
36
75
Flavio Cobolli
L
60
67
76
26
26
L
62
36
46
Aleksandar Kovacevic
L
75
36
67
W
64
63
63
Ugo Humbert
L
36
63
67
W
63
63

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Khachanov
WWLWWLWW
W

Adrian Mannarino

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round

62
64

Oct 11

W

Arthur Fery

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round

766
657
762

Oct 9

L

Hubert Hurkacz

China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals

627
26

Oct 4

W

Alex Molcan

China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round

75
63

Oct 2

W

Felix Auger-Aliassime

China Open - Beijing · 1st Round

63
63

Sep 30

L

Alexander Zverev

U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals

36
677
67

Sep 11

W

Alexander Blockx

U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals

Sep 10

W

Alexander Blockx

U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals

Sep 9

Paul
WLLWWWLW
W

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round

62
62

Oct 10

L

Alejandro Tabilo

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round

16
26

Sep 30

L

Carlos Alcaraz

U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round

46
36
46

Sep 6

W

Alexander Bublik

U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round

64
36
647
61
63

Sep 4

W

Dino Prizmic

U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round

62
63
57
64

Sep 3

W

Chak Pong Marco Lam

U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round

637
61
63
63

Aug 30

L

Flavio Cobolli

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals

62
36
46

Aug 20

W

Alexander Zverev

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round

46
766
64

Aug 19

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ KhachanovPaul ahead↓ Paul

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 49–58 matches

MetricKhachanovPaul
Matches won53%69%
Sets won54%64%
Games won53%54%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageKhachanovPaul
Grand Slam01
ATP Masters 100002

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceKhachanovPaul
Hard01
Clay02

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Karen Khachanov vs Tommy Paul FAQ

Tommy Paul leads the head-to-head 3–0 over 3 meetings.