Karen Khachanov vs Tommy PaulPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Karen Khachanov and Tommy Paul have met 3 times since 2022; Tommy Paul leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Miami Open - Miami in 2022 on hard. On clay courts Paul leads 2–0. Paul has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Khachanov has taken 4 sets to Paul's 7. Their most recent meeting: Tommy Paul won at French Open - Paris (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Khachanov | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Karen Khachanov | Tommy Paul | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 42% | 5/12 | 55% | 16/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 10/20 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 53% | 17/32 | 49% | 20/41 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 15% | 4/26 | 39% | 14/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 4/6 | 100% | 4/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 18% | 3/17 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 57% | 8/14 | 81% | 21/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 36% | 5/14 | 62% | 16/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Khachanov 0, Paul 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Khachanov
🤖 Servebot
Paul
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
May 30, 2025
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 3rd Round
Apr 29, 2025
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 3rd Round
Mar 26, 2022
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Khachanov | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Karen Khachanov | Tommy Paul | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 5 or more | 86% | 6/7 | 80% | 12/15 |
| 10 or more | 43% | 3/7 | 33% | 5/15 |
| 15 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Khachanov | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–5 | 10–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.47 | 1.54 |
| ROI % | -59.0% | +12.2% |
| Units P/L | -4.13u | +1.71u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Khachanov | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 5 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paul has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Khachanov's 20%).
| Opponent | Khachanov | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | L 75 36 67 | W 64 63 63 |
| Alexandre Muller | L 64 67 46 | W 61 62 61 |
| Ugo Humbert | L 36 63 67 | W 63 63 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 57 64 64 | W 76 63 |
| Ethan Quinn | L 61 46 46 | W 61 63 |
| Casper Ruud | L 16 61 26 | L 64 76 46 67 57 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 26 26 | W 26 63 63 |
| Luciano Darderi | L 67 63 36 46 | L 63 36 26 |
| Adam Walton | W 62 63 | W 76 63 |
| Joao Fonseca | L 64 67 46 | L 26 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Terence Atmane
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Bernard Tomic
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Flavio Cobolli
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Yannick Hanfmann
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Billy Harris
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Ethan Quinn
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · 1st Round
Jun 16
Jesper de Jong
French Open - Paris · 3rd Round
May 29
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Hubert Hurkacz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Learner Tien
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Valentin Royer
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Kamil Majchrzak
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Hubert Hurkacz
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Soonwoo Kwon
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–51 matches
| Metric | Khachanov | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 69% |
| Sets won | 49% | 64% |
| Games won | 51% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Khachanov | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Khachanov | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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