Daniil Medvedev vs Karen KhachanovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniil Medvedev and Karen Khachanov have met 9 times since 2017; Daniil Medvedev leads 7–2. Their first meeting came at Next Gen ATP Finals in 2017 on hard. On hard courts Medvedev leads 6–1. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Medvedev has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Medvedev has taken 16 sets to Khachanov's 9. Their most recent meeting: Daniil Medvedev won at Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Medvedev | Khachanov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniil Medvedev | Karen Khachanov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 29/41 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Wins a set when losing | 53% | 9/17 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 21/58 | 53% | 17/32 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 25/51 | 15% | 4/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 3/5 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 9/24 | 18% | 3/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 35/39 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 29/39 | 36% | 5/14 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 8 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Medvedev 2, Khachanov 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Medvedev
👑 The Complete Package
Khachanov
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 616 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
9 career meetings, newest first
Apr 7, 2025
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay · 1st Round
Feb 18, 2025
Qatar ExxonMobil Open - Doha
H Hard · 1st Round
Apr 11, 2024
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay · 3rd Round
Oct 27, 2023
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Mar 31, 2023
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · Semifinals
Jan 6, 2023
Adelaide International 1 - Adelaide
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 10, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Canada
H Hard · Semifinals
Oct 18, 2018
Moscow
H Hard · Semifinals
Nov 8, 2017
Next Gen ATP Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Medvedev | Khachanov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniil Medvedev | Karen Khachanov | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 5 or more | 77% | 10/13 | 86% | 6/7 |
| 10 or more | 54% | 7/13 | 43% | 3/7 |
| 15 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–6 | 2–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.26 | 1.47 |
| ROI % | -39.7% | -59.0% |
| Units P/L | -4.76u | -4.13u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 2 |
| Distance | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Medvedev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Khachanov's 30%).
| Opponent | Medvedev | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Marco Trungelliti | W 64 75 | W 76 57 61 76 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 36 67 | W 57 64 64 |
| Terence Atmane | W 64 64 | L 46 67 |
| Flavio Cobolli | L 36 75 46 | L 60 67 76 26 26 |
| Jan-Lennard Struff | L 67 67 57 | L 64 67 36 |
| Jesper de Jong | W 75 62 76 | L 57 75 26 76 26 |
| Adam Walton | L 26 61 16 61 46 | W 62 63 |
| Ugo Humbert | L 67 63 36 | L 36 63 67 |
| Martin Landaluce | W 16 64 75 | L 36 67 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | L 64 26 46 | L 57 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Martin Damm
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Marco Trungelliti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Botic van de Zandschulp
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Jan-Lennard Struff
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Daniel Merida
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Marin Cilic
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Daniel Altmaier
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Terence Atmane
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Bernard Tomic
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Flavio Cobolli
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Yannick Hanfmann
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Billy Harris
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Ethan Quinn
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · 1st Round
Jun 16
Jesper de Jong
French Open - Paris · 3rd Round
May 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–66 matches
| Metric | Medvedev | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 70% | 44% |
| Sets won | 65% | 49% |
| Games won | 55% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Medvedev | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Medvedev | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 6 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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