Daniil Medvedev vs Karen KhachanovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniil Medvedev and Karen Khachanov have met 9 times since 2017; Daniil Medvedev leads 7–2. Their first meeting came at Next Gen ATP Finals in 2017 on hard. On hard courts Medvedev leads 6–1. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Medvedev has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Medvedev has taken 16 sets to Khachanov's 9. Their most recent meeting: Daniil Medvedev won at Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Medvedev | Khachanov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniil Medvedev | Karen Khachanov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 28/41 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 7/15 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 20/56 | 49% | 17/35 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 51% | 25/49 | 21% | 6/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 2/4 | 71% | 5/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 39% | 9/23 | 26% | 5/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 34/36 | 71% | 12/17 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 28/36 | 47% | 8/17 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 8 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Medvedev 2, Khachanov 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Medvedev
👑 The Complete Package
Khachanov
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,511 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
9 career meetings, newest first
Apr 7, 2025
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay · 1st Round
Feb 18, 2025
Qatar ExxonMobil Open - Doha
H Hard · 1st Round
Apr 11, 2024
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay · 3rd Round
Oct 27, 2023
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Mar 31, 2023
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · Semifinals
Jan 6, 2023
Adelaide International 1 - Adelaide
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 10, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Canada
H Hard · Semifinals
Oct 18, 2018
Moscow
H Hard · Semifinals
Nov 8, 2017
Next Gen ATP Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Medvedev | Khachanov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniil Medvedev | Karen Khachanov | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 5 or more | 88% | 15/17 | 80% | 12/15 |
| 10 or more | 82% | 14/17 | 33% | 5/15 |
| 15 or more | 24% | 4/17 | 7% | 1/15 |
| 20 or more | 12% | 2/17 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–5 | 8–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.32 | 1.94 |
| ROI % | -15.1% | +12.5% |
| Units P/L | -2.42u | +1.62u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 9 | 5 |
| Distance | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km | 663 mi · 1,067 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Medvedev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Khachanov's 50%).
| Opponent | Medvedev | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Jan-Lennard Struff | W 46 64 63 | L 64 67 36 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | W 64 62 | W 63 63 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 62 36 67 | L 36 67 67 |
| Learner Tien | L 46 06 36 | W 75 46 67 61 64 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 64 64 64 | L 57 26 |
| Hugo Gaston | W 64 62 64 | W 36 63 76 |
| Marco Trungelliti | W 64 75 | W 76 57 61 76 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 36 67 | W 57 64 64 |
| Terence Atmane | W 64 64 | L 46 67 |
| Flavio Cobolli | L 36 75 46 | L 60 67 76 26 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jan-Lennard Struff
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Francisco Cerundolo
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Jan-Lennard Struff
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Pablo Carreno Busta
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 2
Andrey Rublev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Final
Sep 29
Roman Safiullin
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals
Sep 28
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Adrian Mannarino
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Arthur Fery
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Hubert Hurkacz
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Alex Molcan
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Felix Auger-Aliassime
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Alexander Zverev
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 11
Alexander Blockx
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 10
Alexander Blockx
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 49–68 matches
| Metric | Medvedev | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 72% | 53% |
| Sets won | 66% | 54% |
| Games won | 56% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Medvedev | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 3 | 1 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Medvedev | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 6 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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