Carlos Alcaraz vs Karen KhachanovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ช๐ธCarlos Alcaraz
#3 ยท 23 yrs ยท R
20w6 meetings ยท sets 13โ2

๐ท๐บKaren Khachanov
#49 ยท 30 yrs ยท R
4Carlos Alcaraz and Karen Khachanov have met 6 times since 2022; Carlos Alcaraz leads 6โ0. Their first meeting came at French Open - Paris in 2022 on clay. On clay courts Alcaraz leads 4โ0. On hard courts Alcaraz leads 2โ0. Alcaraz has won the last 6 meetings. Across all meetings Alcaraz has taken 13 sets to Khachanov's 2. Their most recent meeting: Carlos Alcaraz won at Qatar ExxonMobil Open - Doha (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alcaraz | Khachanov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Carlos Alcaraz | Karen Khachanov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 80% | 20/25 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 2/6 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 7/31 | 53% | 17/32 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 69% | 20/29 | 15% | 4/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/2 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 4/10 | 18% | 3/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 95% | 21/22 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 91% | 20/22 | 36% | 5/14 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alcaraz 3, Khachanov 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alcaraz
๐ The Complete Package
Khachanov
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
๐ The Complete Package vs ๐ค Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 616 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Feb 19, 2026
Qatar ExxonMobil Open - Doha
H Hard ยท Quarterfinals
May 13, 2025
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay ยท 4th Round
Sep 30, 2024
China Open - Beijing
H Hard ยท Quarterfinals
May 3, 2023
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 22, 2022
Hamburg European Open - Hamburg
C Clay ยท Quarterfinals
May 29, 2022
French Open - Paris
C Clay ยท 4th Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 2โ5 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.47 |
| ROI % | - | -59.0% |
| Units P/L | - | -4.13u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | โ | 2 |
| Events | โ | 2 |
| Matches | โ | 2 |
| Distance | โ | 712 mi ยท 1,146 km |
| Route | โ | CAN โ USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Khachanov's 33%).
| Opponent | Alcaraz | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Yannick Hanfmann | W 76 63 62 | W 63 64 64 |
| Casper Ruud | W 61 76 | L 16 61 26 |
| Adam Walton | W 63 76 62 | W 62 63 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 67 63 62 | L 57 26 |
| Joao Fonseca | W 64 64 | L 64 67 46 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 75 62 61 | L 26 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Otto Virtanen
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona ยท 1st Round
Apr 14
Jannik Sinner
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo ยท Final
Apr 12
Valentin Vacherot
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo ยท Semifinals
Apr 11
Alexander Bublik
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo ยท Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo ยท 3rd Round
Apr 9
Sebastian Baez
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo ยท 2nd Round
Apr 7
Sebastian Korda
Miami Open - Miami ยท 3rd Round
Mar 22
Joao Fonseca
Miami Open - Miami ยท 2nd Round
Mar 20
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 15
Terence Atmane
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 6
Bernard Tomic
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos ยท 2nd Round
Jul 30
Flavio Cobolli
Wimbledon - London ยท 3rd Round
Jul 4
Yannick Hanfmann
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 2
Billy Harris
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 30
Ethan Quinn
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle ยท 1st Round
Jun 16
Jesper de Jong
French Open - Paris ยท 3rd Round
May 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 41โ42 matches
| Metric | Alcaraz | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 86% | 44% |
| Sets won | 80% | 49% |
| Games won | 59% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alcaraz | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alcaraz | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 4 | 0 |
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