Carlos Alcaraz vs Karen KhachanovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Carlos Alcaraz and Karen Khachanov have met 6 times since 2022; Carlos Alcaraz leads 6–0. Their first meeting came at French Open - Paris in 2022 on clay. On clay courts Alcaraz leads 4–0. On hard courts Alcaraz leads 2–0. Alcaraz has won the last 6 meetings. Across all meetings Alcaraz has taken 13 sets to Khachanov's 2. Their most recent meeting: Carlos Alcaraz won at Qatar ExxonMobil Open - Doha (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alcaraz | Khachanov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Carlos Alcaraz | Karen Khachanov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 18/25 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 2/5 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 9/30 | 49% | 17/35 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 64% | 18/28 | 21% | 6/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/2 | 71% | 5/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 54% | 7/13 | 26% | 5/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 95% | 21/22 | 71% | 12/17 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 82% | 18/22 | 47% | 8/17 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alcaraz 3, Khachanov 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alcaraz
👑 The Complete Package
Khachanov
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,511 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Feb 19, 2026
Qatar ExxonMobil Open - Doha
H Hard · Quarterfinals
May 13, 2025
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 4th Round
Sep 30, 2024
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · Quarterfinals
May 3, 2023
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Jul 22, 2022
Hamburg European Open - Hamburg
C Clay · Quarterfinals
May 29, 2022
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 4th Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Alcaraz | Khachanov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Carlos Alcaraz | Karen Khachanov | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 9/12 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 5 or more | 25% | 3/12 | 80% | 12/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 33% | 5/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 7% | 1/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–1 | 8–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.15 | 1.94 |
| ROI % | +4.3% | +12.5% |
| Units P/L | +0.51u | +1.62u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 7 | 5 |
| Distance | 7,032 mi · 11,317 km | 663 mi · 1,067 km |
| Route | GBR → JPN → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Khachanov's 40%).
| Opponent | Alcaraz | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Jaume Munar | W 57 63 61 | L 67 63 36 |
| Alex Michelsen | W 76 46 61 | W 46 64 63 57 63 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | W 62 64 | W 63 63 |
| Alexander Zverev | W 64 76 67 67 75 | L 36 67 67 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | W 76 63 62 | W 63 64 64 |
| Casper Ruud | W 61 76 | L 16 61 26 |
| Adam Walton | W 63 76 62 | W 62 63 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 67 63 62 | L 57 26 |
| Joao Fonseca | W 64 64 | L 64 67 46 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 75 62 61 | L 26 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Jiri Lehecka
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Final
Oct 6
Jaume Munar
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Semifinals
Oct 5
Denis Shapovalov
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Matteo Arnaldi
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Alex Michelsen
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Taylor Fritz
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 26
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Adrian Mannarino
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Arthur Fery
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Hubert Hurkacz
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Alex Molcan
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Felix Auger-Aliassime
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Alexander Zverev
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 11
Alexander Blockx
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 10
Alexander Blockx
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–49 matches
| Metric | Alcaraz | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 86% | 53% |
| Sets won | 78% | 54% |
| Games won | 59% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alcaraz | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 3 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alcaraz | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 4 | 0 |
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