Gabriel Diallo vs Karen KhachanovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐จ๐ฆGabriel Diallo
#121 ยท 25 yrs ยท R
10w4 meetings ยท sets 4โ7

๐ท๐บKaren Khachanov
#27 ยท 30 yrs ยท R
Gabriel Diallo and Karen Khachanov have met 4 times since 2024; Karen Khachanov leads 3โ1. Their first meeting came at National Bank Open - Montreal in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Khachanov leads 3โ0. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Khachanov leading those 1โ0. Across all meetings Diallo has taken 4 sets to Khachanov's 7. Their most recent meeting: Gabriel Diallo won at Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Diallo | Khachanov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Gabriel Diallo | Karen Khachanov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 55% | 6/11 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 6/18 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 11/29 | 49% | 17/35 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 23% | 3/13 | 21% | 6/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 46% | 6/13 | 71% | 5/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 42% | 8/19 | 26% | 5/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 75% | 6/8 | 71% | 12/17 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 6/8 | 47% | 8/17 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Diallo 1, Khachanov 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Diallo
๐ค Servebot
Khachanov
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Gabriel Diallo and Karen Khachanov are ๐ค Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 6,464 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jun 13, 2025
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch
G Grass ยท Quarterfinals
Jan 16, 2025
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Oct 20, 2024
Almaty Open - Almaty
H Hard ยท Final
Aug 6, 2024
National Bank Open - Montreal
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Diallo | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1โ2 | 8โ5 |
| Avg odds | 2.02 | 1.94 |
| ROI % | -39.3% | +12.5% |
| Units P/L | -1.18u | +1.62u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Diallo | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | โ | 1 |
| Events | โ | 2 |
| Matches | โ | 5 |
| Distance | โ | 663 mi ยท 1,067 km |
| Route | โ | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Khachanov has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Diallo's 30%).
| Opponent | Diallo | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Adrian Mannarino | L 46 63 57 | W 62 64 |
| Alex Molcan | L 26 26 | W 75 63 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 76 36 36 | W 63 63 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 16 26 | L 36 67 67 |
| Benjamin Bonzi | W | W 63 62 64 |
| Terence Atmane | W 67 64 75 | L 46 67 |
| Luciano Darderi | L | L 67 63 36 46 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 67 36 | L 26 26 |
| Jesper de Jong | W 64 76 | L 57 75 26 76 26 |
| Ugo Humbert | L 16 46 | L 36 63 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Kyrian Jacquet
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Luciano Darderi
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 4
Tristan Boyer
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos ยท 1st Round
Jul 28
Lorenzo Sonego
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 2
Benjamin Bonzi
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 30
Benjamin Bonzi
Wimbledon ยท Round of 128
Jun 30
Jack Draper
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne ยท Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne ยท 2nd Round
Jun 24
Adrian Mannarino
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 3rd Round
Oct 11
Arthur Fery
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 2nd Round
Oct 9
Hubert Hurkacz
China Open - Beijing ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Alex Molcan
China Open - Beijing ยท 2nd Round
Oct 2
Felix Auger-Aliassime
China Open - Beijing ยท 1st Round
Sep 30
Alexander Zverev
U.S. Open - New York ยท Semifinals
Sep 11
Alexander Blockx
U.S. Open - New York ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 10
Alexander Blockx
U.S. Open - New York ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 32โ49 matches
| Metric | Diallo | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 38% | 53% |
| Sets won | 41% | 54% |
| Games won | 47% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Diallo | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Diallo | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 3 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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