Gabriel Diallo vs Mattia BellucciPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Gabriel Diallo and Mattia Bellucci have met 5 times since 2023; Mattia Bellucci leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Winnipeg Challenger in 2023 on hard. On hard courts they are level 2–2. Diallo has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Diallo has taken 5 sets to Bellucci's 6. Their most recent meeting: Gabriel Diallo won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Diallo | Bellucci | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Gabriel Diallo | Mattia Bellucci | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 64% | 9/14 | 68% | 19/28 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 8/20 | 30% | 8/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 13/34 | 31% | 17/55 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 35% | 6/17 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 7/14 | 59% | 19/32 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 8/21 | 52% | 12/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 69% | 9/13 | 83% | 25/30 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 69% | 9/13 | 63% | 19/30 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Diallo 2, Bellucci 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Diallo
🤖 Servebot
Bellucci
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Gabriel Diallo and Mattia Bellucci are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,568 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Mar 4, 2026
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 1st Round
Feb 23, 2025
Acapulco
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 16, 2024
Cary Challenger
H Hard · Semifinals
Jun 11, 2024
Nottingham 2 Challenger
G Grass · 1st Round
Aug 16, 2023
Winnipeg Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Diallo | Bellucci | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Gabriel Diallo | Mattia Bellucci | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 93% | 13/14 |
| 5 or more | 88% | 7/8 | 93% | 13/14 |
| 10 or more | 63% | 5/8 | 29% | 4/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Diallo | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–5 | 7–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.31 | 2.37 |
| ROI % | -35.0% | +11.2% |
| Units P/L | -2.80u | +1.57u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Diallo | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 1 | 5 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km |
| Route | CAN | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Bellucci has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Diallo's 33%).
| Opponent | Diallo | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Kyrian Jacquet | W 67 63 62 | L 76 46 67 |
| Lorenzo Sonego | L 67 64 67 76 26 | W 64 16 75 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 67 63 62 | W 57 62 63 |
| Ugo Humbert | L 16 46 | L 67 76 46 |
| Taylor Fritz | L 64 36 67 | L 75 57 57 |
| Adam Walton | L 67 36 | W 63 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Kyrian Jacquet
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Tristan Boyer
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 1st Round
Jul 28
Lorenzo Sonego
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Benjamin Bonzi
Wimbledon · Round of 128
Jun 30
Jack Draper
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Terence Atmane
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Alex de Minaur
HSBC Championships - London · 1st Round
Jun 16
Luciano Darderi
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Martin Landaluce
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 23
Jakub Mensik
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Zachary Svajda
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Sebastian Baez
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Ugo Humbert
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 23
Raphael Collignon
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · 2nd Round
Jun 18
Alexander Bublik
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · 1st Round
Jun 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 37–57 matches
| Metric | Diallo | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 41% | 49% |
| Sets won | 44% | 48% |
| Games won | 49% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Diallo | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Diallo | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 2 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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