Adam Walton vs Mattia BellucciPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Adam Walton and Mattia Bellucci have met 4 times since 2024; Mattia Bellucci leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at Atlanta in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Bellucci leads 4–0. Bellucci has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Walton has taken 1 sets to Bellucci's 8. Their most recent meeting: Mattia Bellucci won at Jingshan Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Walton | Bellucci | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Adam Walton | Mattia Bellucci | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 29/43 | 71% | 25/35 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 11/33 | 33% | 9/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 25/76 | 31% | 19/62 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 51% | 20/39 | 56% | 15/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 15/32 | 61% | 19/31 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 16/37 | 48% | 12/25 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 39/47 | 86% | 30/35 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 62% | 29/47 | 71% | 25/35 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Walton 0, Bellucci 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Walton
💥 Big Hitter
Bellucci
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Oct 1, 2026
Jingshan Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Mar 14, 2026
Cap Cana Challenger
H Hard · Semifinals
Oct 1, 2025
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
H Hard · 1st Round
Jul 21, 2024
Atlanta
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Walton | Bellucci | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Adam Walton | Mattia Bellucci | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 16/16 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 3 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 5 or more | 63% | 10/16 | 94% | 16/17 |
| 10 or more | 13% | 2/16 | 29% | 5/17 |
| 15 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Walton | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–9 | 10–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.59 | 2.05 |
| ROI % | -33.8% | -10.8% |
| Units P/L | -5.74u | -1.84u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Walton | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 6 | 10 |
| Distance | 927 mi · 1,492 km | 927 mi · 1,492 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Walton and Bellucci posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Walton | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Martin Landaluce | W 62 63 | W 64 67 61 |
| Jakub Mensik | L 63 26 46 | L 57 62 67 |
| Zachary Svajda | L 36 46 76 26 | W 76 76 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 62 62 | L 57 36 |
| Alex Michelsen | W 76 64 | L 26 16 |
| Dino Prizmic | L 64 67 46 26 | L 67 46 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L 46 57 | W 62 67 61 |
| Alex Bolt | W 62 36 76 | W 67 75 63 |
| Quentin Halys | W 63 63 | L 36 67 36 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | L 26 36 | W 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rigele Te
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Mattia Bellucci
Jingshan Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Moise Kouame
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Alexander Binda
Jingshan Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Hikaru Shiraishi
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Valentin Royer
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 23
Yibing Wu
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Ignacio Buse
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Yi Zhou
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Alexandre Muller
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Elias Ymer
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Lloyd Harris
Jingshan Challenger · Final
Oct 4
Yanki Erel
Jingshan Challenger · Semifinals
Oct 3
Adam Walton
Jingshan Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Alexandre Muller
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Keisuke Saitoh
Jingshan Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 66–81 matches
| Metric | Walton | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 55% |
| Sets won | 52% | 53% |
| Games won | 52% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Walton | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 2 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Walton | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 4 |
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