Adam Walton vs Andre IlaganPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Adam Walton and Andre Ilagan have met 5 times since 2024; Adam Walton leads 5–0. Their first meeting came at Burnie 2 Challenger in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Walton leads 5–0. Walton has won the last 5 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Walton leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Walton has taken 10 sets to Ilagan's 1. Their most recent meeting: Adam Walton won at Tyler Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Walton | Ilagan | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Adam Walton | Andre Ilagan | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 22/36 | 63% | 25/40 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 10/32 | 43% | 13/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 24/68 | 40% | 28/70 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 39% | 13/33 | 53% | 18/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 14/30 | 64% | 21/33 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 15/34 | 43% | 15/35 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 31/38 | 79% | 31/39 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 58% | 22/38 | 64% | 25/39 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Walton 4, Ilagan 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Walton
💥 Big Hitter
Ilagan
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 2,363 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Jun 7, 2026
Tyler Challenger
H Hard · Final
Apr 29, 2025
Guangzhou Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Feb 7, 2025
Brisbane 2 Challenger
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jan 27, 2025
Brisbane 1 Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Feb 7, 2024
Burnie 2 Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Walton | Ilagan | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Adam Walton | Andre Ilagan | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 25/25 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 3 or more | 88% | 22/25 | 80% | 8/10 |
| 5 or more | 60% | 15/25 | 50% | 5/10 |
| 10 or more | 20% | 5/25 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 15 or more | 4% | 1/25 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 4% | 1/25 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Walton | Ilagan |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–9 | 6–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.76 | 2.33 |
| ROI % | -1.9% | -0.6% |
| Units P/L | -0.43u | -0.06u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Walton | Ilagan |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 6 | — |
| Distance | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km | — |
| Route | CAN → USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Walton has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Ilagan's 30%).
| Opponent | Walton | Ilagan |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Zheng | L 64 67 36 | L 36 67 |
| Andres Martin | W 62 62 | L 67 63 57 |
| Fajing Sun | W 36 75 64 | W 63 76 |
| Yunchaokete Bu | L 26 06 | L 26 36 |
| Bu Yunchaokete | L 26 06 | L 26 36 |
| James McCabe | W 63 76 | W 46 64 62 |
| Alexis Galarneau | W 61 67 76 | L 36 26 |
| Jie Cui | W 63 62 | L 76 26 46 |
| Sebastian Korda | L 57 36 | L 26 64 36 |
| Jake Delaney | W 62 36 76 | W 64 67 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ignacio Buse
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Jesper de Jong
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Jaime Faria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Ignacio Buse
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Nicolas Mejia
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Jenson Brooksby
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Dalibor Svrcina
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 1st Round
Jul 29
Michael Zheng
Bloomfield Hills Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Yosuke Watanuki
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 20
Colton Smith
Lincoln Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Liam Broady
Newport Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Rio Noguchi
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 8
Alex Rybakov
Newport challenger
Jul 7
Yosuke Watanuki
Cary Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 29
Adam Walton
Tyler Challenger · Final
Jun 7
Karl Poling
Tyler Challenger · Semifinals
Jun 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 70–72 matches
| Metric | Walton | Ilagan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 57% |
| Sets won | 49% | 55% |
| Games won | 50% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Walton | Ilagan |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 5 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Walton | Ilagan |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 5 | 0 |
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