Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Sebastian BaezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Juan Manuel Cerundolo and Sebastian Baez have met 3 times since 2020; Sebastian Baez leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Campinas in 2020 on clay. On clay courts Baez leads 3–0. Baez has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Cerundolo has taken 0 sets to Baez's 6. Their most recent meeting: Sebastian Baez won at Buenos Aires Challenger (2021).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Manuel Cerundolo | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | Sebastian Baez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 22/36 | 76% | 26/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 8/21 | 19% | 5/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 39% | 22/57 | 22% | 13/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 36% | 5/14 | 63% | 17/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 80% | 12/15 | 52% | 15/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 9/18 | 64% | 7/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 29/33 | 85% | 29/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 22/33 | 76% | 26/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Manuel Cerundolo 0, Baez 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cerundolo
💥 Big Hitter
Baez
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🎾 All-Court is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 620 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Oct 23, 2021
Buenos Aires Challenger
C Clay · Semifinals
Oct 15, 2021
Santiago 3 Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Nov 30, 2020
Campinas
C Clay · 2nd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Cerundolo | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | Sebastian Baez | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 15/16 | 76% | 16/21 |
| 3 or more | 81% | 13/16 | 29% | 6/21 |
| 5 or more | 63% | 10/16 | 10% | 2/21 |
| 10 or more | 31% | 5/16 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 15 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/21 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Cerundolo | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–5 | 14–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.79 | 1.90 |
| ROI % | +57.4% | +8.8% |
| Units P/L | +8.04u | +1.76u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Cerundolo | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 4 |
| Matches | 6 | 9 |
| Distance | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km | 3,066 mi · 4,934 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA → MEX → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Baez has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Cerundolo's 60%).
| Opponent | Cerundolo | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Ignacio Buse | L 67 64 26 | W 64 63 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 46 76 76 | W 76 26 64 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | W 64 67 64 | L 36 16 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | W 36 63 75 | W 63 36 64 |
| Jesper de Jong | W 64 64 | W 64 62 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | W 64 64 | L 62 57 26 02 |
| Cristian Garin | L 67 57 | W 76 16 75 |
| Luciano Darderi | L 16 36 | L 46 36 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 62 63 | W 76 61 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | L 57 16 | W 76 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ignacio Buse
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · Quarterfinals
Aug 27
Dhakshineswar Suresh
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Felix Auger Aliassime
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Arthur Rinderknech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Mark Lajal
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Casper Ruud
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Hamad Medjedovic
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Marco Trungelliti
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 1st Round
Jul 21
Hugo Grenier
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Hubert Hurkacz
Cancun Challenger · Final
Aug 24
Lloyd Harris
Cancun Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 23
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Cancun Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Cancun Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 21
Learner Tien
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Grigor Dimitrov
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Zizou Bergs
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 63–64 matches
| Metric | Cerundolo | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 55% |
| Sets won | 57% | 53% |
| Games won | 52% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Cerundolo | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Cerundolo | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 3 |
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