Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Sebastian BaezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Juan Manuel Cerundolo and Sebastian Baez have met 4 times since 2020; Sebastian Baez leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Campinas in 2020 on clay. On clay courts Baez leads 3–0. Across all meetings Cerundolo has taken 0 sets to Baez's 6. Their most recent meeting: Juan Manuel Cerundolo won at Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Manuel Cerundolo | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | Sebastian Baez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 21/34 | 76% | 26/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 7/22 | 22% | 6/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 20/56 | 23% | 14/61 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 41% | 7/17 | 61% | 17/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 10/16 | 52% | 15/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 8/17 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 27/30 | 83% | 29/35 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 21/30 | 74% | 26/35 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Manuel Cerundolo 0, Baez 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cerundolo
💥 Big Hitter
Baez
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🎾 All-Court is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 656 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Aug 26, 2026
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem
H Hard · 3rd Round
Oct 23, 2021
Buenos Aires Challenger
C Clay · Semifinals
Oct 15, 2021
Santiago 3 Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Nov 30, 2020
Campinas
C Clay · 2nd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Cerundolo | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | Sebastian Baez | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 17/18 | 65% | 13/20 |
| 3 or more | 72% | 13/18 | 30% | 6/20 |
| 5 or more | 61% | 11/18 | 15% | 3/20 |
| 10 or more | 11% | 2/18 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/20 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Cerundolo | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–8 | 9–9 |
| Avg odds | 2.95 | 2.40 |
| ROI % | -2.4% | -11.4% |
| Units P/L | -0.36u | -2.05u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Cerundolo | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 5 | 4 |
| Distance | 1,611 mi · 2,592 km | 1,611 mi · 2,592 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Cerundolo and Baez posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Cerundolo | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 36 36 | L 16 36 |
| Valentin Vacherot | L 75 26 16 | L 46 67 |
| Brandon Nakashima | L 36 57 | L 26 16 06 |
| Ignacio Buse | L 67 64 26 | W 64 63 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 46 76 76 | W 76 26 64 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | W 64 67 64 | L 36 16 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | W 36 63 75 | W 63 36 64 |
| Jesper de Jong | W 64 64 | W 64 62 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | W 64 64 | L 62 57 26 02 |
| Cristian Garin | L 67 57 | W 76 16 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Carlos Alcaraz
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Nicolas Mejia
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Bu Yunchaokete
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 26
Yi Zhou
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Arthur Gea
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Ignacio Buse
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · Quarterfinals
Aug 27
Sebastian Baez
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 26
Valentin Vacherot
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Marcos Giron
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Juncheng Shang
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Jenson Brooksby
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 23
Brandon Nakashima
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 26
Hugo Grenier
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Hubert Hurkacz
Cancun Challenger · Final
Aug 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 63–66 matches
| Metric | Cerundolo | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 53% |
| Sets won | 54% | 52% |
| Games won | 51% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Cerundolo | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Cerundolo | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 3 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.