Jenson Brooksby vs Sebastian BaezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Jenson Brooksby and Sebastian Baez have met 2 times since 2026; Sebastian Baez leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at ASB Classic - Auckland in 2026 on hard. Baez has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Brooksby has taken 0 sets to Baez's 4. Their most recent meeting: Sebastian Baez won at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome (2026).
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Chengdu Open - Chengdu
- Level
- ATP 250
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- September 22 · 10:00 PM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 2.14 or longer, Sebastian Baez has won 25 of 66 (38%). That is level with the 37% the price implied.
At 1.68 or shorter, Jenson Brooksby has won 46 of 67 (69%). The price implied 65%, so Jenson Brooksby has beaten it by 4 points.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Jenson Brooksby and Sebastian Baez meet next at the Chengdu Open - Chengdu on September 22 on hard.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Brooksby | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jenson Brooksby | Sebastian Baez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 93% | 14/15 | 76% | 26/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 22% | 5/23 | 19% | 5/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 16% | 6/38 | 22% | 13/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 10/19 | 63% | 17/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 39% | 7/18 | 52% | 15/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 5/9 | 64% | 7/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 15/18 | 85% | 29/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 14/18 | 76% | 26/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Brooksby 0, Baez 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Brooksby
🎯 Baseliner
Baez
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 🎾 All-Court is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 226 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
May 6, 2026
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 1st Round
Jan 14, 2026
ASB Classic - Auckland
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Brooksby | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jenson Brooksby | Sebastian Baez | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 61% | 11/18 |
| 3 or more | 54% | 7/13 | 28% | 5/18 |
| 5 or more | 39% | 5/13 | 6% | 1/18 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Brooksby | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–7 | 9–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.89 | 2.35 |
| ROI % | -27.0% | -4.9% |
| Units P/L | -3.51u | -0.78u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Brooksby | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 3 | 5 |
| Distance | 464 mi · 747 km | 1,571 mi · 2,528 km |
| Route | USA | MEX → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Baez has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Brooksby's 30%).
| Opponent | Brooksby | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Jaime Faria | L 36 67 64 61 26 | L 57 16 |
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | W 63 62 | W 64 64 36 57 63 |
| Chak Pong Marco Lam | L 16 57 | W 64 60 |
| Ben Shelton | L 36 57 | W 75 63 |
| Zizou Bergs | L 57 26 | L 63 36 26 |
| Adam Walton | W 63 64 | L 26 26 |
| Ignacio Buse | W 62 62 63 | W 64 63 |
| Zhizhen Zhang | L 67 75 16 | W 26 63 64 |
| Alex Molcan | L 26 57 | W 64 62 |
| Alexander Bublik | L 46 46 46 | L 16 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jaime Faria
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 23
Jaime Faria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Ben Shelton
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Adam Walton
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Coleman Wong
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Edward Winter
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Brandon Nakashima
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Hugo Grenier
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 26
Hubert Hurkacz
Cancun Challenger · Final
Aug 24
Lloyd Harris
Cancun Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 23
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Cancun Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Cancun Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 21
Learner Tien
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 44–65 matches
| Metric | Brooksby | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 39% | 54% |
| Sets won | 42% | 52% |
| Games won | 47% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Brooksby | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Brooksby | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |

