Jenson Brooksby vs Mackenzie McDonaldPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Jenson Brooksby and Mackenzie McDonald have met 4 times since 2022; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Truist Atlanta Open - Atlanta in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Brooksby leads 2–1. McDonald has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Brooksby has taken 5 sets to McDonald's 5. Their most recent meeting: Mackenzie McDonald won at US Men's Clay Court Championship - Houston (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Brooksby | McDonald | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jenson Brooksby | Mackenzie McDonald | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 86% | 12/14 | 65% | 13/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 17% | 4/23 | 32% | 9/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 16% | 6/37 | 33% | 16/48 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 9/19 | 42% | 11/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 35% | 6/17 | 37% | 7/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 29% | 2/7 | 24% | 4/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 13/16 | 74% | 14/19 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 12/16 | 68% | 13/19 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Brooksby 1, McDonald 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Brooksby
🎯 Baseliner
McDonald
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 55% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 212 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jenson Brooksby.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Mar 30, 2026
US Men's Clay Court Championship - Houston
C Clay · 1st Round
Oct 12, 2022
Firenze Open - Florence
H Hard · 1st Round
Sep 22, 2022
San Diego Open - San Diego
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jul 28, 2022
Truist Atlanta Open - Atlanta
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Brooksby | McDonald | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jenson Brooksby | Mackenzie McDonald | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 86% | 6/7 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 7/14 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 5 or more | 29% | 4/14 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Brooksby | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–7 | 3–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.99 | 2.21 |
| ROI % | -10.8% | -56.3% |
| Units P/L | -1.51u | -5.63u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Brooksby | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 5 | 1 |
| Distance | 1,032 mi · 1,661 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CHN | POR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Brooksby and McDonald posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Brooksby | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Jaime Faria | L 36 67 64 61 26 | W 63 76 |
| Adam Walton | W 63 64 | L 16 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Jaume Munar
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Lorenzo Sonego
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Sebastian Baez
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 23
Jaime Faria
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 23
Ryan Nijboer
Braga Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 7
Toby Samuel
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Dalibor Svrcina
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Thiago Seyboth Wild
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Stefano Napolitano
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Jacob Fearnley
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Yibing Wu
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Alex Michelsen
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 43–51 matches
| Metric | Brooksby | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 37% | 41% |
| Sets won | 40% | 43% |
| Games won | 47% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Brooksby | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 2 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Brooksby | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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