Jenson Brooksby vs Tommy PaulPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Jenson Brooksby and Tommy Paul have met 5 times since 2022; Tommy Paul leads 4–1. Their first meeting came at Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Paul leads 4–0. Across all meetings Brooksby has taken 4 sets to Paul's 10. Their most recent meeting: Tommy Paul won at Dallas Open - Dallas (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Brooksby | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jenson Brooksby | Tommy Paul | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 93% | 14/15 | 55% | 16/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 23% | 5/22 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 16% | 6/37 | 49% | 20/41 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 10/19 | 39% | 14/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 39% | 7/18 | 100% | 4/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 5/9 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 15/18 | 81% | 21/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 14/18 | 62% | 16/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Brooksby 0, Paul 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Brooksby
⚙️ Grinder
Paul
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 1,211 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Tommy Paul.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Feb 11, 2026
Dallas Open - Dallas
H Hard · 1st Round
Apr 5, 2025
US Men's Clay Court Championship - Houston
C Clay · Semifinals
Feb 4, 2025
Dallas Open - Dallas
H Hard · 1st Round
Jan 21, 2023
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 3rd Round
Aug 16, 2022
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Brooksby | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jenson Brooksby | Tommy Paul | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 16/16 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 56% | 9/16 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 5 or more | 38% | 6/16 | 80% | 12/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 33% | 5/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Brooksby | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–8 | 10–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.74 | 1.54 |
| ROI % | -16.1% | +12.2% |
| Units P/L | -2.57u | +1.71u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Brooksby | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 4 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 5 |
| Distance | 3,570 mi · 5,746 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | MEX → CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paul has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Brooksby's 60%).
| Opponent | Brooksby | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | W 63 62 | L 67 63 67 |
| Adam Walton | W 63 64 | W 76 63 |
| Corentin Moutet | W 64 64 | W 46 63 64 |
| Ignacio Buse | W 62 62 63 | L 67 64 36 |
| Aleksandar Vukic | W 76 61 61 | W 64 62 |
| Alexandre Muller | W 64 63 | W 61 62 61 |
| Ugo Humbert | L 36 26 | W 63 63 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | L 06 46 | L 76 46 36 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L 76 46 57 | W 63 76 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 64 36 36 | W 76 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 23
Jaime Faria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Ben Shelton
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Adam Walton
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Coleman Wong
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Edward Winter
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Corentin Moutet
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 1st Round
Jul 29
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Hubert Hurkacz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Learner Tien
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Valentin Royer
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Kamil Majchrzak
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Hubert Hurkacz
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Soonwoo Kwon
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–51 matches
| Metric | Brooksby | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 40% | 69% |
| Sets won | 43% | 64% |
| Games won | 48% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Brooksby | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 2 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Brooksby | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 4 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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