Jasmine Paolini vs Marta KostyukPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇮🇹Jasmine Paolini
#33 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 4–3
🇺🇦Marta Kostyuk
#10 · 23 yrs · Right-Handed
4wJasmine Paolini and Marta Kostyuk have met 3 times since 2022; Jasmine Paolini leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Transylvania Open - Cluj-Napoca in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Paolini leads 2–0. Across all meetings Paolini has taken 4 sets to Kostyuk's 3. Their most recent meeting: Marta Kostyuk won at Wimbledon - London (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Paolini | Kostyuk | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jasmine Paolini | Marta Kostyuk | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 10/20 | 72% | 26/36 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 5/19 | 40% | 4/10 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 15/39 | 30% | 14/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 10/30 | 59% | 20/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 33% | 3/9 | 67% | 8/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 14% | 1/7 | 40% | 4/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 78% | 14/18 | 91% | 30/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 56% | 10/18 | 79% | 26/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Paolini 1, Kostyuk 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Kostyuk
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 978 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jul 8, 2026
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Aug 14, 2023
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 10, 2022
Transylvania Open - Cluj-Napoca
H Hard · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Paolini | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–2 | 8–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.66 | 1.49 |
| ROI % | -36.5% | -11.8% |
| Units P/L | -1.46u | -1.41u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Paolini | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | ROU | UKR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kostyuk has a higher win rate against shared opponents (63% vs Paolini's 38%).
| Opponent | Paolini | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Coco Gauff | L 36 26 | L 26 26 |
| Viktorija Golubic | W 76 64 | W 64 63 |
| Tatjana Maria | L 46 36 | W 63 60 |
| Anastasia Potapova | W 67 62 63 | W 62 16 61 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 26 36 | W 61 64 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 36 26 | L 36 46 |
| Taylor Townsend | W 63 16 62 | W 63 62 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 36 16 | L 46 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Daria Snigur
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Sorana Cirstea
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Lucrezia Stefanini
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Veronika Erjavec
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Alexandra Eala
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Maria Sakkari
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Viktorija Golubic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Liudmila Samsonova
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · Quarterfinals
Sep 17
Linda Noskova
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Ekaterina Alexandrova
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Sloane Stephens
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Storm Hunter
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Mirra Andreeva
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Sloane Stephens
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–46 matches
| Metric | Paolini | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 78% |
| Sets won | 48% | 72% |
| Games won | 50% | 59% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Paolini | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Paolini | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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