Jasmine Paolini vs Marta KostyukPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇮🇹Jasmine Paolini
#20 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
8w3 meetings · sets 4–3
🇺🇦Marta Kostyuk
#11 · 23 yrs · Right-Handed
Jasmine Paolini and Marta Kostyuk have met 3 times since 2022; Jasmine Paolini leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Transylvania Open - Cluj-Napoca in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Paolini leads 2–0. Across all meetings Paolini has taken 4 sets to Kostyuk's 3. Their most recent meeting: Marta Kostyuk won at Wimbledon - London (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Paolini | Kostyuk | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jasmine Paolini | Marta Kostyuk | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 54% | 14/26 | 73% | 27/37 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 5/19 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 17/45 | 31% | 15/48 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 36% | 12/33 | 62% | 21/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 6/12 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 3/8 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 17/21 | 91% | 31/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 14/21 | 79% | 27/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Paolini 1, Kostyuk 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Kostyuk
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 821 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jul 8, 2026
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Aug 14, 2023
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 10, 2022
Transylvania Open - Cluj-Napoca
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Paolini | Kostyuk | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jasmine Paolini | Marta Kostyuk | ||
| 1 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 17% | 1/6 | 60% | 9/15 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 47% | 7/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Paolini | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–2 | 11–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.18 | 1.55 |
| ROI % | +35.3% | +3.3% |
| Units P/L | +2.12u | +0.49u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Paolini | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 7 |
| Distance | — | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | — | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kostyuk has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Paolini's 60%).
| Opponent | Paolini | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Coco Gauff | L 36 26 | L 26 26 |
| Sofia Kenin | W 63 60 | W 46 63 75 |
| Iga Swiatek | W 61 62 | L 63 16 26 |
| Viktorija Golubic | W 76 64 | W 64 63 |
| Tatjana Maria | L 46 36 | W 63 60 |
| Elina Svitolina | W 36 64 64 | W 63 26 62 |
| Anastasia Potapova | W 67 62 63 | W 62 16 61 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 26 36 | W 61 64 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 36 26 | L 36 46 |
| Taylor Townsend | W 63 16 62 | W 63 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Alexandra Eala
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Maria Sakkari
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Viktorija Golubic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Robin Montgomery
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Tatjana Maria
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 23
Solana Sierra
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Dayana Yastremska
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Mirra Andreeva
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Sloane Stephens
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Sofia Kenin
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Iga Swiatek
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 8
Madison Keys
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Katherine Sebov
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · Semifinals
Jul 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–48 matches
| Metric | Paolini | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 77% |
| Sets won | 53% | 71% |
| Games won | 52% | 59% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Paolini | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Paolini | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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