Jannik Sinner vs Rafael NadalPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Jannik Sinner and Rafael Nadal have met 4 times since 2020; Rafael Nadal leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at French Open - Paris in 2020 on clay. On clay courts Nadal leads 4–0. Nadal has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Sinner has taken 0 sets to Nadal's 10. Their most recent meeting: Rafael Nadal won at French Open - Paris (2021).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sinner | Nadal | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jannik Sinner | Rafael Nadal | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 88% | 46/52 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 100% | 1/1 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 13% | 7/53 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 87% | 46/53 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | — | ||
| Tiebreak sets won | 80% | 12/15 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 50/50 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 92% | 46/50 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sinner 0, Nadal 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sinner
👑 The Complete Package
Nadal
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
Both Jannik Sinner and Rafael Nadal are 👑 The Complete Package types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 702 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jun 7, 2021
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 4th Round
May 12, 2021
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 2nd Round
May 10, 2021
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay · Round of 32
Oct 6, 2020
French Open - Paris
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sinner | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–0 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.11 | - |
| ROI % | +11.0% | - |
| Units P/L | +0.77u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexander Zverev
Wimbledon - London · Final
Jul 12
Novak Djokovic
Wimbledon - London · Semifinals
Jul 10
Jan-Lennard Struff
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Shintaro Mochizuki
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Jenson Brooksby
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Nuno Borges
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Miomir Kecmanovic
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 28
Botic van de Zandschulp
Davis Cup, World Group, QF, NED-ESP 2-1 · Rubber 1
Nov 19
Novak Djokovic
Olympics - Paris · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Marton Fucsovics
Olympics - Paris · 1st Round
Jul 28
Nuno Borges
Nordea Open - Bastad · Final
Jul 21
Duje Ajdukovic
Nordea Open - Bastad · Semifinals
Jul 20
Mariano Navone
Nordea Open - Bastad · Quarterfinals
Jul 19
Cameron Norrie
Nordea Open - Bastad · 2nd Round
Jul 18
Leo Borg
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 69–69 matches
| Metric | Sinner | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 94% | - |
| Sets won | 87% | - |
| Games won | 62% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sinner | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sinner | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 4 |
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