Jannik Sinner vs Matteo BerrettiniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฎ๐นJannik Sinner
#1 ยท 25 yrs ยท R
7w2 meetings ยท sets 5โ1

๐ฎ๐นMatteo Berrettini
#43 ยท 30 yrs ยท R
Jannik Sinner and Matteo Berrettini have met 2 times since 2023; Jannik Sinner leads 2โ0. Their first meeting came at National Bank Open - Toronto in 2023 on hard. Sinner has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Sinner has taken 5 sets to Berrettini's 1. Their most recent meeting: Jannik Sinner won at Wimbledon - London (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sinner | Berrettini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jannik Sinner | Matteo Berrettini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 88% | 46/52 | 75% | 15/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 100% | 1/1 | 30% | 6/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 13% | 7/53 | 28% | 11/40 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 87% | 46/53 | 38% | 11/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | โ | 60% | 6/10 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 80% | 12/15 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 50/50 | 89% | 17/19 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 92% | 46/50 | 79% | 15/19 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sinner 1, Berrettini 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sinner
๐ The Complete Package
Berrettini
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
๐ The Complete Package vs ๐ค Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 616 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jul 3, 2024
Wimbledon - London
G Grass ยท 2nd Round
Aug 10, 2023
National Bank Open - Toronto
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sinner | Berrettini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jannik Sinner | Matteo Berrettini | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 10 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 38% | 3/8 |
| 15 or more | 86% | 6/7 | 38% | 3/8 |
| 20 or more | 29% | 2/7 | 25% | 2/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Sinner | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7โ0 | 4โ3 |
| Avg odds | 1.08 | 1.85 |
| ROI % | +7.9% | +2.9% |
| Units P/L | +0.55u | +0.20u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sinner | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | โ | 2 |
| Events | โ | 2 |
| Matches | โ | 3 |
| Distance | โ | 712 mi ยท 1,146 km |
| Route | โ | CAN โ USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Sinner has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Berrettini's 40%).
| Opponent | Sinner | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Jiri Lehecka | W 64 64 | L 46 76 36 |
| Alexander Zverev | W 67 76 63 64 | L 36 46 |
| Arthur Fils | W 62 64 | W 64 75 36 63 |
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | L 63 62 57 16 16 | W 63 76 76 |
| Casper Ruud | W 64 64 | L 67 26 |
| Daniil Medvedev | W 62 57 64 | W 60 60 |
| Alexei Popyrin | W 62 60 | L 26 36 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 62 75 | W 76 67 64 |
| Joao Fonseca | W 76 76 | L 36 26 |
| Ugo Humbert | W 63 60 | L 67 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexander Zverev
Wimbledon - London ยท Final
Jul 12
Novak Djokovic
Wimbledon - London ยท Semifinals
Jul 10
Jan-Lennard Struff
Wimbledon - London ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Shintaro Mochizuki
Wimbledon - London ยท 4th Round
Jul 5
Jenson Brooksby
Wimbledon - London ยท 3rd Round
Jul 3
Nuno Borges
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 1
Miomir Kecmanovic
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 29
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
French Open - Paris ยท 2nd Round
May 28
Jiri Lehecka
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Titouan Droguet
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 14
Mariano Navone
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 1st Round
Aug 3
Grigor Dimitrov
Wimbledon - London ยท 3rd Round
Jul 4
Arthur Fils
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 2
Stan Wawrinka
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 30
Matteo Arnaldi
Roland Garros ยท Quarterfinals
Jun 3
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
French Open - Paris ยท 4th Round
Jun 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 48โ72 matches
| Metric | Sinner | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 94% | 56% |
| Sets won | 87% | 56% |
| Games won | 62% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sinner | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sinner | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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