Jannik Sinner vs Lorenzo MusettiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Jannik Sinner and Lorenzo Musetti have met 3 times since 2021; Jannik Sinner leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at European Open - Antwerp in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Sinner leads 2–0. Sinner has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Sinner has taken 7 sets to Musetti's 0. Their most recent meeting: Jannik Sinner won at U.S. Open - New York (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sinner | Musetti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jannik Sinner | Lorenzo Musetti | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 88% | 46/52 | 72% | 21/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 100% | 1/1 | 24% | 4/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 13% | 7/53 | 26% | 12/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 87% | 46/53 | 59% | 20/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 30% | 3/10 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 80% | 12/15 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 50/50 | 90% | 26/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 92% | 46/50 | 72% | 21/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sinner 2, Musetti 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sinner
👑 The Complete Package
Musetti
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 56% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 179 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Lorenzo Musetti.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Sep 3, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Apr 14, 2023
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Oct 20, 2021
European Open - Antwerp
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sinner | Musetti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jannik Sinner | Lorenzo Musetti | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 88% | 7/8 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 63% | 5/8 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 25% | 2/8 |
| 10 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 86% | 6/7 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 29% | 2/7 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sinner | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–0 | 5–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.08 | 1.62 |
| ROI % | +7.9% | -18.1% |
| Units P/L | +0.55u | -1.45u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sinner | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 7 |
| Distance | — | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km |
| Route | — | USA → CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sinner has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Musetti's 30%).
| Opponent | Sinner | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Frances Tiafoe | W 62 62 | L 67 57 |
| Daniel Altmaier | W 60 62 | W 64 62 |
| Rafael Jodar | W 62 76 | L 46 36 |
| Alexander Zverev | W 67 76 63 64 | L 46 57 |
| Novak Djokovic | W 64 64 64 | L 64 36 57 |
| Casper Ruud | W 64 64 | L 36 16 |
| Andrey Rublev | W 62 64 | W 67 75 64 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | W 75 61 | W 76 64 |
| Arthur Fils | W 62 64 | L 36 46 |
| Jiri Lehecka | W 64 64 | L 36 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexander Zverev
Wimbledon - London · Final
Jul 12
Novak Djokovic
Wimbledon - London · Semifinals
Jul 10
Jan-Lennard Struff
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Shintaro Mochizuki
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Jenson Brooksby
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Nuno Borges
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Miomir Kecmanovic
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 28
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Jaime Faria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Michael Zheng
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daniel Altmaier
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Nicolas Mejia
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Aleksandar Vukic
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–72 matches
| Metric | Sinner | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 94% | 65% |
| Sets won | 87% | 62% |
| Games won | 62% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sinner | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sinner | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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