Holger Rune vs Matteo BerrettiniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Holger Rune and Matteo Berrettini have met 4 times since 2022; Holger Rune leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Rune leads 3–1. Rune has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Rune has taken 8 sets to Berrettini's 5. Their most recent meeting: Holger Rune won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rune | Berrettini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Holger Rune | Matteo Berrettini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 2/4 | 67% | 14/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 1/2 | 32% | 6/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 50% | 3/6 | 33% | 13/40 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 40% | 2/5 | 38% | 11/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 100% | 1/1 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 1/3 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 67% | 2/3 | 89% | 16/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 2/3 | 78% | 14/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 0 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rune 0, Berrettini 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rune
💥 Big Hitter
Berrettini
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jan 16, 2025
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 7, 2024
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 14, 2024
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 1st Round
Mar 13, 2022
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rune | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–2 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.58 | 1.82 |
| ROI % | -17.5% | -25.1% |
| Units P/L | -0.70u | -2.26u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rune | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 4 |
| Distance | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | JPN → CHN | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rune has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Berrettini's 50%).
| Opponent | Rune | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Grigor Dimitrov | W 36 63 76 | L 36 46 63 75 36 |
| Marton Fucsovics | W 64 64 | W 67 75 61 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Daniel Altmaier
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Kyrian Jacquet
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Grigor Dimitrov
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, DEN-BUL 3-2 · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Iliyan Radulov
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, DEN-BUL 3-2 · Rubber 2
Sep 18
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
BNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm · Quarterfinals
Oct 17
Marton Fucsovics
BNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm · 2nd Round
Oct 16
Valentin Vacherot
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 4th Round
Oct 7
Brandon Nakashima
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Mariano Navone
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Stan Wawrinka
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Jiri Lehecka
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Titouan Droguet
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 6–50 matches
| Metric | Rune | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 58% |
| Sets won | 60% | 57% |
| Games won | 53% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rune | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rune | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 1 |
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