Grigor Dimitrov vs Tommy PaulPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Grigor Dimitrov and Tommy Paul have met 3 times since 2020; Tommy Paul leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Paul leads 2–1. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Paul leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Dimitrov has taken 5 sets to Paul's 5. Their most recent meeting: Tommy Paul won at BNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Dimitrov | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Grigor Dimitrov | Tommy Paul | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 6/8 | 55% | 16/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 5/14 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 7/22 | 49% | 20/41 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 36% | 5/14 | 39% | 14/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 4/7 | 100% | 4/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 30% | 3/10 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 73% | 8/11 | 81% | 21/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 55% | 6/11 | 62% | 16/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Dimitrov 0, Paul 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Dimitrov
🤖 Servebot
Paul
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Oct 20, 2024
BNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm
H Hard · Final
Sep 1, 2020
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Jan 22, 2020
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Dimitrov | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Grigor Dimitrov | Tommy Paul | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 92% | 12/13 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 5 or more | 85% | 11/13 | 80% | 12/15 |
| 10 or more | 31% | 4/13 | 33% | 5/15 |
| 15 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 20 or more | 8% | 1/13 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Dimitrov | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–5 | 10–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.69 | 1.54 |
| ROI % | -3.7% | +12.2% |
| Units P/L | -0.48u | +1.71u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Dimitrov | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 1 | 5 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paul has a higher win rate against shared opponents (57% vs Dimitrov's 14%).
| Opponent | Dimitrov | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | L 46 46 | W 36 63 64 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L 36 36 | W 63 76 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | L 46 62 36 | W 67 76 76 |
| Raphael Collignon | L 67 64 67 | W 62 36 76 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 26 36 | L 67 46 57 |
| Tomas Machac | L 46 46 36 | L 62 36 36 |
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | W 76 61 | L 67 63 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sebastian Baez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Nuno Borges
Nordea Open - Bastad · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Dalibor Svrcina
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 14
Arthur Fery
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Matteo Berrettini
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Jakub Mensik
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Dane Sweeny
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Hubert Hurkacz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Learner Tien
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Valentin Royer
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Kamil Majchrzak
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Hubert Hurkacz
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Soonwoo Kwon
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 27–51 matches
| Metric | Dimitrov | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 41% | 69% |
| Sets won | 45% | 64% |
| Games won | 50% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Dimitrov | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Dimitrov | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
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