Grigor Dimitrov vs Tommy PaulPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Grigor Dimitrov and Tommy Paul have met 3 times since 2020; Tommy Paul leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Paul leads 2–1. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Paul leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Dimitrov has taken 5 sets to Paul's 5. Their most recent meeting: Tommy Paul won at BNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Dimitrov | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Grigor Dimitrov | Tommy Paul | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 73% | 8/11 | 57% | 17/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 6/16 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 9/27 | 48% | 21/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 37% | 7/19 | 38% | 15/39 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 4/7 | 100% | 4/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 29% | 4/14 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 71% | 10/14 | 79% | 22/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 57% | 8/14 | 61% | 17/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Dimitrov 0, Paul 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Dimitrov
🤖 Servebot
Paul
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Oct 20, 2024
BNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm
H Hard · Final
Sep 1, 2020
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Jan 22, 2020
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Dimitrov | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Grigor Dimitrov | Tommy Paul | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 83% | 5/6 | 92% | 11/12 |
| 5 or more | 83% | 5/6 | 75% | 9/12 |
| 10 or more | 17% | 1/6 | 17% | 2/12 |
| 15 or more | 17% | 1/6 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Dimitrov | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–5 | 8–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.54 | 1.81 |
| ROI % | -56.8% | +1.3% |
| Units P/L | -4.54u | +0.17u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Dimitrov | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 1 | 2 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | FRA | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paul has a higher win rate against shared opponents (57% vs Dimitrov's 14%).
| Opponent | Dimitrov | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | L 46 46 | W 62 62 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 26 36 | L 46 36 46 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L 36 36 | W 63 76 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | L 46 62 36 | W 67 76 76 |
| Raphael Collignon | L 67 64 67 | W 62 36 76 |
| Tomas Machac | L 46 46 36 | L 62 36 36 |
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | W 76 61 | L 67 63 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Edas Butvilas
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Holger Rune
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, DEN-BUL 3-2 · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Elmer Moller
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, DEN-BUL 3-2 · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Alexei Popyrin
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Timofey Skatov
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Lorenzo Giustino
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Sebastian Baez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Nuno Borges
Nordea Open - Bastad · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Alejandro Tabilo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Sep 30
Carlos Alcaraz
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Alexander Bublik
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Dino Prizmic
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Chak Pong Marco Lam
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Flavio Cobolli
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 33–58 matches
| Metric | Dimitrov | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 42% | 69% |
| Sets won | 46% | 64% |
| Games won | 50% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Dimitrov | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Dimitrov | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
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