Daniil Medvedev vs Grigor DimitrovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ท๐บDaniil Medvedev
#8 ยท 30 yrs ยท R
11 meetings ยท sets 19โ7

๐ง๐ฌGrigor Dimitrov
#137 ยท 35 yrs ยท R
Daniil Medvedev and Grigor Dimitrov have met 11 times since 2017; Daniil Medvedev leads 8โ3. Their first meeting came at London / Queen's Club in 2017 on grass. On hard courts Medvedev leads 7โ2. On grass courts they are level 1โ1. Medvedev has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Medvedev has taken 19 sets to Dimitrov's 7. Their most recent meeting: Daniil Medvedev won at Wimbledon (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Medvedev | Dimitrov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniil Medvedev | Grigor Dimitrov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 29/41 | 75% | 6/8 |
| Wins a set when losing | 53% | 9/17 | 36% | 5/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 21/58 | 32% | 7/22 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 25/51 | 36% | 5/14 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 3/5 | 57% | 4/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 9/24 | 30% | 3/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 35/39 | 73% | 8/11 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 29/39 | 55% | 6/11 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 9 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Medvedev 5, Dimitrov 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Medvedev
๐ The Complete Package
Dimitrov
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
๐ The Complete Package vs ๐ค Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 616 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
11 career meetings, newest first
Jul 7, 2024
Wimbledon
G Grass ยท Round of 16
Mar 13, 2024
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard ยท 4th Round
Nov 1, 2023
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Oct 26, 2023
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Feb 18, 2023
ABN AMRO World Tennis Tournament - Rotterdam
H Hard ยท Semifinals
Oct 29, 2022
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard ยท Semifinals
Oct 13, 2021
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard ยท 4th Round
Aug 19, 2021
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard ยท 3rd Round
Sep 6, 2019
US Open
H Hard ยท Semifinals
Aug 3, 2017
Washington
H Hard ยท Round of 16
Jun 17, 2017
London / Queen's Club
G Grass ยท Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Medvedev | Dimitrov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniil Medvedev | Grigor Dimitrov | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 92% | 12/13 |
| 5 or more | 77% | 10/13 | 85% | 11/13 |
| 10 or more | 54% | 7/13 | 31% | 4/13 |
| 15 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 8% | 1/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6โ6 | 8โ5 |
| Avg odds | 1.26 | 1.69 |
| ROI % | -39.7% | -3.7% |
| Units P/L | -4.76u | -0.48u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 4 | 1 |
| Distance | 1,024 mi ยท 1,648 km | 0 mi ยท 0 km |
| Route | CAN โ USA | USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Medvedev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Dimitrov's 30%).
| Opponent | Medvedev | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Martin Damm | L 57 36 | L 67 67 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 64 60 | L 61 36 46 |
| Nuno Borges | W 64 67 62 | L 46 26 |
| Dalibor Svrcina | W 61 61 | W 76 16 64 |
| Matteo Berrettini | L 06 06 | W 63 64 36 57 63 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 63 76 | L 36 36 |
| Terence Atmane | W 64 64 | W 64 57 64 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 63 64 | L 46 62 36 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | W 63 76 | L 26 36 |
| Alex Michelsen | W 62 64 | L 75 46 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Martin Damm
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 2nd Round
Aug 26
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round
Aug 18
Marco Trungelliti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Botic van de Zandschulp
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 6
Jan-Lennard Struff
Wimbledon - London ยท 3rd Round
Jul 3
Daniel Merida
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 1
Marin Cilic
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 29
Daniel Altmaier
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle ยท Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Sebastian Baez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 14
Nuno Borges
Nordea Open - Bastad ยท 2nd Round
Jul 15
Dalibor Svrcina
Nordea Open - Bastad ยท 1st Round
Jul 14
Arthur Fery
Wimbledon - London ยท 4th Round
Jul 6
Matteo Berrettini
Wimbledon - London ยท 3rd Round
Jul 4
Jakub Mensik
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 2
Dane Sweeny
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 30
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca ยท Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 27โ66 matches
| Metric | Medvedev | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 70% | 41% |
| Sets won | 65% | 45% |
| Games won | 55% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Medvedev | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 2 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 2 | 2 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 3 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Medvedev | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 7 | 2 |
| Grass | 1 | 1 |
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