Daniil Medvedev vs Grigor DimitrovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniil Medvedev and Grigor Dimitrov have met 11 times since 2017; Daniil Medvedev leads 8–3. Their first meeting came at London / Queen's Club in 2017 on grass. On hard courts Medvedev leads 7–2. On grass courts they are level 1–1. Medvedev has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Medvedev has taken 19 sets to Dimitrov's 7. Their most recent meeting: Daniil Medvedev won at Wimbledon (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Medvedev | Dimitrov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniil Medvedev | Grigor Dimitrov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 28/41 | 73% | 8/11 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 7/15 | 38% | 6/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 20/56 | 33% | 9/27 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 51% | 25/49 | 37% | 7/19 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 2/4 | 57% | 4/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 39% | 9/23 | 29% | 4/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 34/36 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 28/36 | 57% | 8/14 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 9 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Medvedev 5, Dimitrov 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Medvedev
👑 The Complete Package
Dimitrov
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,511 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
11 career meetings, newest first
Jul 7, 2024
Wimbledon
G Grass · Round of 16
Mar 13, 2024
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 4th Round
Nov 1, 2023
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 26, 2023
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard · 2nd Round
Feb 18, 2023
ABN AMRO World Tennis Tournament - Rotterdam
H Hard · Semifinals
Oct 29, 2022
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard · Semifinals
Oct 13, 2021
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 4th Round
Aug 19, 2021
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 3rd Round
Sep 6, 2019
US Open
H Hard · Semifinals
Aug 3, 2017
Washington
H Hard · Round of 16
Jun 17, 2017
London / Queen's Club
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Medvedev | Dimitrov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniil Medvedev | Grigor Dimitrov | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 5 or more | 88% | 15/17 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 10 or more | 82% | 14/17 | 20% | 1/5 |
| 15 or more | 24% | 4/17 | 20% | 1/5 |
| 20 or more | 12% | 2/17 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–5 | 3–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.32 | 1.39 |
| ROI % | -15.1% | -50.6% |
| Units P/L | -2.42u | -3.54u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 9 | 1 |
| Distance | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CHN | FRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Medvedev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (78% vs Dimitrov's 33%).
| Opponent | Medvedev | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Pablo Carreno Busta | W 64 62 | W 63 62 |
| Martin Damm | L 57 36 | L 67 67 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 64 60 | L 61 36 46 |
| Nuno Borges | W 64 67 62 | L 46 26 |
| Matteo Berrettini | L 06 06 | W 63 64 36 57 63 |
| Terence Atmane | W 64 64 | W 64 57 64 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 63 64 | L 46 62 36 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | W 63 76 | L 26 36 |
| Alex Michelsen | W 62 64 | L 75 46 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jan-Lennard Struff
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Francisco Cerundolo
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Jan-Lennard Struff
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Pablo Carreno Busta
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 2
Andrey Rublev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Final
Sep 29
Roman Safiullin
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals
Sep 28
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Edas Butvilas
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Holger Rune
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, DEN-BUL 3-2 · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Elmer Moller
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, DEN-BUL 3-2 · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Alexei Popyrin
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Timofey Skatov
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Lorenzo Giustino
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Sebastian Baez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Nuno Borges
Nordea Open - Bastad · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 33–68 matches
| Metric | Medvedev | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 72% | 42% |
| Sets won | 66% | 46% |
| Games won | 56% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Medvedev | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 2 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 4 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 2 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Medvedev | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 7 | 2 |
| Grass | 1 | 1 |
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