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Head-to-Head

Carlos Alcaraz vs Grigor DimitrovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Carlos Alcaraz

🇪🇸Carlos Alcaraz

#3 · 23 yrs · R

7Title
5–2

7 meetings · sets 11–4

Grigor Dimitrov

🇧🇬Grigor Dimitrov

#127 · 35 yrs · R

3w

Carlos Alcaraz and Grigor Dimitrov have met 7 times since 2022; Carlos Alcaraz leads 5–2. Their first meeting came at Rolex Paris Masters - Paris in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Alcaraz leads 3–2. Alcaraz has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Alcaraz has taken 11 sets to Dimitrov's 4. Their most recent meeting: Carlos Alcaraz won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2026).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorAlcarazDimitrov
Wins in straight sets72%73%
Wins a set when losing40%38%
Goes to a deciding set30%33%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite64%37%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog0%57%
Tiebreak sets won54%29%
Wins after taking set 195%71%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 182%57%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 6 of 7 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alcaraz 5, Dimitrov 1).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Alcaraz

👑 The Complete Package

Elite serve & returnHigh BP conversionAll-surface dominanceClutch performer
vs

Dimitrov

🤖 Servebot

High ace rateDominant serviceWeaker returnBig first serve

Matchup analysis

👑 The Complete Package vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,511 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.

Previous meetings

7 career meetings, newest first

Mar 7, 2026

BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells

H Hard · 2nd Round

62
63
Alcaraz

Mar 12, 2025

BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells

H Hard · 4th Round

61
61
Alcaraz

Mar 28, 2024

Miami Open - Miami

H Hard · Quarterfinals

26
46
Dimitrov

Oct 11, 2023

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai

H Hard · 4th Round

75
26
46
Dimitrov

Jun 23, 2023

cinch Championships - London

G Grass · Quarterfinals

64
64
Alcaraz

Apr 30, 2023

Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid

C Clay · 3rd Round

62
75
Alcaraz

Nov 3, 2022

Rolex Paris Masters - Paris

H Hard · 3rd Round

61
63
Alcaraz

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomeAlcarazDimitrov
1 or more92%100%
3 or more75%100%
5 or more25%100%
10 or more0%20%
15 or more0%20%
20 or more0%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricAlcarazDimitrov
W-L11–13–4
Avg odds1.151.39
ROI %+4.3%-50.6%
Units P/L+0.51u-3.54u

Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricAlcarazDimitrov
Countries31
Events31
Matches71
Distance7,032 mi · 11,317 km0 mi · 0 km
RouteGBR → JPN → CHNFRA

Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Dimitrov's 0%).

OpponentAlcarazDimitrov
Alex Michelsen
W
76
46
61
L
75
46
46
Jaime Faria
W
46
60
63
62
L
63
57
67
Sebastian Baez
W
61
63
L
61
36
46
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
W
61
46
63
L
46
62
36

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Alcaraz
WWWWWWWL
W

Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round

63
63

Oct 10

W

Jiri Lehecka

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Final

764
64

Oct 6

W

Jaume Munar

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Semifinals

57
63
61

Oct 5

W

Denis Shapovalov

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Quarterfinals

Oct 4

W

Matteo Arnaldi

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round

766
61

Oct 3

W

Alex Michelsen

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round

761
46
61

Oct 1

W

Taylor Fritz

Laver Cup - London · Round Robin

63
46
1311

Sep 26

L

Ben Shelton

U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals

765
16
36
61
67

Sep 9

Dimitrov
LLWLWWLL
L

Edas Butvilas

St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round

637
36

Sep 22

L

Holger Rune

Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, DEN-BUL 3-2 · Rubber 4

63
36
647

Sep 19

W

Elmer Moller

Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, DEN-BUL 3-2 · Rubber 1

627
63
64

Sep 18

L

Alexei Popyrin

U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round

63
36
26
46

Sep 1

W

Timofey Skatov

U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying

765
64

Aug 26

W

Lorenzo Giustino

U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying

60
63

Aug 25

L

Sebastian Baez

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round

61
36
46

Aug 14

L

Nuno Borges

Nordea Open - Bastad · 2nd Round

46
26

Jul 15

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ AlcarazAlcaraz ahead↓ Dimitrov

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 33–42 matches

MetricAlcarazDimitrov
Matches won86%42%
Sets won78%46%
Games won59%50%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageAlcarazDimitrov
ATP 50010
ATP Masters 100042

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceAlcarazDimitrov
Hard32
Clay10
Grass10

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Carlos Alcaraz vs Grigor Dimitrov FAQ

Carlos Alcaraz leads the head-to-head 5–2 over 7 meetings.