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Head-to-Head

Carlos Alcaraz vs Grigor DimitrovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Carlos Alcaraz

🇪🇸Carlos Alcaraz

#3 · 23 yrs · R

20w
5–2

7 meetings · sets 11–4

Grigor Dimitrov

🇧🇬Grigor Dimitrov

#137 · 35 yrs · R

Carlos Alcaraz and Grigor Dimitrov have met 7 times since 2022; Carlos Alcaraz leads 5–2. Their first meeting came at Rolex Paris Masters - Paris in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Alcaraz leads 3–2. Alcaraz has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Alcaraz has taken 11 sets to Dimitrov's 4. Their most recent meeting: Carlos Alcaraz won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2026).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorAlcarazDimitrov
Wins in straight sets80%75%
Wins a set when losing33%36%
Goes to a deciding set23%32%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite69%36%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog0%57%
Tiebreak sets won40%30%
Wins after taking set 195%73%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 191%55%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 6 of 7 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alcaraz 5, Dimitrov 1).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Alcaraz

👑 The Complete Package

Elite serve & returnHigh BP conversionAll-surface dominanceClutch performer
vs

Dimitrov

🤖 Servebot

High ace rateDominant serviceWeaker returnBig first serve

Matchup analysis

👑 The Complete Package vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 616 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.

Previous meetings

7 career meetings, newest first

Mar 7, 2026

BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells

H Hard · 2nd Round

62
63
Alcaraz

Mar 12, 2025

BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells

H Hard · 4th Round

61
61
Alcaraz

Mar 28, 2024

Miami Open - Miami

H Hard · Quarterfinals

26
46
Dimitrov

Oct 11, 2023

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai

H Hard · 4th Round

75
26
46
Dimitrov

Jun 23, 2023

cinch Championships - London

G Grass · Quarterfinals

64
64
Alcaraz

Apr 30, 2023

Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid

C Clay · 3rd Round

62
75
Alcaraz

Nov 3, 2022

Rolex Paris Masters - Paris

H Hard · 3rd Round

61
63
Alcaraz

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricAlcarazDimitrov
W-L-8–5
Avg odds-1.69
ROI %--3.7%
Units P/L--0.48u

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricAlcarazDimitrov
Countries—1
Events—1
Matches—1
Distance—0 mi · 0 km
Route—USA

Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Dimitrov's 0%).

OpponentAlcarazDimitrov
Sebastian Baez
W
61
63
L
61
36
46
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
W
61
46
63
L
46
62
36

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Alcaraz
WLWWWWLW
W

Otto Virtanen

Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona · 1st Round

64
62

Apr 14

L

Jannik Sinner

Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · Final

657
36

Apr 12

W

Valentin Vacherot

Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · Semifinals

64
64

Apr 11

W

Alexander Bublik

Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · Quarterfinals

63
60

Apr 10

W

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · 3rd Round

61
46
63

Apr 9

W

Sebastian Baez

Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · 2nd Round

61
63

Apr 7

L

Sebastian Korda

Miami Open - Miami · 3rd Round

36
75
46

Mar 22

W

Joao Fonseca

Miami Open - Miami · 2nd Round

64
64

Mar 20

Dimitrov
LLWLWWWL
L

Sebastian Baez

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round

61
36
46

Aug 14

L

Nuno Borges

Nordea Open - Bastad · 2nd Round

46
26

Jul 15

W

Dalibor Svrcina

Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round

765
16
64

Jul 14

L

Arthur Fery

Wimbledon - London · 4th Round

57
63
64
46
677

Jul 6

W

Matteo Berrettini

Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round

63
64
36
57
63

Jul 4

W

Jakub Mensik

Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round

765
46
75
63

Jul 2

W

Dane Sweeny

Wimbledon - London · 1st Round

764
63
75

Jun 30

L

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · Quarterfinals

36
36

Jun 25

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ AlcarazAlcaraz ahead↓ Dimitrov

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 27–42 matches

MetricAlcarazDimitrov
Matches won86%41%
Sets won80%45%
Games won59%50%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageAlcarazDimitrov
ATP Masters 100020
ATP World Tour Masters 100022
ATP World Tour 50010

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceAlcarazDimitrov
Hard32
Clay10
Grass10

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Carlos Alcaraz vs Grigor Dimitrov FAQ

Carlos Alcaraz leads the head-to-head 5–2 over 7 meetings.