Grigor Dimitrov vs Sebastian BaezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Grigor Dimitrov and Sebastian Baez have met 1 time since 2026; Sebastian Baez leads 1–0. Across all meetings Dimitrov has taken 1 sets to Baez's 2. Their most recent meeting: Sebastian Baez won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Dimitrov | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Grigor Dimitrov | Sebastian Baez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 6/8 | 76% | 26/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 5/14 | 19% | 5/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 7/22 | 22% | 13/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 36% | 5/14 | 63% | 17/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 4/7 | 52% | 15/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 30% | 3/10 | 64% | 7/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 73% | 8/11 | 85% | 29/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 55% | 6/11 | 76% | 26/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Dimitrov 0, Baez 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Dimitrov
🤖 Servebot
Baez
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🎾 All-Court across 752 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Grigor Dimitrov.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the all-court's tactical versatility.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 14, 2026
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Dimitrov | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Grigor Dimitrov | Sebastian Baez | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 76% | 16/21 |
| 3 or more | 92% | 12/13 | 29% | 6/21 |
| 5 or more | 85% | 11/13 | 10% | 2/21 |
| 10 or more | 31% | 4/13 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 15 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 20 or more | 8% | 1/13 | 0% | 0/21 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Dimitrov | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–5 | 14–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.69 | 1.90 |
| ROI % | -3.7% | +8.8% |
| Units P/L | -0.48u | +1.76u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Dimitrov | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 1 | 4 |
| Matches | 1 | 9 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 3,066 mi · 4,934 km |
| Route | USA | CAN → USA → MEX → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Dimitrov has a higher win rate against shared opponents (43% vs Baez's 14%).
| Opponent | Dimitrov | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Jakub Mensik | W 76 46 75 63 | L 36 67 |
| Jaime Faria | L 63 57 67 | L 57 16 |
| Alex Michelsen | L 75 46 46 | L 57 36 |
| Pablo Carreno Busta | W 63 62 | L 75 57 57 |
| Tomas Machac | L 46 46 36 | L 62 46 16 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 26 36 | L 16 36 |
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | W 76 61 | W 64 64 36 57 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sebastian Baez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Nuno Borges
Nordea Open - Bastad · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Dalibor Svrcina
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 14
Arthur Fery
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Matteo Berrettini
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Jakub Mensik
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Dane Sweeny
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Hugo Grenier
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Hubert Hurkacz
Cancun Challenger · Final
Aug 24
Lloyd Harris
Cancun Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 23
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Cancun Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Cancun Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 21
Learner Tien
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Grigor Dimitrov
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Zizou Bergs
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 27–64 matches
| Metric | Dimitrov | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 41% | 55% |
| Sets won | 45% | 53% |
| Games won | 50% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Dimitrov | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Dimitrov | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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