Grigor Dimitrov vs Sebastian BaezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Grigor Dimitrov and Sebastian Baez have met 1 time since 2026; Sebastian Baez leads 1–0. Across all meetings Dimitrov has taken 1 sets to Baez's 2. Their most recent meeting: Sebastian Baez won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Dimitrov | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Grigor Dimitrov | Sebastian Baez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 73% | 8/11 | 76% | 26/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 6/16 | 23% | 6/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 9/27 | 23% | 14/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 37% | 7/19 | 61% | 17/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 4/7 | 54% | 15/28 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 29% | 4/14 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 71% | 10/14 | 83% | 29/35 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 57% | 8/14 | 74% | 26/35 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Dimitrov 0, Baez 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Dimitrov
🤖 Servebot
Baez
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 54% vs 🎾 All-Court across 703 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Grigor Dimitrov.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the all-court's tactical versatility.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 14, 2026
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Dimitrov | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Grigor Dimitrov | Sebastian Baez | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 5/5 | 68% | 13/19 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 5/5 | 32% | 6/19 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 5/5 | 16% | 3/19 |
| 10 or more | 20% | 1/5 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 15 or more | 20% | 1/5 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Dimitrov | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–4 | 8–9 |
| Avg odds | 1.39 | 2.43 |
| ROI % | -50.6% | -17.4% |
| Units P/L | -3.54u | -2.95u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Dimitrov | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 1 | 4 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 1,611 mi · 2,592 km |
| Route | FRA | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Dimitrov has a higher win rate against shared opponents (43% vs Baez's 14%).
| Opponent | Dimitrov | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Jakub Mensik | W 76 46 75 63 | L 36 67 |
| Jaime Faria | L 63 57 67 | L 57 16 |
| Alex Michelsen | L 75 46 46 | L 57 36 |
| Pablo Carreno Busta | W 63 62 | L 75 57 57 |
| Tomas Machac | L 46 46 36 | L 62 46 16 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 26 36 | L 16 36 |
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | W 76 61 | W 64 64 36 57 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Edas Butvilas
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Holger Rune
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, DEN-BUL 3-2 · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Elmer Moller
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, DEN-BUL 3-2 · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Alexei Popyrin
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Timofey Skatov
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Lorenzo Giustino
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Sebastian Baez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Nuno Borges
Nordea Open - Bastad · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Valentin Vacherot
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Marcos Giron
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Juncheng Shang
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Jenson Brooksby
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 23
Brandon Nakashima
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Hugo Grenier
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 26
Hubert Hurkacz
Cancun Challenger · Final
Aug 24
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 33–65 matches
| Metric | Dimitrov | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 42% | 54% |
| Sets won | 46% | 52% |
| Games won | 50% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Dimitrov | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Dimitrov | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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