Francisco Cerundolo vs Juan Pablo VarillasPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇷Francisco Cerundolo
#25 · 28 yrs · R
43 meetings · sets 5–3
🇵🇪Juan Pablo Varillas
#232 · 30 yrs · R
4w3Francisco Cerundolo and Juan Pablo Varillas have met 3 times since 2019; Francisco Cerundolo leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Buenos Aires in 2019 on clay. On clay courts Cerundolo leads 2–1. Across all meetings Cerundolo has taken 5 sets to Varillas's 3. Their most recent meeting: Juan Pablo Varillas won at Santiago 2 Challenger (2021).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Cerundolo | Pablo Varillas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Francisco Cerundolo | Juan Pablo Varillas | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 21/28 | 72% | 26/36 |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 5/18 | 30% | 8/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 12/46 | 29% | 18/63 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 61% | 17/28 | 35% | 6/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 9/18 | 91% | 10/11 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 9/17 | 43% | 10/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 26/31 | 89% | 34/38 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 21/31 | 68% | 26/38 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Cerundolo 1, Pablo Varillas 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cerundolo
🪃 Counterpuncher
Varillas
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
Both Francisco Cerundolo and Juan Pablo Varillas are 🪃 Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,818 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Oct 9, 2021
Santiago 2 Challenger
C Clay · Semifinals
Nov 18, 2020
Guayaquil Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Sep 16, 2019
Buenos Aires
C Clay · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Cerundolo | Varillas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Francisco Cerundolo | Juan Pablo Varillas | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 3 or more | 56% | 5/9 | 70% | 7/10 |
| 5 or more | 33% | 3/9 | 50% | 5/10 |
| 10 or more | 11% | 1/9 | 10% | 1/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Cerundolo | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–4 | 5–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.89 | 2.21 |
| ROI % | +9.4% | +49.5% |
| Units P/L | +0.85u | +3.47u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Cerundolo | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 3 | 2 |
| Distance | 3,258 mi · 5,243 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | MEX → CAN → USA | SMR |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Cerundolo has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Varillas's 0%).
| Opponent | Cerundolo | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Emilio Nava | W 61 61 | L 36 26 |
| Hugo Dellien | W 60 76 | L 26 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nuno Borges
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Alex Michelsen
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Arthur Gea
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Jaume Munar
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Tommy Paul
HSBC Championships - London · Final
Jun 21
Brandon Nakashima
HSBC Championships - London · Semifinals
Jun 20
Arthur Fery
HSBC Championships - London · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Jenson Brooksby
HSBC Championships - London · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Mili Poljicak
San Marino Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 1
Timofey Skatov
San Marino Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Francesco Maestrelli
San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Jacopo Vasami
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Nicolas Mejia
Bogota Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 11
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Bogota Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Luis Carlos Alvarez
Bogota Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 8
Bruno Fernandez
Bogota Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 7
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 54–63 matches
| Metric | Cerundolo | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 57% |
| Sets won | 59% | 56% |
| Games won | 53% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Cerundolo | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Cerundolo | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.