Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Lorenzo MusettiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Felix Auger-Aliassime and Lorenzo Musetti have met 8 times since 2021; they are level 4–4. Their first meeting came at Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Musetti leads 3–1. On hard courts Auger-Aliassime leads 3–1. Across all meetings Auger-Aliassime has taken 11 sets to Musetti's 9. Their most recent meeting: Felix Auger-Aliassime won at Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Auger-Aliassime | Musetti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Felix Auger-Aliassime | Lorenzo Musetti | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 25/40 | 73% | 16/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 19% | 3/16 | 25% | 4/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 18/56 | 26% | 10/38 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 23/48 | 56% | 15/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 38% | 3/8 | 33% | 3/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 66% | 23/35 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 31/33 | 86% | 19/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 25/33 | 73% | 16/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 8 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Auger-Aliassime 3, Musetti 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Auger-Aliassime
🤖 Servebot
Musetti
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
8 career meetings, newest first
Oct 8, 2025
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
H Hard · 4th Round
Mar 23, 2025
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 3rd Round
Aug 3, 2024
Olympics - Paris
C Clay · Olympic Bronze
Nov 26, 2022
Davis Cup, Finals, SF, ITA-CAN 1-2
H Hard · Rubber 2
Oct 15, 2022
Firenze Open - Florence
H Hard · Semifinals
Apr 13, 2022
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay · 2nd Round
May 18, 2021
Open Parc - Lyon
C Clay · 1st Round
Apr 21, 2021
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Auger-Aliassime | Musetti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Felix Auger-Aliassime | Lorenzo Musetti | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 91% | 10/11 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 73% | 8/11 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 46% | 5/11 |
| 10 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Auger-Aliassime | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–3 | 6–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.33 | 1.50 |
| ROI % | -11.2% | -28.7% |
| Units P/L | -1.12u | -3.16u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Auger-Aliassime | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 3 | 1 |
| Distance | 663 mi · 1,067 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Auger-Aliassime has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Musetti's 40%).
| Opponent | Auger-Aliassime | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Frances Tiafoe | L 36 46 | L 67 57 |
| Michael Zheng | W 76 62 61 | W 61 63 |
| Daniel Altmaier | W 46 64 46 61 76 | W 64 62 |
| Novak Djokovic | L 67 63 36 76 67 | L |
| Marton Fucsovics | W 63 64 | L 57 16 |
| Casper Ruud | W | L 36 16 |
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | W 64 64 | W 64 64 |
| Jiri Lehecka | W 63 76 | L 36 36 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | W 76 62 | W 64 75 |
| Arthur Fils | L 36 67 | L 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Pablo Carreno Busta
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 12
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Karen Khachanov
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Arthur Rinderknech
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CAN-FRA · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Quentin Halys
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CAN-FRA · Rubber 2
Sep 18
Karen Khachanov
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Rinky Hijikata
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Yi Zhou
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Dane Sweeny
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Arthur Fery
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Jaime Faria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Michael Zheng
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daniel Altmaier
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 43–68 matches
| Metric | Auger-Aliassime | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 68% | 60% |
| Sets won | 64% | 59% |
| Games won | 54% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Auger-Aliassime | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 2 |
| Other | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Auger-Aliassime | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 3 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.