Emma Navarro vs Karolina MuchovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Emma Navarro
#27 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
5w1 meeting · sets 2–0
🇨🇿Karolina Muchova
#7 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
Emma Navarro and Karolina Muchova have met 1 time since 2026; Emma Navarro leads 1–0. Across all meetings Navarro has taken 2 sets to Muchova's 0. Their most recent meeting: Emma Navarro won at U.S. Open - New York (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Navarro | Muchova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Emma Navarro | Karolina Muchova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 14/25 | 66% | 27/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 10/20 | 31% | 4/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 47% | 21/45 | 33% | 18/54 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 37% | 10/27 | 53% | 20/38 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 12/17 | 69% | 9/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 6/12 | 100% | 8/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 19/22 | 94% | 33/35 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 64% | 14/22 | 77% | 27/35 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Navarro 1, Muchova 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Navarro
💥 Big Hitter
Muchova
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,072 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 4, 2026
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Navarro | Muchova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Emma Navarro | Karolina Muchova | ||
| 1 or more | 90% | 9/10 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 90% | 9/10 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 5 or more | 70% | 7/10 | 29% | 2/7 |
| 10 or more | 30% | 3/10 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 15 or more | 20% | 2/10 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Navarro | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–4 | 5–2 |
| Avg odds | 2.41 | 1.27 |
| ROI % | +21.7% | -10.1% |
| Units P/L | +2.17u | -0.71u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Navarro | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 4 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Muchova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (78% vs Navarro's 56%).
| Opponent | Navarro | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Anna Kalinskaya | W 64 62 | W 63 64 |
| Shuai Zhang | W 26 76 62 | W 63 62 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | L 46 26 | W 64 64 |
| Iga Swiatek | W 75 26 63 | L 26 06 |
| Anna Bondar | W 67 63 62 | W 75 62 |
| Victoria Mboko | W 60 57 62 | W 75 76 |
| Elise Mertens | L 26 26 | W 16 63 60 |
| Magda Linette | L 63 36 36 | W 61 61 |
| Diana Shnaider | L 36 36 | L 62 16 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Anna Kalinskaya
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Karolina Muchova
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Caty Mcnally
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Lois Boisson
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Jessica Pegula
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Anhelina Kalinina
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Alina Korneeva
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Nikola Bartunkova
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 8
Naomi Osaka
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 6
Liudmila Samsonova
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Katie Boulter
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Emma Navarro
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Katie Boulter
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Sinja Kraus
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · Final
Jul 11
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–54 matches
| Metric | Navarro | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 76% |
| Sets won | 54% | 68% |
| Games won | 51% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Navarro | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Navarro | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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