Emma Navarro vs Jasmine PaoliniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Emma Navarro
#27 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
4 meetings · sets 6–3
🇮🇹Jasmine Paolini
#20 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
8wEmma Navarro and Jasmine Paolini have met 4 times since 2023; Emma Navarro leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at San Diego Open - San Diego in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Navarro leads 3–0. Across all meetings Navarro has taken 6 sets to Paolini's 3. Their most recent meeting: Jasmine Paolini won at Wimbledon - London (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Navarro | Paolini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Emma Navarro | Jasmine Paolini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 13/25 | 54% | 14/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 11/22 | 26% | 5/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 49% | 23/47 | 38% | 17/45 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 37% | 11/30 | 36% | 12/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 11/16 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 62% | 8/13 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 19/22 | 81% | 17/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 59% | 13/22 | 67% | 14/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Navarro 2, Paolini 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Navarro
🤖 Servebot
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 749 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jul 9, 2024
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Mar 24, 2024
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 3rd Round
Feb 12, 2024
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha
H Hard · 1st Round
Sep 11, 2023
San Diego Open - San Diego
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Navarro | Paolini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Emma Navarro | Jasmine Paolini | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 16/17 | 50% | 3/6 |
| 3 or more | 71% | 12/17 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 5 or more | 47% | 8/17 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 10 or more | 24% | 4/17 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 12% | 2/17 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Navarro | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–6 | 4–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.86 | 2.18 |
| ROI % | +0.2% | +35.3% |
| Units P/L | +0.03u | +2.12u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Navarro | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | — |
| Route | CAN → POL | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Navarro and Paolini posted a 40% win rate.
| Opponent | Navarro | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Jessica Pegula | L 57 26 | L 26 36 |
| Sofia Kenin | W 60 75 | W 63 60 |
| Marta Kostyuk | L 26 64 16 | L 36 26 |
| Viktorija Golubic | W 76 62 | W 76 64 |
| Iga Swiatek | W 75 26 63 | W 61 62 |
| Tatjana Maria | W 75 61 | L 46 36 |
| Marie Bouzkova | L 67 64 26 | W 62 75 |
| Iva Jovic | L 06 36 | L 26 67 |
| Elise Mertens | L 26 26 | L 64 67 36 |
| Hailey Baptiste | L 67 60 36 | L 57 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jessica Pegula
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Anhelina Kalinina
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Alina Korneeva
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Sofia Kenin
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 27
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Oksana Selekhmeteva
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Paula Badosa
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Alexandra Eala
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Maria Sakkari
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Viktorija Golubic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Robin Montgomery
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Tatjana Maria
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 23
Solana Sierra
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Dayana Yastremska
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–47 matches
| Metric | Navarro | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 53% | 58% |
| Sets won | 52% | 53% |
| Games won | 50% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Navarro | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Navarro | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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