Emma Navarro vs Jasmine PaoliniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Emma Navarro
#27 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
5w4 meetings · sets 6–3
🇮🇹Jasmine Paolini
#33 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
Emma Navarro and Jasmine Paolini have met 4 times since 2023; Emma Navarro leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at San Diego Open - San Diego in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Navarro leads 3–0. Across all meetings Navarro has taken 6 sets to Paolini's 3. Their most recent meeting: Jasmine Paolini won at Wimbledon - London (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Navarro | Paolini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Emma Navarro | Jasmine Paolini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 14/25 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 10/20 | 26% | 5/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 47% | 21/45 | 38% | 15/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 37% | 10/27 | 33% | 10/30 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 12/17 | 33% | 3/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 6/12 | 14% | 1/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 19/22 | 78% | 14/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 64% | 14/22 | 56% | 10/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Navarro 2, Paolini 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Navarro
💥 Big Hitter
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 1,247 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jul 9, 2024
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Mar 24, 2024
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 3rd Round
Feb 12, 2024
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha
H Hard · 1st Round
Sep 11, 2023
San Diego Open - San Diego
H Hard · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Navarro | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–4 | 2–2 |
| Avg odds | 2.41 | 1.66 |
| ROI % | +21.7% | -36.5% |
| Units P/L | +2.17u | -1.46u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Navarro | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 1 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Navarro has a higher win rate against shared opponents (29% vs Paolini's 14%).
| Opponent | Navarro | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Jessica Pegula | L 63 46 36 | L 26 36 |
| Marta Kostyuk | L 26 64 16 | L 36 26 |
| Viktorija Golubic | W 76 62 | W 76 64 |
| Tatjana Maria | W 75 61 | L 46 36 |
| Iva Jovic | L 06 36 | L 26 67 |
| Elise Mertens | L 26 26 | L 64 67 36 |
| Hailey Baptiste | L 67 60 36 | L 57 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Anna Kalinskaya
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Karolina Muchova
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Caty Mcnally
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Lois Boisson
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Jessica Pegula
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Anhelina Kalinina
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Alina Korneeva
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Daria Snigur
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Sorana Cirstea
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Lucrezia Stefanini
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Veronika Erjavec
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Alexandra Eala
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Maria Sakkari
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Viktorija Golubic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–45 matches
| Metric | Navarro | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 51% |
| Sets won | 54% | 48% |
| Games won | 51% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Navarro | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Navarro | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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