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Head-to-Head

Elise Mertens vs Jessica PegulaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Elise Mertens

🇧🇪Elise Mertens

#14 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed

4–1

5 meetings · sets 8–3

Jessica Pegula

🇺🇸Jessica Pegula

#4 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed

5w

Elise Mertens and Jessica Pegula have met 5 times since 2020; Elise Mertens leads 4–1. Their first meeting came at Western & Southern Open - New York in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Mertens leads 2–1. On clay courts Mertens leads 2–0. Across all meetings Mertens has taken 8 sets to Pegula's 3. Their most recent meeting: Elise Mertens won at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome (2025).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorMertensPegula
Wins in straight sets71%61%
Wins a set when losing33%47%
Goes to a deciding set31%41%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite55%55%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog50%58%
Tiebreak sets won63%69%
Wins after taking set 190%89%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 177%70%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mertens 3, Pegula 1).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Mertens

💥 Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies
vs

Pegula

👑 The Complete Package

Elite serve & returnHigh BP conversionAll-surface dominanceClutch performer

Matchup analysis

💥 Big Hitter vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 4,271 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.

Previous meetings

5 career meetings, newest first

May 10, 2025

Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome

C Clay · 3rd Round

75
61
Mertens

Jan 15, 2025

Australian Open - Melbourne

H Hard · 2nd Round

46
26
Pegula

Jun 2, 2023

French Open - Paris

C Clay · 3rd Round

61
63
Mertens

Mar 11, 2021

Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai

H Hard · Quarterfinals

57
75
60
Mertens

Aug 26, 2020

Western & Southern Open - New York

H Hard · Quarterfinals

61
63
Mertens

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomeMertensPegula
1 or more88%95%
3 or more75%90%
5 or more56%37%
10 or more0%0%
15 or more0%0%
20 or more0%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricMertensPegula
W-L10–614–4
Avg odds2.051.48
ROI %+23.4%+4.8%
Units P/L+3.74u+0.86u

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricMertensPegula
Countries2—
Events2—
Matches6—
Distance2,779 mi · 4,472 km—
RouteSGP → ROU—

Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Mertens has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Pegula's 60%).

OpponentMertensPegula
Iga Swiatek
W
76
63
W
75
46
64
Coco Gauff
W
63
63
L
26
46
Jelena Ostapenko
W
62
36
63
W
46
63
62
Emma Navarro
W
62
62
W
36
64
63
Sorana Cirstea
L
36
26
W
63
64
Elena Gabriela Ruse
L
36
36
W
63
62
Yuliia Starodubtseva
W
61
64
W
62
62
Alexandra Eala
W
63
63
L
64
46
06
Linda Noskova
L
36
57
L
46
64
36
Elena Rybakina
W
76
61
L
62
36
46

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Mertens
LWWWWLLW
L

Qinwen Zheng

China Open - Beijing · Semifinals

57
26

Oct 10

W

Iga Swiatek

China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals

760
63

Oct 9

W

Coco Gauff

China Open - Beijing · 4th Round

63
63

Oct 7

W

Jelena Ostapenko

China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round

62
36
63

Oct 5

W

Katie Volynets

China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round

60
46
75

Oct 3

L

Maja Chwalinska

Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Quarterfinals

26
26

Sep 25

L

Naomi Osaka

U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round

36
63
57

Sep 6

W

Maria Timofeeva

U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round

62
765

Sep 3

Pegula
LWWWWWLW
L

Aryna Sabalenka

U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals

57
26

Sep 10

W

Emma Navarro

U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals

36
64
63

Sep 9

W

Sorana Cirstea

U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round

63
64

Sep 7

W

Leylah Fernandez

U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round

16
64
63

Sep 4

W

Sofia Kenin

U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round

63
61

Sep 2

W

Elena Gabriela Ruse

U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round

63
62

Aug 30

L

Coco Gauff

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final

26
46

Aug 24

W

Iga Swiatek

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals

75
46
64

Aug 22

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ MertensMertens ahead↓ Pegula

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 55–66 matches

MetricMertensPegula
Matches won62%77%
Sets won59%69%
Games won54%57%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageMertensPegula
Grand Slam11
WTA 100020
Other10

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceMertensPegula
Hard21
Clay20

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Elise Mertens vs Jessica Pegula FAQ

Elise Mertens leads the head-to-head 4–1 over 5 meetings.