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Head-to-Head

Elena Rybakina vs Marta KostyukPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Elena Rybakina

🇰🇿Elena Rybakina

#2 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed

8
4–1

5 meetings · sets 9–2

Marta Kostyuk

🇺🇦Marta Kostyuk

#11 · 23 yrs · Right-Handed

Elena Rybakina and Marta Kostyuk have met 5 times since 2023; Elena Rybakina leads 4–1. Their first meeting came at Adelaide International 1 - Adelaide in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Rybakina leads 3–1. Rybakina has won the last 4 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Rybakina leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Rybakina has taken 9 sets to Kostyuk's 2. Their most recent meeting: Elena Rybakina won at Miami Open - Miami (2026).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorRybakinaKostyuk
Wins in straight sets68%73%
Wins a set when losing62%45%
Goes to a deciding set37%31%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite60%62%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog71%71%
Tiebreak sets won53%54%
Wins after taking set 194%91%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 180%79%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rybakina 4, Kostyuk 0).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Rybakina

🤖 Servebot

High ace rateDominant serviceWeaker returnBig first serve
vs

Kostyuk

👑 The Complete Package

Elite serve & returnHigh BP conversionAll-surface dominanceClutch performer

Matchup analysis

The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🤖 Servebot across 1,830 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Marta Kostyuk.

The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the servebot's high ace rate.

Previous meetings

5 career meetings, newest first

Mar 22, 2026

Miami Open - Miami

H Hard · 3rd Round

63
64
Rybakina

Mar 9, 2026

BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells

H Hard · 3rd Round

64
64
Rybakina

Apr 21, 2024

Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart

C Clay · Final

62
62
Rybakina

Aug 28, 2023

U.S. Open - New York

H Hard · 1st Round

62
61
Rybakina

Jan 4, 2023

Adelaide International 1 - Adelaide

H Hard · 2nd Round

765
26
36
Kostyuk

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomeRybakinaKostyuk
1 or more100%100%
3 or more73%60%
5 or more73%47%
10 or more27%0%
15 or more13%0%
20 or more0%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricRybakinaKostyuk
W-L11–311–4
Avg odds1.321.55
ROI %+6.4%+3.3%
Units P/L+0.90u+0.49u

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricRybakinaKostyuk
Countries22
Events22
Matches87
Distance411 mi · 662 km411 mi · 662 km
RouteCAN → POLCAN → POL

Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Rybakina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Kostyuk's 70%).

OpponentRybakinaKostyuk
Coco Gauff
W
57
62
62
L
26
26
Mirra Andreeva
W
75
61
W
46
60
62
Taylor Townsend
W
63
64
W
63
62
Iga Swiatek
W
75
61
L
63
16
26
Ann Li
W
62
75
W
60
67
63
Linda Noskova
W
63
64
L
46
46
Jasmine Paolini
W
63
62
W
63
62
Caty Mcnally
W
61
62
W
62
63
Tatjana Maria
W
67
75
60
W
63
60
Elina Svitolina
L
62
46
46
W
63
26
62

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Rybakina
WWWWWWWW
W

Diana Shnaider

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round

64
64

Aug 20

W

Magdalena Frech

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round

64
762

Aug 17

W

Taylor Townsend

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

63
64

Aug 16

W

Coco Gauff

National Bank Open - Toronto · Semifinals

57
62
62

Aug 13

W

Naomi Osaka

National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals

46
765
64

Aug 12

W

Liudmila Samsonova

National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round

64
46
64

Aug 9

W

Ann Li

National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round

62
75

Aug 7

W

Daria Kasatkina

National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round

63
57
64

Aug 5

Kostyuk
LWWWLWWL
L

Coco Gauff

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals

26
26

Aug 22

W

Mirra Andreeva

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round

46
60
62

Aug 19

W

Sloane Stephens

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round

75
75

Aug 18

W

Sofia Kenin

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

46
63
75

Aug 16

L

Iga Swiatek

National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round

63
16
26

Aug 8

W

Madison Keys

National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round

63
61

Aug 7

W

Katherine Sebov

National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round

764
60

Aug 4

L

Linda Noskova

Wimbledon - London · Semifinals

46
46

Jul 9

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ RybakinaRybakina ahead↓ Kostyuk

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 48–70 matches

MetricRybakinaKostyuk
Matches won81%77%
Sets won73%71%
Games won58%59%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageRybakinaKostyuk
Finals10
Grand Slam10
WTA 50011
WTA 100020

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceRybakinaKostyuk
Hard31
Clay10

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Elena Rybakina vs Marta Kostyuk FAQ

Elena Rybakina leads the head-to-head 4–1 over 5 meetings.