Smashrssmashrs.

Command Palette

Search for a command to run...

Head-to-Head

Elena Rybakina vs Marta KostyukPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Elena Rybakina

🇰🇿Elena Rybakina

#1 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed

4–1

5 meetings · sets 9–2

Marta Kostyuk

🇺🇦Marta Kostyuk

#10 · 23 yrs · Right-Handed

4w

Elena Rybakina and Marta Kostyuk have met 5 times since 2023; Elena Rybakina leads 4–1. Their first meeting came at Adelaide International 1 - Adelaide in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Rybakina leads 3–1. Rybakina has won the last 4 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Rybakina leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Rybakina has taken 9 sets to Kostyuk's 2. Their most recent meeting: Elena Rybakina won at Miami Open - Miami (2026).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorRybakinaKostyuk
Wins in straight sets67%72%
Wins a set when losing58%40%
Goes to a deciding set38%30%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite61%59%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog75%67%
Tiebreak sets won56%40%
Wins after taking set 192%91%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 178%79%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rybakina 4, Kostyuk 0).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Rybakina

🤖 Servebot

High ace rateDominant serviceWeaker returnBig first serve
vs

Kostyuk

👑 The Complete Package

Elite serve & returnHigh BP conversionAll-surface dominanceClutch performer

Matchup analysis

The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🤖 Servebot across 2,084 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Marta Kostyuk.

The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the servebot's high ace rate.

Previous meetings

5 career meetings, newest first

Mar 22, 2026

Miami Open - Miami

H Hard · 3rd Round

63
64
Rybakina

Mar 9, 2026

BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells

H Hard · 3rd Round

64
64
Rybakina

Apr 21, 2024

Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart

C Clay · Final

62
62
Rybakina

Aug 28, 2023

U.S. Open - New York

H Hard · 1st Round

62
61
Rybakina

Jan 4, 2023

Adelaide International 1 - Adelaide

H Hard · 2nd Round

765
26
36
Kostyuk

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomeRybakinaKostyuk
1 or more100%100%
3 or more94%75%
5 or more88%58%
10 or more31%0%
15 or more13%0%
20 or more0%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricRybakinaKostyuk
W-L15–28–4
Avg odds1.471.49
ROI %+28.5%-11.8%
Units P/L+4.85u-1.41u

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricRybakinaKostyuk
Countries11
Events11
Matches11
Distance0 mi · 0 km0 mi · 0 km
RouteROUUKR

Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Rybakina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Kostyuk's 60%).

OpponentRybakinaKostyuk
Liudmila Samsonova
W
64
46
64
L
64
26
57
Aryna Sabalenka
W
64
57
62
L
46
36
Coco Gauff
W
36
64
64
L
26
26
Ekaterina Alexandrova
W
64
64
W
63
62
Iga Swiatek
L
L
63
16
26
Mirra Andreeva
W
75
61
W
46
60
62
Taylor Townsend
W
63
64
W
63
62
Ann Li
W
62
75
W
60
67
63
Jasmine Paolini
W
63
62
W
63
62
Caty Mcnally
W
61
62
W
62
63

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Rybakina
LWWWWWWW
L

Alina Charaeva

China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round

63
46
36

Oct 3

W

Aryna Sabalenka

U.S. Open - New York · Final

64
57
62

Sep 12

W

Coco Gauff

U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals

36
64
64

Sep 11

W

Qinwen Zheng

U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals

36
61
64

Sep 9

W

Naomi Osaka

U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round

61
64

Sep 7

W

Yuliia Starodubtseva

U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round

766
63

Sep 6

W

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro

U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round

62
64

Sep 4

W

Thea Frodin

U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round

63
62

Sep 1

Kostyuk
LLWWWLWW
L

Liudmila Samsonova

Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · Quarterfinals

64
26
57

Sep 17

L

Linda Noskova

U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round

57
75
46

Sep 6

W

Ekaterina Alexandrova

U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round

63
62

Sep 4

W

Sloane Stephens

U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round

61
75

Sep 2

W

Storm Hunter

U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round

64
61

Aug 30

L

Coco Gauff

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals

26
26

Aug 22

W

Mirra Andreeva

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round

46
60
62

Aug 19

W

Sloane Stephens

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round

75
75

Aug 18

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ RybakinaRybakina ahead↓ Kostyuk

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 46–72 matches

MetricRybakinaKostyuk
Matches won83%78%
Sets won74%72%
Games won58%59%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageRybakinaKostyuk
Finals10
Grand Slam10
WTA 50011
WTA 100020

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceRybakinaKostyuk
Hard31
Clay10

Share this matchup

Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.

Elena Rybakina vs Marta Kostyuk FAQ

Elena Rybakina leads the head-to-head 4–1 over 5 meetings.