🇰🇿Elena Rybakina
#2 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
6 meetings · sets 8–8
🇺🇸Madison Keys
#19 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
Elena Rybakina and Madison Keys have met 6 times since 2022; they are level 3–3. Their most recent meeting: Elena Rybakina won at Cincinnati (2025).
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rybakina
💥 Big Hitter
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Elena Rybakina and Madison Keys are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit — across 7,186 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
6 career meetings, newest first
Aug 7, 2025
Cincinnati
H Hard · Round of 16
Jan 13, 2025
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 16
Mar 18, 2024
Miami
H Hard · Round of 16
Oct 3, 2022
Ostrava
H Hard · Round of 32
Aug 15, 2022
Cincinnati
H Hard · Quarterfinals
May 23, 2022
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 32
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rybakina | Keys | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elena Rybakina | Madison Keys | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 91% | 10/11 | 83% | 5/6 |
| 5 or more | 73% | 8/11 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/6 |
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rybakina | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–7 | 12–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.28 | 2.14 |
| ROI % | +71.2% | +79.6% |
| Units P/L | +13.52u | +11.94u |
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rybakina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Keys's 50%).
| Opponent | Rybakina | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Karolina Muchova | W 75 61 | W |
| Diana Shnaider | W 63 64 | L |
| Victoria Mboko | L 57 64 46 | W |
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | L | W |
| Karolina Pliskova | W 60 62 | W 63 63 |
| Qinwen Zheng | W 46 64 63 | L 64 26 46 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | W 46 63 75 | W 60 63 |
| Jessica Pegula | W 26 63 64 | L 36 46 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 46 36 | L 36 36 |
| Iga Swiatek | W 75 61 | L 16 26 |
Last five matches per player
Alexandra Eala
Berlin ·
Jun 18
Katie Boulter
Queen's Club ·
Jun 12
Tatjana Maria
Queen's Club ·
Jun 12
Yuliia Starodubtseva
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Yuliia Starodubtseva
French Open ·
May 27
Veronika Erjavec
French Open ·
May 25
Veronika Erjavec
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 25
Yuliia Starodubtseva
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 25
Karolina Muchova
Berlin ·
Jun 18
Diana Shnaider
French Open ·
Jun 1
Victoria Mboko
French Open ·
May 30
Antonia Ruzic
French Open ·
May 28
Hanne Vandewinkel
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Hanne Vandewinkel
French Open ·
May 26
Diana Shnaider
Roland Garros · Round of 16
May 25
Hanne Vandewinkel
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 25
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 37–74 matches
| Metric | Rybakina | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 80% | 62% |
| Sets won | 74% | 60% |
| Games won | 59% | 53% |
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rybakina | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 2 | 1 |
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rybakina | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 2 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
