Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Elise MertensPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Ekaterina Alexandrova
#24 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
5 meetings · sets 8–5
🇧🇪Elise Mertens
#14 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
Ekaterina Alexandrova and Elise Mertens have met 5 times since 2019; Ekaterina Alexandrova leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at S-Hertogenbosch in 2019 on grass. On hard courts Alexandrova leads 2–1. On grass courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Alexandrova has taken 8 sets to Mertens's 5. Their most recent meeting: Elise Mertens won at Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alexandrova | Mertens | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ekaterina Alexandrova | Elise Mertens | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 16/23 | 71% | 24/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 12/27 | 33% | 7/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 19/50 | 31% | 17/55 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 40% | 12/30 | 55% | 21/38 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 59% | 10/17 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 36% | 5/14 | 63% | 5/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 19/23 | 90% | 28/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 16/23 | 77% | 24/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alexandrova 2, Mertens 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alexandrova
🤖 Servebot
Mertens
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 3,072 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Jun 14, 2025
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch
G Grass · Semifinals
Feb 12, 2025
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha
H Hard · 3rd Round
Jul 25, 2021
Olympics - Tokyo
H Hard · 1st Round
Nov 14, 2020
Upper Austria Ladies Linz - Linz
H Hard · Semifinals
Jun 12, 2019
S-Hertogenbosch
G Grass · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Alexandrova | Mertens | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ekaterina Alexandrova | Elise Mertens | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 88% | 14/16 |
| 3 or more | 79% | 11/14 | 75% | 12/16 |
| 5 or more | 57% | 8/14 | 56% | 9/16 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alexandrova | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–6 | 10–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.51 | 2.05 |
| ROI % | +37.6% | +23.4% |
| Units P/L | +5.26u | +3.74u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alexandrova | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 6 |
| Distance | 654 mi · 1,053 km | 2,779 mi · 4,472 km |
| Route | ROU → CZE | SGP → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Mertens has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Alexandrova's 50%).
| Opponent | Alexandrova | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Mirra Andreeva | L 67 67 | L 36 36 |
| Linda Noskova | W 62 62 | L 36 57 |
| Jelena Ostapenko | L 46 26 | W 62 36 63 |
| Naomi Osaka | L 26 26 | L 36 63 57 |
| Mccartney Kessler | W 62 62 | W |
| Panna Udvardy | W 64 62 | W 61 46 63 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 46 46 | W 76 61 |
| Lanlana Tararudee | W 75 75 | W 75 61 |
| Laura Siegemund | L 46 76 16 | W 62 64 |
| Alexandra Eala | W 63 63 | W 63 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Leylah Fernandez
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round
Oct 12
Mirra Andreeva
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 8
Linda Noskova
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 6
Diana Shnaider
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Marta Kostyuk
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Kimberly Birrell
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Mccartney Kessler
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Qinwen Zheng
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 10
Iga Swiatek
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Coco Gauff
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 7
Jelena Ostapenko
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Katie Volynets
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Maja Chwalinska
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Naomi Osaka
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Maria Timofeeva
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 50–55 matches
| Metric | Alexandrova | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 46% | 62% |
| Sets won | 49% | 59% |
| Games won | 50% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alexandrova | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alexandrova | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.