Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Elise MertensPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Ekaterina Alexandrova
#19 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
5 meetings · sets 8–5
🇧🇪Elise Mertens
#24 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
Ekaterina Alexandrova and Elise Mertens have met 5 times since 2019; Ekaterina Alexandrova leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at S-Hertogenbosch in 2019 on grass. On hard courts Alexandrova leads 2–1. On grass courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Alexandrova has taken 8 sets to Mertens's 5. Their most recent meeting: Elise Mertens won at Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alexandrova | Mertens | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ekaterina Alexandrova | Elise Mertens | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 18/24 | 72% | 21/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 46% | 13/28 | 35% | 7/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 19/52 | 31% | 15/49 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 15/34 | 58% | 19/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 9/15 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 6/14 | 57% | 4/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 20/25 | 85% | 23/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 18/25 | 78% | 21/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alexandrova 2, Mertens 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alexandrova
🤖 Servebot
Mertens
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Jun 14, 2025
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch
G Grass · Semifinals
Feb 12, 2025
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha
H Hard · 3rd Round
Jul 25, 2021
Olympics - Tokyo
H Hard · 1st Round
Nov 14, 2020
Upper Austria Ladies Linz - Linz
H Hard · Semifinals
Jun 12, 2019
S-Hertogenbosch
G Grass · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Alexandrova | Mertens | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ekaterina Alexandrova | Elise Mertens | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 13/14 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 71% | 10/14 | 64% | 9/14 |
| 5 or more | 64% | 9/14 | 43% | 6/14 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alexandrova | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–7 | 9–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.34 | 1.84 |
| ROI % | +9.4% | +12.4% |
| Units P/L | +1.32u | +1.73u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alexandrova | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 7 | 7 |
| Distance | 1,715 mi · 2,760 km | 1,715 mi · 2,760 km |
| Route | CAN → POL → AUT | CAN → POL → AUT |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Mertens has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Alexandrova's 40%).
| Opponent | Alexandrova | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Panna Udvardy | W 64 62 | W 61 46 63 |
| Naomi Osaka | L 26 26 | L 16 26 |
| Linda Noskova | L 16 16 | L 36 57 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 46 46 | W 76 61 |
| Lanlana Tararudee | W 75 75 | W 75 61 |
| Laura Siegemund | L 46 76 16 | W 62 64 |
| Mirra Andreeva | W 63 64 | L 36 36 |
| Alexandra Eala | W 63 63 | W 63 63 |
| Karolina Pliskova | L 16 36 | L 57 62 67 |
| Karolina Muchova | L 46 57 | L 61 36 06 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Clara Tauson
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Anna Blinkova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Elina Svitolina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Aryna Sabalenka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Talia Gibson
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Iva Jovic
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Diane Parry
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Final
Aug 30
Nikola Bartunkova
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Semifinals
Aug 29
Yuliia Starodubtseva
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Panna Udvardy
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Diane Parry
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Anna Bondar
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 49–52 matches
| Metric | Alexandrova | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 46% | 59% |
| Sets won | 50% | 58% |
| Games won | 50% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alexandrova | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alexandrova | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 1 |
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