Diana Shnaider vs Karolina MuchovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ท๐บDiana Shnaider
#13 ยท 22 yrs ยท Left-Handed
1 meeting ยท sets 2โ1

๐จ๐ฟKarolina Muchova
#7 ยท 29 yrs ยท Right-Handed
Diana Shnaider and Karolina Muchova have met 1 time since 2025; Diana Shnaider leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Shnaider has taken 2 sets to Muchova's 1. Their most recent meeting: Diana Shnaider won at Ningbo Open - Ningbo (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shnaider | Muchova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Diana Shnaider | Karolina Muchova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 23/33 | 66% | 27/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 9/22 | 31% | 4/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 19/55 | 33% | 18/54 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 58% | 22/38 | 53% | 20/38 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 41% | 7/17 | 69% | 9/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 8/17 | 100% | 8/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 26/30 | 94% | 33/35 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 23/30 | 77% | 27/35 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shnaider 0, Muchova 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shnaider
๐น Frontrunner
Muchova
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
๐น Frontrunner vs ๐ค Servebot is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 728 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Oct 15, 2025
Ningbo Open - Ningbo
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shnaider | Muchova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Diana Shnaider | Karolina Muchova | ||
| 1 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 20% | 3/15 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 5 or more | 7% | 1/15 | 29% | 2/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Shnaider | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10โ5 | 5โ2 |
| Avg odds | 1.98 | 1.27 |
| ROI % | +9.0% | -10.1% |
| Units P/L | +1.35u | -0.71u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shnaider | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 2 | 4 |
| Distance | 0 mi ยท 0 km | 0 mi ยท 0 km |
| Route | ROU | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Shnaider and Muchova posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Shnaider | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Nikola Bartunkova | L 26 76 36 | L 36 06 |
| Naomi Osaka | L 16 26 | W 75 16 76 |
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | L 63 46 36 | W 64 75 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 63 64 | W 46 64 62 |
| Emma Navarro | W 63 63 | L 36 57 |
| Karolina Pliskova | W 61 76 | W |
| Elena Rybakina | L 46 46 | L 57 16 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 26 16 | L 26 06 |
| Anna Kalinskaya | W 63 63 | W 63 64 |
| Anastasia Potapova | W 61 62 | L 36 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ekaterina Alexandrova
China Open - Beijing ยท 3rd Round
Oct 4
Janice Tjen
China Open - Beijing ยท 2nd Round
Oct 2
Taylor Townsend
U.S. Open - New York ยท 3rd Round
Sep 4
Karolina Pliskova
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 2
Daria Snigur
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Aug 31
Elena Rybakina
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 4th Round
Aug 20
Maja Chwalinska
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round
Aug 17
Tatjana Maria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 15
Nikola Bartunkova
China Open - Beijing ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 8
Naomi Osaka
China Open - Beijing ยท 4th Round
Oct 6
Liudmila Samsonova
China Open - Beijing ยท 3rd Round
Oct 4
Katie Boulter
China Open - Beijing ยท 2nd Round
Oct 2
Emma Navarro
U.S. Open - New York ยท 3rd Round
Sep 4
Katie Boulter
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 2
Sinja Kraus
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Aug 31
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London ยท Final
Jul 11
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 54โ55 matches
| Metric | Shnaider | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 76% |
| Sets won | 58% | 68% |
| Games won | 54% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shnaider | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shnaider | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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