Diana Shnaider vs Karolina MuchovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ท๐บDiana Shnaider
#16 ยท 22 yrs ยท Left-Handed
1 meeting ยท sets 2โ1

๐จ๐ฟKarolina Muchova
#7 ยท 29 yrs ยท Right-Handed
7wDiana Shnaider and Karolina Muchova have met 1 time since 2025; Diana Shnaider leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Shnaider has taken 2 sets to Muchova's 1. Their most recent meeting: Diana Shnaider won at Ningbo Open - Ningbo (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shnaider | Muchova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Diana Shnaider | Karolina Muchova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 65% | 20/31 | 64% | 25/39 |
| Wins a set when losing | 30% | 7/23 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 18/54 | 37% | 19/52 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 19/36 | 55% | 18/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 39% | 7/18 | 69% | 11/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 6/15 | 75% | 6/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 23/26 | 91% | 31/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 20/26 | 74% | 25/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shnaider 0, Muchova 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shnaider
๐น Frontrunner
Muchova
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
๐น Frontrunner vs ๐ฅ Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,181 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Oct 15, 2025
Ningbo Open - Ningbo
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shnaider | Muchova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Diana Shnaider | Karolina Muchova | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 75% | 9/12 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 50% | 6/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Shnaider | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9โ7 | 8โ2 |
| Avg odds | 2.35 | 1.51 |
| ROI % | +31.4% | +16.3% |
| Units P/L | +5.03u | +1.63u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shnaider | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | โ |
| Events | 3 | โ |
| Matches | 8 | โ |
| Distance | 761 mi ยท 1,225 km | โ |
| Route | AUT โ CAN โ POL | โ |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Shnaider has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Muchova's 40%).
| Opponent | Shnaider | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Elena Rybakina | L 46 46 | L 57 16 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 26 16 | L 26 06 |
| Anna Kalinskaya | W 63 63 | W 63 64 |
| Anastasia Potapova | W 61 62 | L 36 26 |
| Naomi Osaka | L 16 26 | W 76 64 |
| Barbora Krejcikova | W 26 63 63 | W 75 57 63 |
| Clara Tauson | L 46 46 | W 16 62 64 |
| Madison Keys | W 63 36 60 | L 46 57 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | W 36 75 60 | L 36 46 |
| Belinda Bencic | L 26 67 | L 63 57 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elena Rybakina
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 4th Round
Aug 20
Maja Chwalinska
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round
Aug 17
Tatjana Maria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 15
Iga Swiatek
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Jessica Pegula
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 4th Round
Aug 8
Anna Kalinskaya
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 3rd Round
Aug 6
Rebecca Sramkova
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 2nd Round
Aug 4
Jessica Pegula
Mubadala DC Open - Washington ยท Semifinals
Aug 1
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London ยท Final
Jul 11
Coco Gauff
Wimbledon - London ยท Semifinals
Jul 9
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Barbora Krejcikova
Wimbledon - London ยท 4th Round
Jul 5
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Wimbledon - London ยท 3rd Round
Jul 3
Shuai Zhang
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 1
Anastasia Zakharova
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 29
Elena Gabriela Ruse
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg ยท Semifinals
Jun 26
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 52โ54 matches
| Metric | Shnaider | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 75% |
| Sets won | 55% | 67% |
| Games won | 53% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shnaider | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shnaider | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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