Diana Shnaider vs Jasmine PaoliniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Diana Shnaider
#13 · 22 yrs · Left-Handed
2 meetings · sets 1–4
🇮🇹Jasmine Paolini
#33 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
Diana Shnaider and Jasmine Paolini have met 2 times since 2024; Jasmine Paolini leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2024 on hard. Paolini has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Shnaider has taken 1 sets to Paolini's 4. Their most recent meeting: Jasmine Paolini won at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shnaider | Paolini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Diana Shnaider | Jasmine Paolini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 23/33 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 9/22 | 26% | 5/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 19/55 | 38% | 15/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 58% | 22/38 | 33% | 10/30 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 41% | 7/17 | 33% | 3/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 8/17 | 14% | 1/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 26/30 | 78% | 14/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 23/30 | 56% | 10/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shnaider 0, Paolini 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shnaider
🏹 Frontrunner
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
Both Diana Shnaider and Jasmine Paolini are 🏹 Frontrunner types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 296 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
May 13, 2025
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Jan 15, 2024
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shnaider | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–5 | 2–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.98 | 1.66 |
| ROI % | +9.0% | -36.5% |
| Units P/L | +1.35u | -1.46u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shnaider | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 2 | 1 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | ROU | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Shnaider has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Paolini's 30%).
| Opponent | Shnaider | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Daria Snigur | W 60 64 | L 63 67 26 |
| Taylor Townsend | L 26 76 36 | W 63 16 62 |
| Sorana Cirstea | L 26 67 | L 36 36 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 46 46 | L 36 26 |
| Tatjana Maria | W 62 75 | L 46 36 |
| Jessica Pegula | W 63 63 | L 26 36 |
| Anastasia Potapova | W 61 62 | W 67 62 63 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | W 36 75 60 | L 36 16 |
| Dayana Yastremska | W 63 61 | W 75 63 |
| Talia Gibson | W 57 61 61 | L 57 62 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ekaterina Alexandrova
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Janice Tjen
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Taylor Townsend
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Karolina Pliskova
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Daria Snigur
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Elena Rybakina
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Maja Chwalinska
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Tatjana Maria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Daria Snigur
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Sorana Cirstea
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Lucrezia Stefanini
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Veronika Erjavec
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Alexandra Eala
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Maria Sakkari
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Viktorija Golubic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–55 matches
| Metric | Shnaider | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 51% |
| Sets won | 58% | 48% |
| Games won | 54% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shnaider | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shnaider | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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