Diana Shnaider vs Jasmine PaoliniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Diana Shnaider
#16 · 22 yrs · Left-Handed
2 meetings · sets 1–4
🇮🇹Jasmine Paolini
#20 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
8wDiana Shnaider and Jasmine Paolini have met 2 times since 2024; Jasmine Paolini leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2024 on hard. Paolini has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Shnaider has taken 1 sets to Paolini's 4. Their most recent meeting: Jasmine Paolini won at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shnaider | Paolini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Diana Shnaider | Jasmine Paolini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 65% | 20/31 | 54% | 14/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 30% | 7/23 | 26% | 5/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 18/54 | 38% | 17/45 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 19/36 | 36% | 12/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 39% | 7/18 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 6/15 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 23/26 | 81% | 17/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 20/26 | 67% | 14/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shnaider 0, Paolini 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shnaider
🏹 Frontrunner
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
Both Diana Shnaider and Jasmine Paolini are 🏹 Frontrunner types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 274 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
May 13, 2025
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Jan 15, 2024
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shnaider | Paolini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Diana Shnaider | Jasmine Paolini | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 15/17 | 50% | 3/6 |
| 3 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shnaider | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–7 | 4–2 |
| Avg odds | 2.34 | 2.18 |
| ROI % | +36.8% | +35.3% |
| Units P/L | +6.25u | +2.12u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shnaider | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 10 | — |
| Distance | 761 mi · 1,225 km | — |
| Route | AUT → CAN → POL | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Shnaider has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Paolini's 30%).
| Opponent | Shnaider | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Elena Rybakina | L 46 46 | L 36 26 |
| Tatjana Maria | W 62 75 | L 46 36 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 26 16 | W 61 62 |
| Jessica Pegula | W 63 63 | L 26 36 |
| Anastasia Potapova | W 61 62 | W 67 62 63 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | W 36 75 60 | L 36 16 |
| Dayana Yastremska | W 63 61 | W 75 63 |
| Talia Gibson | W 57 61 61 | L 57 62 16 |
| Belinda Bencic | L 26 67 | L 46 36 |
| Iva Jovic | L 46 61 06 | L 26 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elena Rybakina
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Maja Chwalinska
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Tatjana Maria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Iga Swiatek
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Jessica Pegula
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 8
Anna Kalinskaya
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Rebecca Sramkova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Jessica Pegula
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Semifinals
Aug 1
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Alexandra Eala
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Maria Sakkari
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Viktorija Golubic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Robin Montgomery
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Tatjana Maria
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 23
Solana Sierra
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Dayana Yastremska
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–54 matches
| Metric | Shnaider | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 58% |
| Sets won | 55% | 53% |
| Games won | 53% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shnaider | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shnaider | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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