Diana Shnaider vs Elena RybakinaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Diana Shnaider
#16 · 22 yrs · Left-Handed
2 meetings · sets 0–4
🇰🇿Elena Rybakina
#2 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
8Diana Shnaider and Elena Rybakina have met 2 times since 2026; Elena Rybakina leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart in 2026 on clay. Rybakina has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Shnaider has taken 0 sets to Rybakina's 4. Their most recent meeting: Elena Rybakina won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shnaider | Rybakina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Diana Shnaider | Elena Rybakina | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 65% | 20/31 | 68% | 39/57 |
| Wins a set when losing | 30% | 7/23 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 18/54 | 37% | 26/70 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 19/36 | 60% | 37/62 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 39% | 7/18 | 71% | 5/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 6/15 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 23/26 | 94% | 46/49 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 20/26 | 80% | 39/49 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shnaider 0, Rybakina 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shnaider
🏹 Frontrunner
Rybakina
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 749 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 20, 2026
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 4th Round
Apr 16, 2026
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shnaider | Rybakina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Diana Shnaider | Elena Rybakina | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 73% | 11/15 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 73% | 11/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 27% | 4/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shnaider | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–7 | 11–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.35 | 1.32 |
| ROI % | +31.4% | +6.4% |
| Units P/L | +5.03u | +0.90u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shnaider | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 8 | 8 |
| Distance | 761 mi · 1,225 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | AUT → CAN → POL | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Shnaider has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Rybakina's 60%).
| Opponent | Shnaider | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Tatjana Maria | W 62 75 | W 67 75 60 |
| Naomi Osaka | L 16 26 | W 46 76 64 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 26 16 | W 75 61 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 63 64 | W 64 46 64 |
| Jessica Pegula | W 63 63 | W 26 63 64 |
| Anastasia Potapova | W 61 62 | L 67 46 |
| Caty Mcnally | W 26 62 64 | W 61 62 |
| Eva Lys | W 75 61 | L 36 61 46 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | W 36 75 60 | L 46 36 |
| Elina Svitolina | L 67 36 | L 62 46 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elena Rybakina
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Maja Chwalinska
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Tatjana Maria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Iga Swiatek
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Jessica Pegula
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 8
Anna Kalinskaya
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Rebecca Sramkova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Jessica Pegula
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Semifinals
Aug 1
Diana Shnaider
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Taylor Townsend
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Coco Gauff
National Bank Open - Toronto · Semifinals
Aug 13
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Liudmila Samsonova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Ann Li
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Daria Kasatkina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 54–70 matches
| Metric | Shnaider | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 81% |
| Sets won | 55% | 73% |
| Games won | 53% | 58% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shnaider | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shnaider | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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