Diana Shnaider vs Elena RybakinaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Diana Shnaider
#13 · 22 yrs · Left-Handed
2 meetings · sets 0–4
🇰🇿Elena Rybakina
#1 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
Diana Shnaider and Elena Rybakina have met 2 times since 2026; Elena Rybakina leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart in 2026 on clay. Rybakina has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Shnaider has taken 0 sets to Rybakina's 4. Their most recent meeting: Elena Rybakina won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shnaider | Rybakina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Diana Shnaider | Elena Rybakina | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 23/33 | 67% | 40/60 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 9/22 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 19/55 | 38% | 27/72 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 58% | 22/38 | 61% | 39/64 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 41% | 7/17 | 75% | 6/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 8/17 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 26/30 | 92% | 47/51 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 23/30 | 78% | 40/51 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shnaider 0, Rybakina 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shnaider
🏹 Frontrunner
Rybakina
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 728 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 20, 2026
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 4th Round
Apr 16, 2026
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shnaider | Rybakina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Diana Shnaider | Elena Rybakina | ||
| 1 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 100% | 16/16 |
| 3 or more | 20% | 3/15 | 94% | 15/16 |
| 5 or more | 7% | 1/15 | 88% | 14/16 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 31% | 5/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 13% | 2/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shnaider | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–5 | 15–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.98 | 1.47 |
| ROI % | +9.0% | +28.5% |
| Units P/L | +1.35u | +4.85u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shnaider | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 2 | 1 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | ROU | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rybakina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Shnaider's 60%).
| Opponent | Shnaider | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | L 63 46 36 | W 64 64 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | W 36 75 60 | W 64 57 62 |
| Naomi Osaka | L 16 26 | W 61 64 |
| Taylor Townsend | L 26 76 36 | W 63 64 |
| Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | W 36 75 61 | W 62 64 |
| Karolina Pliskova | W 61 76 | W 60 62 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 26 16 | L |
| Tatjana Maria | W 62 75 | W 67 75 60 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 63 64 | W 64 46 64 |
| Jessica Pegula | W 63 63 | W 26 63 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ekaterina Alexandrova
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Janice Tjen
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Taylor Townsend
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Karolina Pliskova
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Daria Snigur
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Elena Rybakina
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Maja Chwalinska
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Tatjana Maria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Alina Charaeva
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Aryna Sabalenka
U.S. Open - New York · Final
Sep 12
Coco Gauff
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 11
Qinwen Zheng
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Naomi Osaka
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Yuliia Starodubtseva
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Thea Frodin
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 55–72 matches
| Metric | Shnaider | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 83% |
| Sets won | 58% | 74% |
| Games won | 54% | 58% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shnaider | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shnaider | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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